Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
53
Trades
5,264
lifetime
Volume
$65.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-11 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
66% 45% $-17
Politics
34% 78% $-16
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +330 $317 97¢ $319 +$2 06-09 19:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +280 $256 91¢ $254 $-2 06-08 19:31
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 06-06 17:56
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No -155 $-154 97¢ $-151 +$4 06-10 17:06
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -150 $-150 100¢ $-150 $-0 06-06 17:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +130 $128 99¢ $129 +$1 06-01 20:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -130 $-129 99¢ $-129 +$0 06-10 19:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 06-10 09:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$0 06-09 20:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 06-05 18:44
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -85 $-80 96¢ $-81 $-1 06-11 00:40
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +90 $81 90¢ $81 $-0 06-10 12:27
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -70 $-66 94¢ $-66 $-0 06-05 13:26
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -60 $-70 93¢ $-56 +$14 06-10 11:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +60 $52 90¢ $54 +$2 06-09 17:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$0 06-01 07:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$1 06-03 13:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -50 $-47 94¢ $-47 $-0 05-28 11:37
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -50 $-48 94¢ $-47 +$1 06-06 18:07
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +50 $48 94¢ $47 $-1 06-09 10:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 06-08 07:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +50 $37 90¢ $45 +$8 06-08 11:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$3 06-02 08:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$2 06-01 23:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -50 $-42 78¢ $-39 +$2 06-01 18:29
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -44 $-40 88¢ $-39 +$1 05-31 14:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +40 $25 92¢ $37 +$12 06-07 00:01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -47 $-38 68¢ $-32 +$6 06-03 15:29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -30 $-31 100¢ $-30 +$1 06-10 18:58
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$0 06-05 14:01