Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$3.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$159

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-22 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$11

Politics

21% 100% +$3

Sports

16% 100% +$5

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	+59	$57	99¢	$58	+$1	09-30 01:22
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	+57	$54	97¢	$55	+$1	10-07 17:14
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+49	$48	94¢	$46	-$2	05-15 06:20
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	07-24 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$150	78	78	+0	No	+$0	09-09 03:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	2	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$0	09-12 12:36
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	11	$114	59	59	+0	No	+$0	08-02 17:48
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$0	08-22 06:27
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	09-19 12:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$113	58	58	+0	No	+$0	07-30 15:02
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	2	$113	58	58	+0	No	+$0	08-01 16:55
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	5	$110	56	56	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:01
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	8	$110	56	56	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:55
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?	2	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	08-15 19:07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	09-19 22:59
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	09-19 00:31
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$0	07-01 18:00
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	4	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-19 05:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	10-03 14:39
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	7	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-15 12:01
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:09
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	3	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$1	06-16 02:57
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	4	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 07:56
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	7	$96	51	51	+0	open	—	05-24 09:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$0	05-28 12:32
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	6	$95	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:50
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$0	08-04 16:57
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	2	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$0	05-26 09:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	4	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	06-18 19:11
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	5	$86	45	45	+0	open	—	07-21 02:37
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	1	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	09-30 01:22
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	1	$56	58	0	+58	open	—	08-14 13:19
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$56	58	0	+58	No	+$2	07-01 10:46
Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	2	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	10-15 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 00:22:14	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x8645b6…
10-15 08:23:16	Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$41	0x678186…
10-09 08:41:52	Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x39fa36…
10-07 17:14:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x5a51a8…
10-03 14:39:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xfd8619…
09-30 01:22:27	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xf6e978…
09-19 22:59:09	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x2b401f…
09-19 12:31:30	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc17211…
09-19 00:31:21	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x074790…
09-17 13:51:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x73be57…
09-14 19:52:45	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x276246…
09-13 01:07:57	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x5a7d50…
09-12 12:36:37	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x7c7b5a…
09-09 05:03:33	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xbf51b0…
09-09 03:42:48	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$75	0x2176e7…
09-02 11:42:18	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x1c112e…
08-22 06:27:51	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x088c22…
08-21 13:55:57	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0xda3cfb…
08-19 12:11:30	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x10a67c…
08-15 19:07:39	Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x845e9a…
08-15 04:31:03	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xd48895…
08-14 13:19:31	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x72fb3c…
08-04 16:57:05	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x259326…
08-04 16:21:27	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x6e2d0f…
08-02 17:48:42	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf8fbd3…
08-02 11:19:11	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x3f1606…
08-01 17:08:15	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc19fc5…
08-01 16:55:02	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x286bc3…
08-01 13:36:27	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xd4ac1e…
07-31 20:30:15	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x3abe1e…
07-31 13:05:30	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xcb0eed…
07-31 10:43:12	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x77dd7d…
07-30 21:08:32	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x7d45a5…
07-30 15:02:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xa9c59e…
07-24 08:47:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf58b95…
07-23 15:29:48	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdd6b72…
07-23 12:54:46	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfb95ec…
07-23 03:55:21	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe1fa4a…
07-22 23:23:22	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xc0115f…
07-22 19:25:51	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x6c6e6b…
07-22 18:54:34	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x83c4a9…
07-22 16:15:45	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x676772…
07-22 15:36:03	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xb17ce5…
07-22 14:25:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xcc8499…
07-21 02:37:27	Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x5c58b6…
07-01 18:00:35	Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x42383f…
07-01 10:46:56	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x7588b9…
07-01 10:46:43	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7f8930…
07-01 10:45:14	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x730409…
07-01 10:43:10	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x77ef7c…
07-01 10:41:50	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x424a82…
07-01 10:41:05	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x470ca2…
06-18 19:11:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x570958…
06-18 18:34:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x66bb11…
06-16 11:27:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x85a2c4…
06-16 02:57:18	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x212b1f…
06-15 04:21:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x038db9…
06-15 03:56:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc52fb7…
06-14 04:34:40	Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x0a2668…
06-14 01:19:00	Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x880e5d…
06-13 23:01:33	Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x4d0292…
06-13 16:59:36	Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x4184c8…
06-13 07:56:40	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa8a45f…
06-06 13:12:09	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd0261a…
06-04 14:25:24	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xbbc98b…
06-04 11:16:37	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xbc48e3…
06-03 13:48:38	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x8727e0…
05-31 08:07:40	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x34bc95…
05-31 00:55:25	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x92a142…
05-30 13:44:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd340bd…
05-30 08:41:20	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb04baa…
05-29 19:32:47	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb3b67c…
05-29 17:23:57	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x6b5a74…
05-29 16:16:45	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5463c8…
05-29 16:08:35	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x67e818…
05-29 07:01:23	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xeef5e5…
05-29 02:42:55	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xecb5b5…
05-28 19:28:04	Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x3f77a4…
05-28 12:32:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xde8e69…
05-26 09:53:51	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xef9e0f…
05-26 08:38:46	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x194b58…
05-26 08:13:57	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x96b49d…
05-26 07:47:39	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc94f43…
05-26 07:17:27	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd278a3…
05-26 07:16:40	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf658a…
05-26 06:50:43	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xd8e78c…
05-24 09:44:50	Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xce9a3f…
05-20 15:32:10	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xb596c0…
05-20 14:56:19	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xacd262…
05-20 13:32:53	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3defca…
05-20 13:19:03	Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x72d530…
05-20 13:17:32	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3556da…
05-20 13:10:22	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2ffaa6…
05-20 12:56:20	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xaf2081…
05-19 05:33:23	Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x7b69a5…
05-18 16:09:05	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x1553d6…
05-17 07:16:49	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x43a7ec…
05-15 18:27:07	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x217945…
05-15 12:51:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x2fad24…
05-15 12:01:11	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd5c844…