Realized P&L
+$89.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.02K
Hit rate
93.7%
Resolved
1,593
Trades
72,252
lifetime
Volume
$9.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$67.0K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 05:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
57% 92% +$61,088
Politics
38% 92% +$26,876
Tech
3% 94% +$4,806
Crypto
2% 83% -$3,287
Sports
1% 92% +$277
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 28324 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +21,861 $21,800 100¢ $21.8K +$39 11-01 00:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10,000 $9,727 98¢ $9.8K +$38 10-31 20:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +8,476 $8,083 97¢ $8.2K +$156 11-02 00:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +8,124 $6,098 94¢ $7.7K +$1,579 11-01 00:58
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,008 $3,800 96¢ $3.9K +$53 10-31 20:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +3,696 $3,576 99¢ $3.6K +$68 11-01 16:44
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? No +3,000 $2,933 98¢ $2.9K +$9 11-01 19:31
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +2,537 $2,371 97¢ $2.4K +$79 10-31 18:28
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1,613 $1,061 98¢ $1.6K +$513 10-31 15:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,127 80¢ $1.2K +$80 10-31 23:48
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +1,020 $1,104 75¢ $765 -$339 10-29 17:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +719 $680 97¢ $698 +$18 11-01 21:11
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -500 -$1,417 90¢ $-452 +$965 10-29 17:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +385 $368 100¢ $385 +$17 11-02 05:34
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +386 $341 96¢ $372 +$31 10-31 03:35
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +307 $900 98¢ $301 -$600 10-31 20:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -336 -$213 88¢ $-294 -$81 05-14 03:44
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +201 $198 98¢ $198 -$1 10-31 02:43
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +766 $122 25¢ $191 +$69 08-28 19:50
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +114 $97 97¢ $111 +$14 10-31 18:14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +52 $51 98¢ $51 +$0 10-31 02:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +19 $9 96¢ $19 +$10 09-11 02:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 -$41 85¢ $4 +$46 10-21 16:43
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 Yes +19 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-19 13:19
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 -$206 100¢ $0 +$206 10-19 11:30
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +0 -$32 88¢ $0 +$32 10-17 04:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$23 70¢ $0 +$23 10-28 18:26