Realized P&L
+$3.42K
Unrealized P&L
-$332
Hit rate
82.1%
Resolved
157
Trades
1,708
lifetime
Volume
$227.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$12.5K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 17:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
39% 74% +$85
Politics
38% 89% +$1,664
Crypto
22% 68% +$2,053
Sports
1% 40% -$382
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -3,367 -$2,848 94¢ $-3182 -$333 09-22 19:19
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -2,919 -$2,822 95¢ $-2782 +$40 11-11 22:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,459 89¢ $2.7K +$211 07-09 01:07
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,722 $1,455 46¢ $1.2K -$216 11-13 17:24
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +855 $730 98¢ $841 +$111 09-07 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -563 -$342 97¢ $-547 -$205 09-07 19:39
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -351 -$265 98¢ $-345 -$80 09-22 14:26
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -300 -$192 74¢ $-220 -$28 04-29 12:35
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$181 94¢ $-189 -$8 09-20 13:43
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +200 $126 77¢ $155 +$29 10-28 16:31
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -131 -$114 95¢ $-125 -$11 09-27 13:41
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -160 -$102 76¢ $-121 -$18 05-23 21:38
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +97 -$42 87¢ $84 +$126 09-23 00:50
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -34 -$33 98¢ $-34 $0 09-20 13:41
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No -11 -$9 83¢ $-9 +$0 10-09 12:03
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $0 94¢ $-1 -$1 09-20 13:41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +0 -$51 98¢ $0 +$51 09-11 09:14