Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
9
Trades
111
lifetime
Volume
$509
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$11
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 11-07 17:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
45% 100% +$0
Other
40% 80% +$0
Crypto
11% — —
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-20 19:53
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 10-26 10:40
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 10-14 21:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 10-05 15:01
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-17 00:50
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-22 02:19
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-18 21:36
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-26 17:20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-05 08:48
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-08 01:20
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-10 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-17 05:51
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-09 01:27
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 09-20 19:08