Common-Nitrogen 0x68c24b…fd1711
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$22.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.1K
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved (90d)
102
Trades (90d)
3,298
18,293 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$645.5K
$7.18M lifetime
Avg / trade
$393
Open exposure
$131.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 00:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Politics
73% 65% +$176,646
Other
26% 59% -$82,254
Sports
1% 52% -$1,235
Tech
0% 44% -$320
Crypto
0% 100% +$60
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1094 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,000 $18,000 94¢ $18.7K +$700 10-10 09:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +15,000 $12,043 94¢ $14.0K +$1,981 09-18 22:21
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +36,273 $5,613 26¢ $9.6K +$3,999 10-29 16:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -52,000 -$6,898 17¢ $-8684 -$1,786 08-12 23:07
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32,540 $4,370 26¢ $8.6K +$4,253 10-29 22:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,167 $5,998 68¢ $7.0K +$966 09-17 10:52
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40,077 -$8,472 17¢ $-6793 +$1,679 10-26 20:05
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +6,335 $2,905 100¢ $6.3K +$3,424 09-18 21:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7,189 $4,124 86¢ $6.2K +$2,094 07-15 05:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,122 $4,060 70¢ $5.0K +$890 09-17 10:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +53,428 $6,276 9¢ $4.8K -$1,494 10-04 17:14
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,500 $3,239 5¢ $4.1K +$815 06-30 06:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +145,988 $3,378 3¢ $3.7K +$345 09-17 20:22
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -3,957 -$3,327 88¢ $-3502 -$175 10-03 16:57
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +4,947 $2,364 64¢ $3.1K +$778 09-23 20:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +3,606 $2,175 82¢ $2.9K +$764 09-29 12:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,603 $73 42¢ $2.4K +$2,288 07-13 12:41
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1,963 $1,793 100¢ $2.0K +$160 05-19 14:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +36,227 $1,825 5¢ $1.9K +$41 10-26 14:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,567 $1,673 16¢ $1.7K +$71 09-04 18:29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,818 $872 95¢ $1.7K +$851 06-25 20:34
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +1,280 $1,220 98¢ $1.3K +$37 08-17 19:18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,425 -$1,122 81¢ $-1154 -$32 09-29 10:50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,614 $976 30¢ $1.1K +$126 10-28 19:21
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +1,037 $977 94¢ $972 -$5 08-04 15:53
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +980 $921 98¢ $958 +$37 07-03 12:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,133 -$396 79¢ $-895 -$498 05-18 22:23
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +512,474 $1,325 0¢ $769 -$556 09-19 16:52
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +919 $595 84¢ $767 +$172 10-26 11:26
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +1,394 $570 54¢ $746 +$176 10-26 22:48