Worthless-Summer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.01K

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

709

Trades

3,135

lifetime

Volume

$1.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$326

Open exposure

$587

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Sports

76% 48% -$3,299

Other

22% 52% -$10,202

Crypto

2% 62% +$137

Politics

0% 17% -$822

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		-18,015	-$1,612	3¢	$-558	+$1,054	10-25 03:57
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes		+1,402	$75	2¢	$29	-$46	07-06 03:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba dal por 2026 03 27	10	$16.4K	17,808	17,808	+0	Mavericks	-$1,713	03-28 04:12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	100	$13.5K	75,769	93,784	-18,015	open	—	10-25 03:57
cbb rutger pennst 2026 02 18	2	$11.9K	6,102	6,102	+0	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+$299	02-19 01:45
nba cha por 2026 03 10	13	$11.2K	11,342	11,342	+0	Hornets	+$4,160	03-11 04:24
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	21	$11.1K	11,475	10,918	+557	Thunder	-$1,748	02-22 20:29
nba dal min 2026 02 20	4	$11.1K	5,809	5,809	+0	Timberwolves	+$537	02-21 03:28
nba den gsw 2026 02 22	10	$10.8K	10,660	5,704	+4,956	Warriors	+$2,171	02-22 23:00
nba lac ind 2026 03 27	15	$10.7K	12,229	12,228	+0	Clippers	-$277	03-28 01:32
nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	5	$10.0K	5,568	5,568	+0	Lakers	+$1,144	02-08 04:09
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	16	$9.9K	7,689	7,689	+0	Warriors	+$2,335	03-24 04:30
cbb coppst scarst 2026 02 16	5	$9.7K	4,944	4,944	+0	Coppin State Eagles	+$144	02-17 00:26
nba hou nyk 2026 02 21	4	$9.5K	8,493	8,493	+0	Knicks	+$5,306	02-22 04:04
cbb troy soumis 2026 02 14	7	$9.5K	5,083	5,083	+0	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	+$332	02-15 03:57
nba sas dal 2026 02 05	11	$9.4K	4,994	4,994	+0	Spurs	+$388	02-06 03:58
cbb mst wisc 2026 02 13	7	$9.4K	5,093	5,093	+0	Wisconsin Badgers	+$588	02-14 03:01
nba lac hou 2026 02 11	8	$9.3K	5,584	5,584	+0	Clippers	+$1,318	02-12 03:41
cbb uk fl 2026 02 14	3	$9.2K	4,725	4,725	+0	Florida Gators	+$282	02-14 22:34
nba lac dal 2026 03 21	9	$8.8K	7,896	7,896	+0	Clippers	-$852	03-22 03:00
cbb loych david 2026 02 06	2	$8.6K	4,486	4,486	+0	Davidson Wildcats	+$66	02-06 23:22
nba cle sac 2026 02 07	4	$8.4K	4,590	4,590	+0	Cavaliers	+$822	02-08 05:28
nba was det 2026 02 05	10	$8.0K	4,192	4,192	+0	Wizards	+$343	02-06 02:29
nba det cha 2026 02 09	13	$8.0K	4,889	4,889	+0	Pistons	+$1,783	02-10 02:43
nba tor was 2026 02 28	4	$8.0K	4,314	4,314	+0	Raptors	+$635	03-01 02:32
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	22	$7.8K	10,337	7,283	+3,054	Hornets	-$1,524	02-12 02:03
nba was bkn 2026 02 07	3	$7.3K	3,719	3,719	+0	Nets	+$16	02-07 21:21
nba mia bos 2026 02 06	15	$7.2K	5,048	5,048	+0	Celtics	+$1,107	02-07 03:10
nba nop min 2026 02 06	9	$7.0K	4,477	4,477	+0	Pelicans	-$836	02-07 04:19
wta costoul ferro 2026 02 20	8	$7.0K	4,293	4,293	+0	Ferro	+$647	02-20 13:56
nba nyk bos 2026 02 08	13	$6.7K	3,903	3,903	+0	Knicks	+$838	02-08 20:09
nba okc sas 2026 02 04	5	$6.7K	3,716	3,716	+0	Spurs	+$291	02-05 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:54:24	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x3bb1cc…
10-25 23:53:39	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2dd4a9…
10-25 23:42:24	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xb64e24…
10-25 23:36:39	Pacers vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x642829…
10-25 23:35:50	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0x78d7d7…
10-25 23:34:27	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	602	98¢	$590	0x5bbc86…
10-25 23:34:05	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xfde7b9…
10-25 23:32:51	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	SELL	358	13¢	$47	0xf5632c…
10-25 23:32:27	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	SELL	102	11¢	$11	0x908438…
10-25 22:11:44	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa954dc…
10-25 22:06:42	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x75840c…
10-25 22:05:12	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x208403…
10-25 22:03:50	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf077e0…
10-25 22:02:27	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x90f99c…
10-25 21:52:39	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x36723f…
10-25 21:47:53	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0d1ce4…
10-25 21:44:47	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb62575…
10-25 21:40:30	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4db4ab…
10-25 21:37:41	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xc63b92…
10-25 21:33:09	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x726139…
10-25 21:31:56	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x45e6b8…
10-25 21:29:27	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x92f367…
10-25 21:28:27	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe8b08c…
10-25 21:26:12	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf92cf0…
10-25 21:25:32	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x670adb…
10-25 21:17:32	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x304b52…
10-25 03:57:45	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x9eea09…
10-25 03:57:24	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,036	3¢	$131	0x9a723c…
10-25 03:56:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0xb15fa0…
10-25 02:42:32	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	1,017	87¢	$885	0x4964dd…
10-25 02:40:29	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	SELL	852	100¢	$852	0x8aef2b…
