(anonymous) 0x03601e…7e0469
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
377
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$5.02K
26 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-27 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56% 50% +$18
Other
33% 67% +$1
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +837 $595 90¢ $757 +$162 10-25 21:58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +709 $623 98¢ $695 +$71 10-23 16:48
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +544 $484 94¢ $513 +$29 10-23 13:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +503 $303 88¢ $445 +$142 10-24 05:17
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +503 $386 81¢ $407 +$21 10-24 08:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +500 $365 64¢ $320 -$45 10-24 10:58
No one announced as next James Bond? No +420 $308 75¢ $314 +$6 10-25 16:42
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +270 $264 98¢ $265 +$1 10-25 10:22
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +290 $201 64¢ $187 -$14 10-26 03:16
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +500 $130 36¢ $178 +$47 10-24 10:58
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +459 $140 32¢ $145 +$4 10-25 20:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +202 $139 70¢ $140 +$1 10-25 20:09
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +843 $240 16¢ $131 -$109 10-25 21:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +292 $95 36¢ $105 +$10 10-26 03:16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +130 $100 75¢ $98 -$2 10-25 09:30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +68 $63 98¢ $67 +$4 10-25 22:54
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +999 $205 6¢ $65 -$140 10-23 16:37
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +504 $195 12¢ $61 -$134 10-24 05:17
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $42 94¢ $46 +$4 10-26 14:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +544 $54 6¢ $32 -$22 10-23 13:11
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +110 $22 20¢ $21 -$1 10-26 22:02
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +94 $12 17¢ $16 +$4 10-26 09:57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +27 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 10-26 14:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +22 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 10-25 22:03
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +829 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-23 16:55
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +68 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-25 22:54