Common-Nitrogen 0x68c24b…fd1711
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$86.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.9K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
903
Trades
18,282
lifetime
Volume
$7.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$396
Open exposure
$139.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 19:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Politics
73% 65% +$176,646
Other
26% 58% -$88,803
Sports
1% 52% -$1,235
Tech
0% 44% -$320
Crypto
0% 100% +$60
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1094 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,000 $18,000 92¢ $18.5K +$500 10-10 09:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +15,000 $12,043 95¢ $14.2K +$2,206 09-18 22:21
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +47,501 $8,769 28¢ $13.1K +$4,294 10-28 19:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +44,424 $7,717 28¢ $12.4K +$4,722 10-28 20:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -52,000 -$6,898 16¢ $-8398 -$1,500 08-12 23:07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40,077 -$8,472 18¢ $-7294 +$1,178 10-26 20:05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,167 $5,998 66¢ $6.8K +$763 09-17 10:52
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +6,335 $2,905 100¢ $6.3K +$3,424 09-18 21:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7,189 $4,124 86¢ $6.1K +$2,023 07-15 05:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +53,428 $6,276 11¢ $5.6K -$639 10-04 17:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,122 $4,060 68¢ $4.9K +$819 09-17 10:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,500 $3,239 5¢ $4.0K +$736 06-30 06:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +145,988 $3,378 3¢ $3.7K +$345 09-17 20:22
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -3,957 -$3,327 88¢ $-3482 -$155 10-03 16:57
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +4,947 $2,364 64¢ $3.2K +$827 09-23 20:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +3,606 $2,175 82¢ $2.9K +$764 09-29 12:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,603 $73 43¢ $2.4K +$2,333 07-13 12:41
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1,963 $1,793 99¢ $1.9K +$147 05-19 14:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +36,227 $1,825 5¢ $1.8K +$4 10-26 14:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,567 $1,673 17¢ $1.7K +$76 09-04 18:29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,818 $872 96¢ $1.7K +$873 06-25 20:34
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +1,280 $1,220 98¢ $1.3K +$37 08-17 19:18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,425 -$1,122 84¢ $-1197 -$75 09-29 10:50
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +1,037 $977 97¢ $1.0K +$26 08-04 15:53
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,614 $976 28¢ $994 +$18 10-28 19:21
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +980 $921 98¢ $958 +$37 07-03 12:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,133 -$396 82¢ $-923 -$527 05-18 22:23
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +919 $595 88¢ $811 +$216 10-26 11:26
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +512,474 $1,325 0¢ $769 -$556 09-19 16:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,443 $751 52¢ $758 +$7 10-28 20:01