Realized P&L (7d)
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$112
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved (7d)
18
Trades (7d)
0
77,164 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$3.26M lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$3.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-22 03:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
42% 79% +$242
Sports
24% 81% +$124
Crypto
17% 84% -$267
Politics
13% 77% +$127
Tech
2% 73% -$83
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -200 -$193 99¢ $-198 -$5 09-16 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -200 -$156 97¢ $-193 -$37 05-02 00:22
US recession by end of 2026? No -200 -$152 96¢ $-191 -$39 07-22 00:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -106 -$99 98¢ $-104 -$5 09-12 23:55
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$94 100¢ $-100 -$6 09-15 03:13
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$100 100¢ $-100 $0 08-04 19:32
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 06-04 18:05
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -100 -$100 100¢ $-100 $0 06-22 12:29
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-22 16:59
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$97 100¢ $-100 -$3 08-22 15:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No -100 -$97 99¢ $-99 -$2 05-03 10:12
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 $0 06-15 12:02
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 08-28 18:52
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$4 08-07 21:59
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 100¢ $-99 -$1 09-13 17:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$94 99¢ $-99 -$4 09-07 13:14
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 09-16 14:31
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 98¢ $-98 +$1 08-17 08:05
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$90 98¢ $-98 -$8 09-17 10:02
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$98 99¢ $-98 +$0 09-15 20:37
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -100 -$104 97¢ $-97 +$7 07-07 21:45
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-97 $0 09-13 23:16
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 97¢ $-97 +$2 09-14 00:39
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 96¢ $-96 +$0 09-14 21:23
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$96 96¢ $-96 +$0 09-27 00:09
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -100 -$93 94¢ $-94 -$1 06-16 13:57
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 95¢ $-94 +$1 09-18 01:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -100 -$88 92¢ $-92 -$4 04-29 10:18
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 90¢ $-89 +$8 09-20 16:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -89 -$84 100¢ $-89 -$4 07-10 05:55