Golden-Chivalry 0x276287…222cf6
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
+$117
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
53
Trades
6,328
lifetime
Volume
$79.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-01 03:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
63% 45% $-17
Politics
35% 78% $-16
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +200 $198 100¢ $199 +$1 06-30 11:20
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +200 $184 94¢ $189 +$5 06-06 17:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +200 $179 93¢ $186 +$7 06-22 09:13
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +130 $127 99¢ $129 +$2 06-29 04:26
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +144 $128 90¢ $129 +$1 06-30 06:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +150 $131 86¢ $128 $-3 06-30 09:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -130 $-116 90¢ $-118 $-1 06-14 21:40
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No +120 $111 94¢ $113 +$2 07-01 10:12
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -152 $-119 72¢ $-109 +$10 06-28 02:58
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +150 $109 71¢ $107 $-2 06-30 20:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -100 $-108 96¢ $-96 +$13 07-01 09:18
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +88 $84 100¢ $88 +$4 06-27 10:15
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +92 $81 92¢ $84 +$3 06-30 15:39
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -79 $-79 96¢ $-76 +$3 06-29 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -70 $-66 96¢ $-67 $-1 06-05 13:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +50 $46 100¢ $50 +$4 06-14 07:19
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +50 $46 100¢ $50 +$4 06-18 17:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -50 $-49 96¢ $-48 +$1 06-13 08:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $46 95¢ $48 +$1 06-18 15:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -50 $-47 94¢ $-47 $-0 05-28 11:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -50 $-47 94¢ $-47 +$0 06-28 15:45
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 06-29 13:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +61 $35 72¢ $44 +$9 06-12 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -50 $-42 86¢ $-43 $-1 06-01 18:29
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +50 $34 83¢ $42 +$7 06-19 05:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +40 $-3 99¢ $40 +$43 06-26 14:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +42 $28 84¢ $35 +$7 07-01 02:09
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No -30 $-27 100¢ $-30 $-3 06-12 22:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +30 $23 80¢ $24 +$1 06-28 17:06
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -24 $-22 87¢ $-21 +$1 06-26 22:39