Nice-Perennial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

21,962

lifetime

Volume

$7.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$570

Politics

43% 92% +$4,063

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	83	$330.3K	158,653	173,095	-14,443	open	—	01-04 22:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	512	$216.8K	131,881	117,253	+14,627	open	—	03-18 18:00
will gta 6 cost 100	421	$196.6K	117,426	80,981	+36,445	open	—	03-01 01:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	521	$173.2K	98,934	98,603	+331	open	—	03-30 09:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	98	$158.8K	92,821	75,003	+17,818	open	—	04-08 20:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	280	$139.1K	74,944	68,725	+6,219	open	—	04-02 13:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	45	$123.4K	61,895	61,895	+0	open	—	04-10 15:48
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	186	$111.9K	80,000	32,927	+47,073	open	—	03-04 18:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	188	$104.5K	84,450	65,058	+19,392	open	—	03-04 01:00
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	591	$88.8K	67,030	67,460	-429	open	—	01-21 04:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	433	$88.4K	79,236	58,354	+20,883	open	—	03-13 05:50
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	21	$82.0K	37,872	44,342	-6,470	open	—	01-04 02:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	62	$72.8K	52,693	20,568	+32,126	open	—	04-30 21:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	68	$63.9K	35,135	28,924	+6,211	open	—	06-23 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	370	$60.8K	43,797	39,661	+4,136	open	—	08-08 14:04
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	552	$57.2K	59,649	9,397	+50,252	open	—	07-09 19:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	200	$56.0K	32,660	29,210	+3,450	open	—	06-29 10:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	233	$52.5K	22,609	30,542	-7,933	open	—	05-29 22:26
fact check maduro capture staged	197	$52.0K	26,855	26,809	+46	open	—	03-21 11:59
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	29	$51.3K	50,863	863	+50,000	open	—	07-22 20:48
will iran strike israel on march 6	123	$48.7K	29,790	20,115	+9,675	open	—	03-11 04:47
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	70	$47.4K	44,606	3,923	+40,682	open	—	02-03 22:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	82	$47.1K	40,424	19,869	+20,555	open	—	02-15 05:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	216	$46.1K	27,554	20,417	+7,137	open	—	01-28 19:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	238	$45.5K	25,741	25,253	+488	open	—	04-14 19:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	38	$45.2K	24,133	21,658	+2,474	open	—	05-19 14:42
cs2 faze tyloo 2026 03 20 game1	30	$44.6K	22,444	22,222	+222	open	—	03-20 15:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	43	$44.2K	20,967	23,386	-2,419	open	—	05-30 18:45
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	28	$43.8K	19,206	25,328	-6,122	open	—	02-03 01:11
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	44	$43.0K	33,985	9,198	+24,786	open	—	01-27 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 05:42:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	517	65¢	$336	0xcd70d6…
08-11 05:42:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	143	64¢	$92	0x4a00cf…
08-11 04:09:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	145	79¢	$115	0x6b12e4…
08-11 03:37:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbb9185…
08-11 03:31:12	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,514	77¢	$1,165	0x308e79…
08-10 21:42:07	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	217	89¢	$194	0xc74fd3…
08-10 14:29:37	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	66	89¢	$59	0x026855…
08-10 11:56:09	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xaeb416…
08-10 08:48:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0xe507b7…
08-10 08:48:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	309	81¢	$250	0x7caea5…
08-10 06:27:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xdbb7a7…
08-10 06:06:31	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0x99e348…
08-10 06:02:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x53c418…
08-10 05:38:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb1f69…
08-10 04:42:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x4f66da…
08-09 19:21:48	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0xdde4ba…
08-09 19:06:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	269	88¢	$237	0xf721bc…
08-09 18:08:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	359	84¢	$302	0xbb12a3…
08-09 18:01:25	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x7c520d…
08-09 17:51:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1,472	95¢	$1,392	0x23d25f…
08-09 17:46:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x655e63…
08-09 17:44:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x4ad8d2…
08-09 17:24:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x05ef52…
08-09 17:17:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	467	84¢	$392	0x2b2021…
08-09 17:17:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x97b260…
08-09 17:16:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	493	99¢	$488	0x0556a3…
08-09 17:15:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	407	90¢	$366	0x1b41a9…
08-09 17:15:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x96ff6a…
08-09 17:14:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x29fcf5…
08-09 17:03:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	506	32¢	$162	0x337f5c…
08-09 16:07:51	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0x0ba9a7…
