Mundane-Crinoline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$845

Unrealized P&L

+$118

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$1.40K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-14 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 80% +$163

Other

28% 59% -$953

Sports

6% 50% -$76

Tech

4% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+686	$600	99¢	$680	+$80	08-14 17:01
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-291	-$282	97¢	$-282	$0	04-29 12:37
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+227	$207	94¢	$213	+$7	05-05 08:02
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+179	$159	97¢	$174	+$15	05-05 07:57
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-74	-$71	74¢	$-55	+$16	05-05 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$957	1,237	0	+1,237	open	—	08-02 19:35
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$932	1,059	0	+1,059	Yes	+$127	07-28 16:26
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$600	686	0	+686	open	—	08-14 17:01
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	7	$531	277	277	+0	No	+$6	03-23 16:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	3	$450	471	0	+471	Yes	+$21	06-12 13:09
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$444	450	0	+450	No	+$6	05-05 07:39
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$420	266	266	+0	No	-$11	04-29 13:28
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$360	182	182	+0	No	+$1	03-29 07:08
bitcoin above 72k on february 23	2	$345	359	0	+359	No	+$14	02-22 13:27
bitcoin above 64k on february 25	2	$339	170	170	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 16:38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$338	400	0	+400	No	+$62	06-24 19:09
Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch?	2	$317	324	0	+324	Yes	+$7	02-24 15:09
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$309	157	157	+0	No	-$2	03-31 13:47
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$306	356	356	+0	No	-$299	04-30 13:05
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$282	0	291	-291	open	—	04-29 12:37
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	11	$279	220	85	+135	Yes	+$21	03-26 18:56
Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$279	150	150	+0	open	—	07-15 13:40
Bitway FDV above $20M one day after launch?	7	$276	210	74	+136	Yes	+$6	03-03 09:29
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$267	150	150	+0	No	+$3	04-04 15:41
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$252	266	266	+0	No	-$244	04-30 13:05
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$221	410	410	+0	No	-$213	04-30 13:06
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$209	302	302	+0	No	-$202	04-30 13:05
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$207	227	0	+227	open	—	05-05 08:02
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$202	194	30	+164	No	+$21	03-31 12:23
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$1	04-30 13:09
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$170	175	0	+175	No	+$5	03-05 12:05
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$159	81	81	+0	No	$0	06-24 21:06
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$159	179	0	+179	open	—	05-05 07:57
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$140	10,785	0	+10,785	No	-$140	06-24 19:10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$134	141	0	+141	No	+$7	04-30 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 17:01:46	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xbd5325…
08-14 17:01:36	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	586	87¢	$512	0x748d75…
08-02 19:35:26	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xae89cf…
08-02 08:29:53	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xdfd1c2…
07-31 17:01:17	Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xa96406…
07-31 14:05:56	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf47adf…
07-31 14:05:38	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x183cc3…
07-31 14:05:33	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0xed0929…
07-28 16:26:10	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x9e1f72…
07-28 16:20:52	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0xc96c71…
07-28 16:20:08	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	576	79¢	$454	0x2d2bfd…
07-28 16:19:37	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	123	76¢	$94	0x003966…
07-15 13:40:25	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	89¢	$133	0x574a2d…
07-07 12:07:35	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x9a1145…
06-24 21:06:38	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x1750ae…
06-24 19:10:55	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,785	1¢	$140	0x1291e1…
06-24 19:09:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	400	84¢	$338	0x274268…
06-12 13:10:39	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x7d09ba…
06-12 13:09:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc7c73f…
06-12 13:08:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	224	96¢	$214	0x32698d…
06-12 13:08:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	237	96¢	$227	0x9d8ea2…
05-30 18:05:04	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xb569a1…
05-09 13:43:15	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x6de957…
05-09 13:41:32	Citrea FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x0f9a0e…
05-09 13:40:29	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	437	10¢	$43	0xa2c0d0…
05-09 13:39:26	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	131	95¢	$125	0xa149ca…
05-07 13:49:16	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1b0020…
05-05 16:25:48	Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x0b865d…
