Realized P&L
+$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.93K
Hit rate
91.5%
Resolved
204
Trades
3,062
lifetime
Volume
$621.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$203
Open exposure
$21.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 19:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
49% 65% -$391
Politics
32% 90% +$829
Crypto
19% 63% +$755
Sports
0% 50% +$23
Tech
0% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10,956 -$6,258 92¢ $-10025 -$3,767 07-10 12:20
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -4,661 -$2,838 72¢ $-3333 -$495 10-23 18:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -1,642 -$1,728 98¢ $-1602 +$127 09-18 21:02
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1,541 $1,339 95¢ $1.5K +$120 10-06 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $910 97¢ $972 +$62 07-15 10:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $815 88¢ $875 +$60 07-21 14:46
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No +841 $456 96¢ $807 +$351 10-20 22:26
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -790 -$797 97¢ $-766 +$31 09-23 14:00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -649 -$544 92¢ $-600 -$57 06-02 23:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -617 -$399 94¢ $-583 -$184 09-17 08:55
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -396 -$210 90¢ $-356 -$147 07-05 05:11
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -200 -$162 94¢ $-187 -$25 07-05 11:15
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1,868 -$141 6¢ $-111 +$30 10-24 16:42
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +100 $50 14¢ $14 -$36 05-01 14:46