Realized P&L
-$42
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
46,528
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$4.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
42% 73% $-22
Crypto
21%
Sports
19% 75% +$10
Politics
16% 60% $-30
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +624 $590 100¢ $623 +$32 06-24 12:56
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +234 $225 100¢ $233 +$8 06-18 13:12
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -228 $-220 100¢ $-227 $-7 06-15 20:58
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -200 $-197 100¢ $-200 $-3 06-18 22:56
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -193 $-192 100¢ $-192 $-0 06-23 12:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-174 86¢ $-171 +$3 06-26 02:04
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -165 $-166 100¢ $-165 +$1 06-22 11:23
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -156 $-145 100¢ $-156 $-11 06-22 00:04
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +144 $138 98¢ $140 +$2 06-29 16:42
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $130 94¢ $132 +$1 06-15 19:39
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +153 $128 82¢ $127 $-2 06-29 18:23
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +144 $125 88¢ $126 +$1 06-28 16:58
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +137 $128 90¢ $124 $-5 06-28 02:37
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +126 $124 97¢ $122 $-2 06-27 07:58
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -117 $-117 97¢ $-114 +$3 06-26 12:09
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +118 $112 95¢ $112 $-0 06-29 20:11
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -114 $-107 96¢ $-110 $-3 05-27 20:22
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +111 $110 98¢ $109 $-0 06-30 13:52
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -108 $-108 100¢ $-108 $-1 06-21 06:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +111 $94 92¢ $102 +$8 06-23 08:14
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-01 16:38
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-03 07:25
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-22 15:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$2 06-22 01:58
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 05-29 05:39
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -99 $-97 100¢ $-99 $-2 06-16 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 06-28 11:50
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $98 $-0 06-30 09:08
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No -100 $-97 98¢ $-98 $-1 06-19 05:18
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-98 98¢ $-98 +$0 06-27 08:42