Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
196
Trades
5,236
lifetime
Volume
$72.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$317
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 09:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
53% 53% -$171
Crypto
28% 79% +$203
Tech
11% 71% +$10
Politics
8% 55% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +21 $14 96¢ $21 +$7 07-03 14:15
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -21 -$21 95¢ $-20 +$0 10-21 07:17
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +23 $17 86¢ $20 +$3 10-29 04:26
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +22 $14 91¢ $20 +$6 07-05 21:34
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +21 $19 92¢ $19 +$0 10-26 15:47
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +20 $20 96¢ $19 $0 07-02 13:58
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +21 $0 92¢ $19 +$19 10-30 09:23
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +22 $20 89¢ $19 -$1 06-24 04:52
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +21 $19 89¢ $19 $0 06-24 11:54
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -18 -$15 97¢ $-17 -$2 07-09 07:11
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +21 $18 74¢ $16 -$2 07-14 16:29
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$2 08-20 10:51
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +16 $12 93¢ $15 +$3 10-16 16:25
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +26 $19 41¢ $11 -$8 06-26 13:58
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 08-24 09:45
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$0 10-25 10:47
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 06-27 10:00
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +11 $10 76¢ $9 -$1 06-26 14:13
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +9 $9 94¢ $9 $0 06-23 20:12
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -6 -$35 96¢ $-6 +$29 10-23 13:40
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No -6 -$7 96¢ $-6 +$1 10-27 18:48
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-27 23:30
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026 No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 06-22 21:26
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 09-16 22:36
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 07-10 16:59
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -4 -$3 8¢ $-0 +$3 07-30 19:27
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +0 $0 73¢ $0 $0 06-23 12:44
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 08-19 11:42
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-01 06:24
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 -$2 97¢ $0 +$2 10-15 06:08