Realized P&L
-$127
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
21
Trades
80,661
lifetime
Volume
$3.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$2.34K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
38% 70% $-100
Sports
23% 62% +$35
Crypto
23%
Politics
14% 33% $-62
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -281 $-269 96¢ $-271 $-2 07-15 19:42
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +246 $236 94¢ $230 $-6 07-17 17:59
New pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-178 94¢ $-187 $-9 06-04 11:58
Will Alberta join the US? No -190 $-187 97¢ $-185 +$2 06-08 11:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -152 $-135 90¢ $-136 $-1 07-19 10:04
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +98 $96 99¢ $96 +$0 07-14 15:39
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $-0 07-12 19:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -97 $-92 97¢ $-95 $-2 05-27 23:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -96 $-92 98¢ $-94 $-2 07-01 17:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +100 $94 93¢ $93 $-1 07-04 05:07
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +89 $80 97¢ $87 +$7 06-25 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 84¢ $84 $-2 07-19 11:02
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -78 $-75 98¢ $-76 $-1 07-03 21:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +82 $64 92¢ $75 +$11 06-26 23:27
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +70 $66 97¢ $68 +$2 07-17 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -64 $-63 98¢ $-63 +$0 06-09 15:08
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +58 $55 96¢ $56 +$0 07-17 23:12
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +55 $54 99¢ $55 +$0 07-01 07:58
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +59 $47 92¢ $54 +$7 07-03 18:01
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +46 $46 99¢ $46 +$0 06-09 22:10
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -41 $-41 98¢ $-40 +$1 06-27 17:29
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +39 $31 94¢ $36 +$6 06-08 19:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -39 $-28 88¢ $-34 $-6 07-15 14:07
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -50 $-12 46¢ $-23 $-11 07-13 17:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -23 $-27 86¢ $-19 +$8 07-20 06:46
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +19 $17 99¢ $18 +$1 06-29 03:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -11 $-11 94¢ $-10 +$0 07-11 11:25
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 95¢ $-9 +$1 06-22 08:06
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -0 $-0 95¢ $-0 +$0 06-28 23:22