Realized P&L
+$20.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$17.3K
Hit rate
98.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
11,994
lifetime
Volume
$5.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$475
Open exposure
$49.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
80% 71% +$17,191
Other
20% 75% +$3,038
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +90,812 $13,085 26¢ $24.1K +$10,980 07-20 11:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,611 $-4,764 76¢ $-4293 +$471 07-15 05:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +30,000 $2,500 11¢ $3.1K +$650 07-14 14:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No -3,111 $-3,073 99¢ $-3066 +$8 07-03 21:43
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? No +2,375 $2,196 99¢ $2.3K +$147 07-13 06:19
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,288 $1,425 100¢ $2.3K +$860 06-20 20:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +4,485 $1,836 44¢ $2.0K +$160 07-13 10:16
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1,675 $1,536 98¢ $1.6K +$106 07-16 11:48
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,632 $1,529 98¢ $1.6K +$74 07-13 06:20
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1,212 $1,137 96¢ $1.2K +$21 07-13 09:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3,231 $1,002 32¢ $1.1K +$48 07-15 18:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -7,441 $-2,410 14¢ $-1005 +$1,406 06-17 21:51
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? No +522 $457 90¢ $472 +$15 06-02 21:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +511 $128 82¢ $421 +$294 06-10 15:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,290 $319 22¢ $284 $-35 07-20 11:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -10,436 $-2,087 $-162 +$1,925 07-06 23:18
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -338 $-250 18¢ $-59 +$191 06-10 15:37
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +129 $8 $8 +$1 07-20 01:56
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-06 04:57