10-25 02:37:42	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	853	94¢	$800	0x46222a…
10-25 02:36:12	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	SELL	2,000	6¢	$122	0x6d2556…
10-25 02:25:42	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x2e3f6c…
10-25 02:11:50	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Nets	SELL	466	2¢	$9	0x32b916…
10-25 01:53:38	Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	SELL	429	3¢	$13	0xbdb19a…
10-25 01:53:29	Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	SELL	557	3¢	$19	0x7b58fa…
10-25 01:46:35	Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xff6731…
10-25 01:42:45	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Nets	BUY	466	1¢	$3	0x19529c…
10-25 01:41:41	Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0xa510a0…
10-25 01:27:57	Rockets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xf3433a…
10-25 01:27:42	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xda1854…
10-25 01:20:03	Rockets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5ecec3…
10-25 00:34:53	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	1,698	0¢	$5	0x5a2600…
10-25 00:09:48	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc43f19…
10-24 04:49:48	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xfaccac…
10-24 04:35:21	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6a4615…
10-24 04:33:38	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x06bc68…
10-24 04:32:05	Clippers vs. Lakers	Clippers	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4e8324…
10-24 04:31:05	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xbc84c2…
10-24 04:15:33	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x139b28…
10-24 03:49:57	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb2702f…
10-24 02:40:32	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x01e3ec…
10-24 02:36:21	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1aa9be…
10-24 02:35:09	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe874f4…
10-24 02:32:05	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9c8f28…
10-24 02:28:38	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9cc2f5…
10-24 02:25:53	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x863645…
10-24 02:12:26	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	471	2¢	$10	0xd79852…
10-24 02:08:48	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Pelicans	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x716c49…
10-24 01:47:44	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	SELL	867	100¢	$866	0xe74c3c…
10-24 01:43:08	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	491	2¢	$10	0x393995…
10-24 01:35:30	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x72372f…
10-24 01:33:27	Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	SELL	539	2¢	$10	0x8bfb13…
10-24 01:31:56	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x8989f0…
10-24 01:29:56	Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	501	2¢	$10	0x8f6302…
10-24 01:20:15	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x9869b6…
10-24 01:16:24	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	755	93¢	$700	0xed70ce…
10-24 01:03:51	Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x55e578…
10-24 00:56:12	Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	SELL	150	14¢	$21	0x326871…
10-24 00:50:32	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x56bb8d…
10-24 00:50:03	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x108128…
10-24 00:48:39	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	SELL	144	73¢	$105	0x4906ee…
10-24 00:42:54	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x103398…
10-24 00:40:32	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4cda9f…
10-24 00:36:23	Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xf588aa…
10-24 00:16:36	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	126	78¢	$98	0xeda0e2…
10-23 23:49:50	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x6718fc…
10-23 23:03:12	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfe3664…
10-23 23:02:38	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8abf1f…
10-23 22:58:29	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x284234…
10-23 22:57:30	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc4c0a3…
10-23 22:49:35	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x2628bd…
10-23 22:21:20	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	SELL	33	57¢	$19	0xa6f414…
10-23 21:00:39	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3242d5…
10-23 04:11:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3d123d…
10-23 04:09:30	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x14cbb4…
10-23 02:45:29	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x4cc436…
10-23 01:38:26	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	722	90¢	$649	0xe9cb3c…
10-23 00:39:02	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x0f364b…
10-23 00:00:05	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x33b320…
10-22 23:50:09	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa690ae…
10-22 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x5164cd…
10-22 19:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe527d1…
10-22 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6e6afb…
10-22 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd9116e…
10-22 19:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x506f6a…
10-22 19:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x82dd61…
10-21 04:18:26	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xeba71e…
10-21 04:17:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x8f6174…