Realized P&L
+$4.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
20
Trades
20,427
lifetime
Volume
$6.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$317
Open exposure
$30.6K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 03:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 100% +$570
Politics
43% 92% +$4,063
Tech
2%
Crypto
2%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 616 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -14,936 $-13,967 94¢ $-14107 $-140 06-13 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +9,734 $9,158 99¢ $9.7K +$508 06-29 10:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2,428 $2,409 100¢ $2.4K +$9 06-29 21:59
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,253 $-1,213 97¢ $-1215 $-2 06-06 14:43
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +1,097 $1,031 94¢ $1.0K +$5 06-23 11:27
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +773 $527 90¢ $691 +$165 06-25 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -550 $-486 80¢ $-443 +$43 06-15 14:39
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -214 $-315 81¢ $-173 +$142 06-20 13:15
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +202 $163 84¢ $169 +$6 06-27 21:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +201 $36 84¢ $167 +$131 07-01 03:34
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +154 $154 100¢ $154 +$0 05-31 10:37
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +148 $103 82¢ $122 +$18 06-18 13:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +98 $-89 74¢ $73 +$162 06-27 02:50
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -45 $-26 78¢ $-35 $-9 06-15 11:21
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +33 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 06-20 14:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +78 $27 30¢ $24 $-3 06-24 16:52
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +24 $18 100¢ $24 +$5 06-22 20:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +716 $-164 $3 +$166 06-01 13:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-30 90¢ $0 +$30 06-27 00:14