08-09 16:07:43	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xdcaa7a…
08-09 15:56:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	67	84¢	$57	0x85b1f1…
08-09 15:55:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	506	37¢	$187	0xaee797…
08-09 11:39:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1,750	79¢	$1,382	0xc89e5e…
08-09 10:20:58	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	255	89¢	$227	0x5da395…
08-09 08:19:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	338	92¢	$311	0x5c175c…
08-09 06:53:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x62f441…
08-09 06:28:21	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	156	85¢	$133	0xe38e56…
08-09 06:23:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x4cd28a…
08-09 01:18:39	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62a396…
08-09 01:18:25	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe25eda…
08-09 01:15:42	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xac8072…
08-08 23:20:10	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x473d52…
08-08 23:17:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	149	91¢	$135	0x5c1c69…
08-08 23:17:34	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xe07973…
08-08 23:14:21	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xab1aba…
08-08 23:00:16	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	388	89¢	$345	0x7e2ab2…
08-08 22:59:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x7abfde…
08-08 22:58:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	366	89¢	$326	0x610378…
08-08 22:40:51	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	193	94¢	$183	0xd308aa…
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0x8fced7…
08-08 22:39:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x14dde1…
08-08 22:35:27	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	1,007	82¢	$828	0xb089bc…
08-08 22:06:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x19bf66…
08-08 21:28:58	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x869d30…
08-08 21:28:55	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdbaddc…
08-08 21:28:18	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x0f9394…
08-08 21:20:15	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2a2059…
08-08 20:20:45	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x9e1be4…
08-08 20:18:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xa8b6fe…
08-08 20:16:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x59793d…
08-08 19:46:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	535	13¢	$70	0x6b14c2…
08-08 19:16:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	124	70¢	$87	0x6f4407…
08-08 19:06:28	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	2,401	54¢	$1,297	0x938b3f…
08-08 19:06:27	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	92	56¢	$51	0x7f4be8…
08-08 19:05:39	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	1,246	58¢	$722	0xaac2d0…
08-08 19:05:06	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	1,248	64¢	$798	0x994baf…
08-08 18:02:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	720	97¢	$702	0x666d69…
08-08 17:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	483	63¢	$305	0xe61dde…
08-08 16:55:06	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	134	85¢	$114	0xc61bb7…
08-08 16:49:42	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe152f5…
08-08 16:36:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	74	63¢	$46	0xa1bb19…
08-08 16:25:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc2d600…
08-08 16:15:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xed8a49…
08-08 16:14:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xdf5684…
08-08 16:09:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	43	63¢	$27	0xa0f826…
08-08 16:03:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	737	12¢	$88	0xbbf2e8…
08-08 16:02:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$374	0x4b4dd5…
08-08 16:01:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	600	63¢	$378	0x719750…
08-08 15:26:16	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xa5c32d…
08-08 15:25:03	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	SELL	622	49¢	$305	0xadae5c…
08-08 15:24:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	869	46¢	$400	0xa2f60e…
08-08 15:24:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	1,437	72¢	$1,034	0x93afbb…
08-08 15:24:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1,437	70¢	$1,006	0xe7100b…
08-08 15:23:51	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	1,376	71¢	$977	0xeb3047…
08-08 15:23:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1,318	69¢	$909	0x8293eb…
08-08 15:23:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	1,046	70¢	$732	0x3ac462…
08-08 15:22:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1,104	67¢	$741	0x910c19…
08-08 14:04:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,134	83¢	$941	0x2e418b…
08-08 14:04:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x44612b…
08-08 14:04:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x40c585…
08-08 14:04:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xa4f9e8…
08-08 14:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,866	83¢	$1,549	0xcfd792…
08-08 13:19:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	451	63¢	$284	0xb5e097…
08-08 12:29:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	188	63¢	$118	0x726a2b…
08-08 12:26:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x9c3937…
08-08 12:21:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	600	94¢	$563	0x4c0340…
08-08 12:21:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	800	94¢	$754	0x297c6b…
08-08 12:19:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	261	63¢	$164	0x8ab301…