05-05 16:25:22	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x867ab0…
05-05 11:24:10	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x3d626b…
05-05 08:02:22	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x6a394e…
05-05 07:59:10	Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x50a55a…
05-05 07:58:36	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x7779c6…
05-05 07:57:54	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x4cc636…
05-05 07:57:24	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	179	89¢	$159	0x8cc04d…
05-05 07:54:16	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x78d66e…
05-05 07:52:58	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x3ab574…
05-05 07:39:06	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	450	99¢	$444	0x52b7bb…
04-30 13:09:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0x3fdf56…
04-30 13:09:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0xc7fd65…
04-30 13:08:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x318d00…
04-30 13:06:02	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	410	1¢	$4	0x86ddf8…
04-30 13:05:48	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	302	1¢	$3	0xc08cbb…
04-30 13:05:38	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	356	1¢	$4	0x80f4d6…
04-30 13:05:30	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	266	2¢	$4	0x3e0476…
04-29 13:45:20	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	81	84¢	$68	0xb0deea…
04-29 13:33:40	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9f6d09…
04-29 13:28:08	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	172	76¢	$131	0xbb41f8…
04-29 13:26:38	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1bf474…
04-29 13:24:40	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x004b39…
04-29 13:23:28	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0xc52cbf…
04-29 13:23:00	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	94	78¢	$73	0xeba688…
04-29 12:50:54	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xced01d…
04-29 12:50:22	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xb575b7…
04-29 12:50:14	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	202	93¢	$189	0x6349df…
04-29 12:49:52	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	258	81¢	$209	0x9dc7b3…
04-29 12:49:06	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x905c78…
04-29 12:48:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	302	68¢	$205	0x85aeb7…
04-29 12:48:04	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x39138d…
04-29 12:47:52	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0x794e32…
04-29 12:40:34	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	126	53¢	$67	0x228d58…
04-29 12:39:44	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	284	53¢	$150	0x7cd391…
04-29 12:37:02	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	291	97¢	$282	0x9d2613…
04-04 16:13:33	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8f0f1a…
04-04 15:41:53	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0xf91a94…
03-31 15:43:49	Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	116	98¢	$113	0xfd3302…
03-31 15:42:59	Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x5907fe…
03-31 13:48:05	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x305933…
03-31 13:47:35	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	157	98¢	$154	0x28c188…
03-31 12:23:31	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf6fb4c…
03-31 12:23:15	Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5f9fec…
03-31 12:20:27	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x1233b5…
03-31 12:19:45	Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x60fee2…
03-29 07:09:26	Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	74	89¢	$66	0x0460a2…
03-29 07:08:52	Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x65260e…
03-29 07:07:48	Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0xce1819…
03-29 07:06:50	Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xca7e27…
03-29 07:05:40	Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x08c6f5…
03-29 07:05:16	Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf728e1…
03-27 13:59:43	Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0xc67cf7…
03-27 13:56:33	Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x62bb80…
03-27 13:54:55	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x709860…
03-26 18:56:45	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0xd3ae36…
03-26 14:54:57	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf7c861…
03-25 15:09:41	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x87fb63…
03-25 15:09:39	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0xfe5197…
03-25 15:09:39	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x838277…
03-25 15:09:39	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x575cdc…
03-25 15:09:33	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xdca54d…
03-25 15:09:33	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xd10708…
03-25 15:09:31	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x330413…
03-25 11:38:15	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x07872e…
03-25 11:37:03	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x23904d…
03-25 11:33:31	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$0	0xd5b1c9…
03-23 16:46:45	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0xc73488…
03-23 16:38:43	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7bac2a…
03-21 13:21:51	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0xb7cea8…
03-15 10:41:17	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0ae93e…
03-15 08:23:49	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa08528…
03-15 08:23:37	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	133	96¢	$127	0xeb1e6d…