Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
53
Trades
5,233
lifetime
Volume
$65.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-09 21:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
66% 45% $-17
Politics
34% 78% $-16
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +330 $317 98¢ $322 +$5 06-09 19:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +280 $256 91¢ $254 $-2 06-08 19:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +200 $195 99¢ $198 +$2 06-09 21:40
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 06-06 17:56
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -150 $-150 100¢ $-149 +$0 06-06 17:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +130 $128 99¢ $129 +$1 06-01 20:11
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No -133 $-132 97¢ $-129 +$4 06-03 05:46
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 $-0 06-09 20:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 06-05 18:44
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -88 $-83 96¢ $-84 $-1 06-02 06:59
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -80 $-89 95¢ $-76 +$12 06-08 19:48
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -70 $-66 94¢ $-66 $-0 06-05 13:26
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +60 $52 90¢ $54 +$2 06-09 17:31
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +56 $50 92¢ $51 +$1 06-06 04:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$0 06-01 07:34
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +50 $48 97¢ $48 +$0 06-09 10:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$1 06-03 13:43
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -50 $-48 94¢ $-47 +$1 06-06 18:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -50 $-47 94¢ $-47 $-0 05-28 11:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 06-08 07:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$3 06-02 08:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +50 $37 88¢ $44 +$7 06-08 11:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +61 $36 69¢ $42 +$6 06-03 04:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -50 $-42 82¢ $-41 +$0 06-01 18:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$2 06-01 23:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -44 $-40 88¢ $-39 +$1 05-31 14:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +40 $25 90¢ $36 +$12 06-07 00:01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -47 $-38 66¢ $-31 +$7 06-03 15:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -30 $-30 99¢ $-30 +$0 06-03 13:34
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +30 $28 92¢ $27 $-0 06-05 14:01