Realized P&L
-$103
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
354
Trades
3,785
lifetime
Volume
$43.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$56
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-20 09:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 86% $-43
Other
36% 63% $-83
Politics
8% 0% $-4
Sports
5% 100% +$27
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -220 $-10 $-10 +$0 06-17 21:32
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 $-12 49¢ $-10 +$2 06-16 21:34
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-6 23¢ $-9 $-3 06-17 21:27
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +15 $9 58¢ $9 $-0 06-13 12:36
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -18 $-5 29¢ $-5 $-1 06-17 19:01
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +21 $5 23¢ $5 $-0 06-30 12:03
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $4 $-0 07-08 10:31
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -20 $-2 16¢ $-3 $-1 06-23 19:55
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-18 15:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +11 $5 $0 $-5 06-27 10:31