Empty-Debtor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

51,897

lifetime

Volume

$2.17M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-09 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

42% 73% $-22

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

19% 75% +$10

Politics

16% 60% $-30

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 331 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	823	$21.1K	10,922	10,694	+228	open	—	04-27 03:44
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	882	$17.1K	8,878	8,792	+87	open	—	04-26 15:46
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	739	$14.8K	7,639	7,502	+136	open	—	04-16 04:44
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	556	$14.0K	6,956	7,349	-394	open	—	04-27 04:04
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	514	$13.8K	6,958	7,118	-159	open	—	03-10 15:29
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	420	$11.8K	6,246	6,057	+189	open	—	04-28 10:18
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	313	$11.4K	5,835	5,837	-2	open	—	03-15 04:20
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	429	$11.3K	6,084	5,671	+413	open	—	03-10 00:15
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	244	$11.2K	5,843	6,082	-239	open	—	07-22 08:01
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	263	$11.2K	5,739	5,841	-102	open	—	07-14 21:09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	247	$11.1K	5,805	5,635	+170	open	—	05-02 06:37
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	287	$10.2K	5,278	5,100	+178	open	—	04-28 08:39
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	138	$10.1K	5,428	5,428	+0	open	—	07-22 05:05
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	538	$10.0K	5,169	5,196	-27	No	+$1	04-10 02:47
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	533	$9.6K	5,183	4,670	+513	open	—	04-19 16:44
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	368	$9.3K	4,807	4,708	+99	open	—	04-26 08:14
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	484	$8.8K	4,499	4,518	-19	open	—	03-29 09:23
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	192	$8.7K	4,629	4,613	+16	open	—	06-23 13:50
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	357	$8.7K	4,924	4,133	+791	open	—	04-26 00:18
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	105	$8.5K	4,850	4,604	+247	open	—	03-26 20:29
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	280	$8.4K	4,318	4,234	+84	open	—	03-24 09:56
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	169	$8.2K	4,314	4,179	+136	open	—	03-23 18:09
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	302	$8.2K	4,104	4,481	-377	open	—	04-10 10:20
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	471	$8.2K	4,216	4,187	+29	open	—	04-18 17:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	129	$8.1K	4,254	4,032	+222	open	—	05-08 13:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	102	$7.8K	4,170	4,128	+42	open	—	05-24 04:41
israel closes its airspace by july 24	89	$7.8K	4,106	4,206	-100	open	—	07-25 00:16
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	130	$7.7K	4,061	4,416	-355	open	—	03-23 11:19
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	105	$7.7K	4,264	3,946	+318	open	—	03-24 09:18
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	416	$7.7K	3,965	3,865	+101	open	—	03-13 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 00:33:01	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0xd4bd3b…
08-10 00:05:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xac633f…
08-09 23:48:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x7e0c3a…
08-09 23:39:58	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x620331…
08-09 23:39:33	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x914233…
08-09 23:39:33	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x375f04…
08-09 23:31:42	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x24f9d4…
08-09 23:31:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0x0745de…
08-09 23:31:03	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x4e1c47…
08-09 23:31:03	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	88¢	$8	0x0a69ed…
08-09 23:21:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x062d28…
08-09 23:09:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0xc7917a…
08-09 22:58:34	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7f0958…
08-09 22:43:06	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xd69e36…
08-09 22:15:34	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xce9e7d…
08-09 21:56:42	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0xfa0caf…
08-09 20:54:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x3b43be…
08-09 20:46:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x4b6e2a…
08-09 20:38:33	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xa4b12f…
08-09 20:26:33	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x6efa7e…
08-09 20:10:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x72d723…
08-09 19:48:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0xe33aab…
08-09 19:05:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	89	94¢	$84	0xbfbdc6…
08-09 18:20:22	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xcc86ab…
08-09 17:52:00	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xacb07a…
08-09 17:09:13	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x3e78c2…
08-09 17:09:12	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	37	87¢	$32	0xb23cc9…
08-09 17:09:09	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x30011c…
08-09 16:50:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x5a39f9…
08-09 16:29:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0xaba6e1…
08-09 16:04:48	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0x78a07b…
08-09 15:36:25	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x89b52c…
08-09 15:29:27	will xrp reach 2pt8 in august 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xe354fb…
08-09 14:55:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x8f9c01…
08-09 14:40:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0xb7b8c0…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x33f0a5…
08-09 14:12:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	88	85¢	$75	0x5ccb6a…
08-09 14:08:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x054fab…
08-09 14:08:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x720ffd…
08-09 13:49:28	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7efada…
08-09 13:49:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf3df66…
08-09 13:49:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xaa9222…
08-09 13:21:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x5e8b9c…
08-09 13:12:39	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0x9ff425…
08-09 12:55:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x21f5d6…
08-09 12:38:57	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x20a82d…
08-09 12:25:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x8d50d0…
08-09 12:19:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xf40eca…
08-09 12:16:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xcd7257…
08-09 12:07:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	89	92¢	$82	0xe2d497…
08-09 12:01:07	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	86	86¢	$74	0xd10039…
08-09 11:54:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0x83f365…
08-09 11:52:43	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x10374f…
08-09 11:51:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xad0c1b…
08-09 11:27:42	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x72e67e…
08-09 10:50:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	16	86¢	$13	0xce47f5…
08-09 10:41:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x4c7583…
08-09 10:10:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xf2e48a…
08-09 09:55:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x882d8a…
08-09 09:20:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$6	0xdf0701…
08-09 08:50:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xb0fe47…
08-09 08:43:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x280650…
08-09 08:27:21	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3a78c2…
08-09 07:55:22	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x43a2bc…
08-09 07:23:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x492c26…
08-09 06:51:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0xc8a3cf…
08-09 06:33:43	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x6d7ae1…
08-09 06:23:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xfb58a5…
08-09 06:21:09	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0x1710da…
08-09 05:47:27	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x34ffa4…
08-09 05:17:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xa4791c…
08-09 05:08:15	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	130	97¢	$127	0x21088e…
08-09 05:02:57	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	No	SELL	67	95¢	$64	0x833f0c…
08-09 04:58:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4b5aa1…
08-09 04:57:10	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x80e52f…
08-09 04:56:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd78093…
08-09 04:52:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x24ec9e…
08-09 04:45:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x8307d3…
08-09 04:30:12	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x828927…
08-09 04:24:37	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x95f836…
08-09 04:22:03	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x7261cf…
08-09 03:54:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xa2b3ab…
08-09 03:42:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa0b1a1…
08-09 03:40:21	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	91	96¢	$87	0xee3518…
08-09 03:25:06	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x6c75d8…
08-09 02:51:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x168247…
08-09 02:38:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x352b2e…
08-09 02:32:58	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x48f04b…
08-09 02:11:33	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	55	87¢	$48	0x4505a9…
08-09 02:00:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x144195…
08-09 01:50:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xe3e07c…
08-09 01:49:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0xd5240e…
08-09 01:01:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x28c033…
08-08 23:40:19	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x45038d…
08-08 23:16:16	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xa4afdc…
08-08 22:57:15	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x4aabf3…
08-08 22:37:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd86451…
08-08 22:27:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	97	97¢	$94	0xe207d6…
08-08 21:59:16	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x69b6e6…
08-08 21:46:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x33f683…