Realized P&L (24h)
+$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.2K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
0
18,326 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$7.25M lifetime
Avg / trade
$396
Open exposure
$125.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Politics
73% 65% +$176,646
Other
26% 59% -$82,204
Sports
1% 52% -$1,235
Tech
0% 50% +$3,111
Crypto
0% 100% +$60
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1094 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,000 $18,000 94¢ $18.9K +$900 10-10 09:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +15,000 $12,043 96¢ $14.5K +$2,431 09-18 22:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -52,000 -$6,898 16¢ $-8528 -$1,630 08-12 23:07
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32,540 $4,370 26¢ $8.3K +$3,927 10-29 22:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40,077 -$8,472 19¢ $-7474 +$998 10-26 20:05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,167 $5,998 72¢ $7.4K +$1,373 09-17 10:52
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +25,000 $2,569 26¢ $6.4K +$3,806 10-30 18:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +53,428 $6,276 12¢ $6.3K +$55 10-04 17:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7,189 $4,124 86¢ $6.2K +$2,094 07-15 05:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,122 $4,060 70¢ $5.0K +$962 09-17 10:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,500 $3,239 5¢ $4.0K +$776 06-30 06:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +145,988 $3,378 2¢ $3.6K +$199 09-17 20:22
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -3,957 -$3,327 88¢ $-3502 -$175 10-03 16:57
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +4,947 $2,364 68¢ $3.3K +$976 09-23 20:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +3,606 $2,175 82¢ $3.0K +$800 09-29 12:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,603 $73 40¢ $2.3K +$2,193 07-13 12:41
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1,963 $1,793 99¢ $2.0K +$158 05-19 14:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +36,227 $1,825 5¢ $1.8K -$32 10-26 14:43
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,818 $872 96¢ $1.7K +$869 06-25 20:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,567 $1,673 16¢ $1.7K +$49 09-04 18:29
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +1,280 $1,220 98¢ $1.3K +$36 08-17 19:18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,425 -$1,122 86¢ $-1219 -$96 09-29 10:50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,614 $976 28¢ $994 +$18 10-28 19:21
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +1,037 $977 95¢ $988 +$11 08-04 15:53
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +980 $921 98¢ $958 +$37 07-03 12:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,133 -$396 82¢ $-929 -$532 05-18 22:23
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -20,738 -$1,056 4¢ $-798 +$257 05-20 13:25
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +512,474 $1,325 0¢ $769 -$556 09-19 16:52
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +1,394 $570 55¢ $767 +$197 10-26 22:48
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +919 $595 79¢ $725 +$130 10-26 11:26