Realized P&L
+$4.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.05K
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
20
Trades
21,291
lifetime
Volume
$6.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$320
Open exposure
$28.0K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 100% +$570
Politics
43% 92% +$4,063
Tech
2%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -14,936 $-13,967 96¢ $-14272 $-304 06-13 18:02
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +2,087 $1,978 96¢ $2.0K +$36 07-21 21:46
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +2,512 $1,505 60¢ $1.5K +$15 07-21 21:54
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +2,848 $1,544 52¢ $1.5K $-77 07-21 18:43
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +1,440 $1,165 90¢ $1.3K +$138 07-17 17:55
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +1,500 $1,154 84¢ $1.3K +$106 07-21 21:02
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,253 $-1,213 98¢ $-1226 $-14 06-06 14:43
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -1,111 $-1,128 100¢ $-1106 +$22 07-21 22:21
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -1,117 $-1,128 84¢ $-933 +$195 07-18 19:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,136 $579 72¢ $812 +$233 07-21 19:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +773 $527 91¢ $703 +$176 06-25 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -550 $-486 54¢ $-294 +$192 06-15 14:39
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? No +272 $244 94¢ $256 +$11 07-17 23:39
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +190 $26 86¢ $164 +$138 07-02 16:20
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +154 $154 100¢ $154 +$0 05-31 10:37
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +175 $138 85¢ $149 +$10 07-16 04:58
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +141 $128 91¢ $129 +$1 07-21 21:46
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +98 $-89 80¢ $79 +$168 06-27 02:50
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? No +92 $67 84¢ $78 +$11 07-14 01:06
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -45 $-26 92¢ $-41 $-16 06-15 11:21
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes -210 $-35 16¢ $-34 +$1 07-21 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +78 $27 $1 $-26 06-24 16:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-30 76¢ $0 +$30 06-27 00:14