Realized P&L
+$1.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$124
Hit rate
74.5%
Resolved
1,911
Trades
101,872
lifetime
Volume
$4.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-12 04:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 242 days
Categories
Other
39% 73% +$1,455
Sports
25% 70% +$114
Crypto
21% 80% -$317
Politics
13% 70% +$191
Tech
2% 85% -$87
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -226 -$211 97¢ $-219 -$8 09-15 16:07
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$186 97¢ $-194 -$9 04-29 14:04
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -196 -$189 98¢ $-192 -$3 09-14 03:12
US recession by end of 2026? No -200 -$150 92¢ $-185 -$35 04-29 12:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -194 -$152 94¢ $-184 -$32 05-07 01:13
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -164 -$158 99¢ $-163 -$4 06-09 15:08
Will Alberta join the US? No -159 -$157 99¢ $-157 $0 06-08 11:47
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$100 100¢ $-100 $0 06-06 05:45
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$95 100¢ $-100 -$5 09-20 22:52
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$2 06-22 12:29
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No -100 -$93 100¢ $-100 -$7 09-28 17:01
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$96 100¢ $-100 -$4 04-29 06:31
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 09-03 03:00
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 09-13 17:34
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 05-22 16:59
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -99 -$97 100¢ $-99 -$2 05-02 21:49
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 07-09 16:10
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 07-07 16:21
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 09-16 14:31
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -99 -$98 100¢ $-99 -$1 09-13 13:13
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 100¢ $-99 -$3 09-13 00:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$94 99¢ $-98 -$4 05-28 00:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-98 -$1 05-05 14:16
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-98 -$1 09-14 20:59
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 98¢ $-97 +$0 09-15 20:37
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$96 96¢ $-96 $0 09-27 00:09
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$91 97¢ $-96 -$5 08-30 23:51
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$96 96¢ $-96 +$0 09-14 21:23
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$97 95¢ $-94 +$2 09-18 01:08
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 94¢ $-94 +$3 09-20 16:36