Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$210
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$117
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 06-15 14:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
36%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +54 $47 88¢ $48 +$0 06-15 13:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +326 $12 $15 +$3 06-15 13:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +48 $9 32¢ $15 +$6 06-12 13:41
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +823 $13 $11 $-2 06-15 14:48
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +2,988 $13 $10 $-2 06-15 13:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +40 $6 22¢ $9 +$3 06-12 13:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +745 $8 $6 $-3 06-15 13:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +271 $5 $2 $-3 06-15 13:40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:43