Realized P&L
+$50
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
2,323
Trades
77,164
lifetime
Volume
$3.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$3.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-22 03:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 218 days
Categories
Other
42% 79% +$226
Sports
24% 82% +$43
Crypto
17% 84% -$267
Politics
13% 78% +$81
Tech
2% 75% -$65
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -200 -$193 97¢ $-195 -$2 09-16 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -200 -$156 94¢ $-189 -$33 05-02 00:22
US recession by end of 2026? No -200 -$152 92¢ $-185 -$33 07-22 00:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -106 -$99 97¢ $-103 -$4 09-12 23:55
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 09-08 00:33
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 06-04 18:05
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$100 100¢ $-100 $0 06-22 12:29
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$94 100¢ $-100 -$6 09-15 03:13
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$97 100¢ $-100 -$3 07-04 13:57
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 05-22 16:59
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$97 100¢ $-99 -$3 08-22 15:29
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$4 08-07 21:59
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 06-15 12:02
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 08-28 18:52
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 09-16 14:31
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 08-17 08:05
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 100¢ $-99 -$1 09-13 17:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$94 99¢ $-99 -$4 09-07 13:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-98 -$1 05-03 10:12
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$104 98¢ $-98 +$6 07-07 21:45
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-98 $0 09-13 23:16
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 98¢ $-97 +$1 09-15 20:37
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$90 97¢ $-97 -$6 09-17 10:02
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 96¢ $-96 +$1 09-14 21:23
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$96 96¢ $-96 $0 09-27 00:09
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 96¢ $-96 +$3 09-14 00:39
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 95¢ $-94 +$1 09-18 01:07
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -100 -$93 94¢ $-94 -$1 06-16 13:57
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$93 94¢ $-94 $0 09-16 14:29
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 94¢ $-93 +$3 09-20 16:36