Vibrant-Seaside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$161

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-31 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

12% 50% $-2

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No		+161	$161	100¢	$161	$-0	05-31 10:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$164	164	+164	open	—	01-07 03:29
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$164	164	+164	open	—	04-21 03:14
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$164	164	+164	open	—	04-16 02:47
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	02-14 03:53
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	03-24 08:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	04-26 09:42
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	02-05 11:09
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	02-02 07:22
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	01-30 02:30
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	1	$162	163	+163	open	—	01-25 11:22
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$162	162	+162	open	—	01-21 07:03
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	1	$161	162	+162	open	—	03-19 08:37
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$161	161	+161	open	—	05-31 10:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	03-11 11:08
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	03-06 09:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$153	153	+153	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:02
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-09 09:12
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	1	$61	61	+61	open	—	04-09 09:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?	1	$2	1,050	+1,050	Yes	$-2	05-05 13:03
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-06 09:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1	403	+403	open	—	03-11 11:08
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-06 09:32
will scream 7 second weekend box office be greater than 31m	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-06 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 10:40:51	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x34eb40…
05-05 13:03:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x45ef76…
05-05 13:02:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x2a487c…
04-26 09:42:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x9e8a94…
04-21 03:14:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x096ee6…
04-16 02:47:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x3a94d3…
04-09 09:12:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x368522…
04-09 09:12:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x0b3f1f…
03-24 08:09:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x3907bf…
03-19 08:37:03	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	No	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0xd929e7…
03-11 11:08:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	403	0¢	$1	0x935683…
03-11 11:08:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x7aee3d…
03-06 09:32:57	will scream 7 second weekend box office be greater than 31m	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x398ddc…
03-06 09:32:45	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55ad1e…
03-06 09:32:35	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ebe6c…
03-06 09:32:29	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x1eaee5…
02-14 03:53:59	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xa532e1…
02-05 11:09:11	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xe397fe…
02-02 07:22:42	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x2eef3b…
01-30 02:30:26	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x7e44b8…
01-25 11:22:54	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0xc8cad8…
01-21 07:03:16	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x0a7283…
01-07 03:29:15	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xc16ba0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	18	$57.8K	1,412	05-31 18:50
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	18	$2.54K	2,534	04-16 07:27
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	15	$75.9K	3,448	04-09 19:50
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	14	$1.17K	1,082	05-05 09:12
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$1.10K	732	03-20 19:27
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	13	$5.82K	785	04-07 16:03
(anonymous) 0xa459…7dd6	13	$2.48K	895	04-18 13:49
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	13	$1.15K	288	03-25 04:59