Curly-Violin 0x8b061e…5c86e6
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$127
Unrealized P&L
+$83
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
21
Trades
78,326
lifetime
Volume
$2.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$3.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
38% 70% $-100
Sports
23% 62% +$35
Crypto
22% — —
Politics
14% 33% $-62
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -291 $-280 100¢ $-291 $-11 06-15 18:38
Will Alberta join the US? No -190 $-187 98¢ $-186 +$0 06-08 11:47
New pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-178 90¢ $-181 $-3 06-04 11:58
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +181 $129 100¢ $180 +$52 06-24 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -169 $-170 100¢ $-169 +$1 06-24 00:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -170 $-163 96¢ $-163 $-0 06-19 06:29
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +155 $153 99¢ $153 +$0 06-29 08:56
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -141 $-140 100¢ $-141 $-0 06-22 14:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +159 $137 88¢ $139 +$2 06-29 07:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +122 $85 100¢ $122 +$37 06-18 01:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +120 $117 100¢ $120 +$3 06-15 12:01
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -109 $-108 100¢ $-109 $-1 06-18 22:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -100 $-94 100¢ $-100 $-6 06-07 21:45
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 05-29 05:39
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -99 $-98 100¢ $-99 $-1 06-14 21:27
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +99 $91 100¢ $99 +$8 06-03 19:56
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $98 +$0 06-30 02:04
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 95¢ $95 $-1 05-29 07:55
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -94 $-91 100¢ $-94 $-3 05-29 18:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +94 $90 100¢ $94 +$4 06-09 15:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -97 $-92 96¢ $-93 $-1 05-27 23:56
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $96 91¢ $91 $-5 06-30 03:27
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $95 90¢ $90 $-5 06-28 02:37
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $87 87¢ $87 +$0 06-30 00:25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +89 $80 94¢ $83 +$4 06-25 09:32
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +83 $80 100¢ $82 +$3 06-16 20:01
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +82 $81 100¢ $82 +$1 05-31 21:49
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +81 $75 100¢ $80 +$5 06-17 15:12
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -80 $-81 100¢ $-80 +$1 06-23 12:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-78 78¢ $-78 +$0 06-08 00:07