Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
53
Trades
8,248
lifetime
Volume
$105.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$3.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-21 16:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
61% 45% $-17
Politics
36% 78% $-16
Sports
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +740 $587 72¢ $537 $-50 07-21 21:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +200 $178 94¢ $189 +$11 07-14 20:53
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -182 $-187 97¢ $-176 +$11 07-10 15:20
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -179 $-175 95¢ $-171 +$4 07-11 00:46
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No +165 $153 93¢ $154 +$1 07-11 14:37
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +200 $148 76¢ $151 +$3 07-21 23:56
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -150 $-142 95¢ $-143 $-0 07-14 21:09
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -154 $-126 77¢ $-119 +$8 07-21 21:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -130 $-116 90¢ $-116 +$0 06-14 21:40
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +120 $105 92¢ $111 +$5 07-12 12:07
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -108 $-107 96¢ $-103 +$4 07-21 16:37
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$6 07-14 11:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -100 $-95 90¢ $-89 +$6 07-20 04:56
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +95 $86 89¢ $85 $-1 07-20 17:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +70 $66 99¢ $69 +$3 07-19 07:34
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -70 $-66 96¢ $-68 $-2 06-05 13:26
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -80 $-67 82¢ $-66 +$1 07-21 21:01
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No -64 $-64 94¢ $-59 +$5 07-20 11:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +80 $54 70¢ $56 +$2 07-21 09:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +60 $52 92¢ $55 +$3 07-20 14:54
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $68 52¢ $52 $-16 07-08 13:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -50 $-49 97¢ $-48 +$1 06-13 08:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +87 $46 56¢ $48 +$2 07-19 19:31
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +54 $45 86¢ $46 +$1 07-05 11:44
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 07-20 20:40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +50 $46 90¢ $45 $-0 06-29 13:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +61 $35 74¢ $45 +$10 06-12 17:28
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +50 $44 82¢ $41 $-4 07-09 01:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -50 $-43 80¢ $-40 +$4 07-17 18:44
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -42 $-38 93¢ $-39 $-1 07-07 22:02