Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

437

Trades

730

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-10

last 08-17 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

90% 58% -$73

Crypto

3% 100% +$1

Sports

3% 48% -$19

Politics

2% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+55	$15	13¢	$7	-$8	08-09 09:35
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+5	$2	60¢	$3	+$1	07-16 03:14
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+5	$3	26¢	$1	-$1	07-24 08:50
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+5	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	07-16 04:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-05 15:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-05 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 5?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-05 10:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 5?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-05 08:27
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	08-06 22:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-26 13:15
base fdv above 1b one day after launch	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	08-13 15:59
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$19	50	0	+50	open	—	08-06 22:50
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$15	55	0	+55	open	—	08-09 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	2	$13	17	0	+17	No	+$4	08-05 19:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 9?	1	$12	16	0	+16	No	+$4	08-08 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	3	$12	16	0	+16	No	+$4	08-06 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	4	$12	17	0	+17	Yes	-$12	08-08 15:35
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	08-08 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	2	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	08-07 20:01
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	3	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	06-30 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 10?	2	$11	18	0	+18	Yes	-$11	08-09 14:16
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	5	$11	15	10	+5	Under	+$2	07-01 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	2	$11	16	0	+16	Yes	-$11	08-11 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 11?	1	$11	17	0	+17	No	+$6	08-10 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?	3	$11	17	0	+17	Yes	-$11	08-10 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8?	4	$11	16	0	+16	No	+$5	08-08 02:20
atp hijikat tiafoe 2026 06 11	2	$10	17	17	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$0	06-11 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	08-06 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-11 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-11 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-04 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-11 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-10 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-02 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 04:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x634d5c…
08-13 15:59:37	base fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd6b6d9…
08-12 00:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 12?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x1e211d…
08-11 13:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb299de…
08-11 13:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x499b2a…
08-11 13:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18a771…
08-11 12:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fa7fc…
08-11 12:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d601a…
08-11 11:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b25d…
08-11 10:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23ccd8…
08-11 10:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0efa42…
08-11 10:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ee77f…
08-11 09:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3e186…
08-11 08:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41cacb…
08-11 08:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x506751…
08-11 08:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3be30…
08-11 07:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x122b33…
08-11 07:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8f7d6…
08-11 07:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa30853…
08-11 07:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x719b87…
08-11 07:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0894…
08-11 06:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x01a5ba…
08-11 06:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29c43e…
08-11 03:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x2f96c5…
08-11 03:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf2705d…
08-11 03:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa726ab…
08-11 02:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76aa9c…
08-11 02:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d167c…
08-11 02:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d766…
08-11 01:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bd807…
08-11 01:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa26446…
08-11 01:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92f5db…
08-11 01:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xdb5971…
08-11 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x444ebb…
08-11 00:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86323a…
08-10 20:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xc152dc…
08-10 20:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc4128b…
08-10 20:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe04d1f…
08-10 20:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xc92beb…
08-10 16:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfc5e67…
08-10 16:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xb349a2…
08-10 16:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x81d01a…
08-10 14:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbb7550…
08-10 13:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xde777d…
08-10 13:40:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa89865…
08-10 13:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e5c1b…
08-10 10:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa7f19…
08-10 09:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d6c63…
08-10 08:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92cea9…
08-10 05:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x179e1e…
08-09 15:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa03e67…
08-09 14:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xae8305…
08-09 14:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9dc05f…
08-09 13:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xeb605f…
08-09 13:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x16f05f…
08-09 13:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xc274a5…
08-09 09:35:28	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x27d134…
08-09 03:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xb682d6…
08-09 01:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x900096…
08-09 01:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x800202…
08-08 16:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x2ef73c…
08-08 16:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x12db57…
08-08 15:43:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xda1b51…
08-08 15:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa4a45e…
08-08 15:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xabdb87…
08-08 14:37:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xccf93a…
08-08 13:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x58b8d0…
08-08 13:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4a8c17…
08-08 06:16:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xbaf02e…
08-08 04:05:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x568f11…
08-08 02:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5ce2cf…
08-08 02:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3fd6be…
08-08 02:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe3d2af…
08-07 23:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x13ebeb…
08-07 22:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x32af31…
08-07 20:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x37094e…
08-07 16:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfb8f0b…
08-07 15:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x47184f…
08-07 14:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf37c3c…
08-07 13:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xf1b9a0…
08-07 13:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xe78e86…
08-07 13:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x92552f…
08-07 10:04:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x036a27…
08-07 02:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xc952c2…
08-07 02:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xda572d…
08-07 01:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x6e37a6…
08-06 22:50:38	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xae53bc…
08-06 22:48:15	Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x78db27…
08-06 20:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0ff3ed…
08-06 16:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf481c6…
08-06 16:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb3a319…
08-06 15:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfbcd3d…
08-06 15:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2d9846…
08-06 14:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd49bbd…
08-05 21:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 6?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf7ab0c…
08-05 19:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x47ab01…
08-05 19:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3cd623…
08-05 19:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0xaacb01…
08-05 17:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x56f6e9…
08-05 16:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xcf3a02…