Realized P&L
-$42
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
42,497
lifetime
Volume
$1.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
43% 73% $-22
Sports
20% 75% +$10
Crypto
19%
Politics
16% 60% $-30
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 609 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +334 $324 98¢ $326 +$1 06-03 08:52
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -200 $-197 99¢ $-198 $-2 06-09 19:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +253 $199 74¢ $189 $-10 06-07 12:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +199 $183 94¢ $186 +$3 06-04 14:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-172 84¢ $-169 +$3 06-07 01:04
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No -163 $-161 99¢ $-162 $-1 06-09 13:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -154 $-147 95¢ $-147 +$1 06-06 03:53
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +151 $132 90¢ $136 +$4 06-09 05:21
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -114 $-107 95¢ $-109 $-2 05-27 20:22
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-01 16:38
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-03 07:25
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 05-29 05:39
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-09 20:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$1 06-02 22:06
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-04 03:39
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 98¢ $98 $-0 06-05 06:13
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +100 $98 97¢ $97 $-0 06-09 19:52
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -97 $-97 99¢ $-97 $-0 05-31 10:24
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$0 06-09 12:47
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +99 $95 96¢ $96 +$0 06-09 22:18
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +99 $96 97¢ $96 +$0 06-09 06:46
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $94 94¢ $94 $-0 06-08 17:09
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 94¢ $94 $-3 06-08 16:18
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? No -100 $-99 93¢ $-93 +$5 05-30 03:05
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-94 93¢ $-93 +$1 06-01 02:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No -100 $-97 92¢ $-92 +$4 05-29 17:17
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +100 $97 90¢ $90 $-7 06-04 10:40
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -100 $-70 90¢ $-90 $-20 05-28 08:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $90 88¢ $88 $-2 06-04 10:30
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -90 $-88 97¢ $-87 +$0 06-09 06:42