Rowdy-Innocent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,789

lifetime

Volume

$1.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$970

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% +$6,556

Other

36% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	81	$173.5K	109,343	92,074	+17,268	open	—	01-28 15:42
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	19	$171.0K	171,650	0	+171,650	open	—	01-03 04:20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	51	$151.7K	76,198	81,075	-4,877	open	—	03-03 16:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	152	$142.8K	118,571	68,566	+50,005	open	—	02-01 13:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	102	$121.4K	104,425	64,652	+39,773	open	—	01-31 19:10
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$61.5K	31,623	32,864	-1,241	open	—	01-18 06:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	267	$54.2K	57,001	56,712	+289	Yes	$-840	05-08 19:19
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	02-03 18:28
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	02-03 17:22
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	1	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	02-07 20:21
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$46.7K	27,024	20,165	+6,859	open	—	03-10 15:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	26	$44.9K	23,550	23,550	+0	open	—	03-03 16:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	22	$35.2K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	07-31 22:02
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	34	$33.8K	23,068	23,067	+0	open	—	01-15 16:49
will edgex launch a token in 2025	17	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	01-01 12:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	63	$28.0K	57,009	57,009	+0	open	—	03-11 19:39
will israel nuke iran by january 31	122	$27.7K	13,953	13,919	+34	open	—	01-16 00:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	21	$26.2K	9,135	19,135	-10,000	open	—	03-05 17:00
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$23.5K	25,491	0	+25,491	open	—	02-27 13:52
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	10	$22.5K	19,942	10,047	+9,895	open	—	01-31 18:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$21.7K	26,601	26,601	+0	open	—	03-01 05:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$20.7K	24,000	0	+24,000	open	—	03-14 11:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	19	$20.5K	31,319	0	+31,319	open	—	02-27 13:49
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	7	$20.4K	12,039	12,039	+0	open	—	01-15 15:04
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	7	$18.0K	9,139	9,139	+0	open	—	01-15 18:14
fact check maduro capture staged	12	$17.5K	9,330	8,380	+950	open	—	03-17 08:35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	12	$17.0K	20,000	19,085	+915	open	—	01-15 16:22
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$16.9K	17,765	0	+17,765	open	—	02-26 17:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	26	$15.2K	17,327	7,327	+10,000	open	—	02-20 18:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	23	$14.4K	9,718	9,718	+0	open	—	03-06 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:12:30	will beezie launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727145732885	No	BUY	110	50¢	$54	0xedf271…
08-12 04:53:12	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	72¢	$92	0x3024bb…
08-12 04:50:22	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	116	11¢	$13	0x74b8d5…
08-12 04:49:31	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	425	14¢	$61	0xfa5f7c…
08-12 04:48:49	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	628	50¢	$317	0xa90a99…
08-12 04:29:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,110	46¢	$508	0xf8bd0d…
08-12 04:29:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,127	34¢	$384	0x0057b0…
08-12 04:23:03	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	5,030	40¢	$2,012	0x4aeb3d…
08-07 16:40:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	138	32¢	$44	0x0fd68d…
08-07 15:15:10	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	77¢	$169	0xf7bc70…
08-07 15:12:42	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	126	69¢	$87	0xdc2cef…
08-07 15:12:21	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	62¢	$66	0x88665a…
08-07 15:10:58	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	314	76¢	$238	0x749730…
08-07 15:07:00	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7,850	13¢	$1,058	0x2dac30…
08-07 14:50:55	will abstract launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xa0621a…
08-07 14:50:30	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	133	78¢	$104	0xb7120e…
08-07 14:40:54	ostium fdv above 50m one day after launch	No	BUY	117	73¢	$85	0x448c48…
08-07 13:39:54	ostium fdv above 50m one day after launch	No	BUY	142	72¢	$102	0x68478f…
08-07 13:39:43	ostium fdv above 75m one day after launch	No	BUY	503	84¢	$424	0xe53493…
08-04 16:38:24	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x7df63b…
08-04 16:38:15	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1,583	12¢	$182	0x903961…
08-04 04:29:00	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	541	10¢	$55	0x0450e8…
08-02 16:36:33	ostium fdv above 50m one day after launch	No	BUY	186	90¢	$167	0xdb7feb…
08-02 15:20:36	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	2,170	99¢	$2,151	0xaaf94f…
08-02 13:15:21	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	227	99¢	$224	0x55850b…
08-02 13:13:42	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0x898c04…
08-02 13:13:27	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	BUY	195	91¢	$178	0x615d9c…
08-02 13:12:50	ostium fdv above 75m one day after launch	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x0a7df8…
08-02 13:12:39	ostium fdv above 50m one day after launch	No	BUY	3,156	90¢	$2,837	0x82e6a8…
08-02 13:11:42	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	163	24¢	$40	0x278b40…
08-02 11:20:32	will tori launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	95	57¢	$54	0x70213b…
08-02 11:19:09	will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	185	83¢	$153	0xf2f801…
08-02 11:13:59	Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc271db…
08-02 11:12:33	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	484	11¢	$52	0xf65ff4…
08-02 11:11:32	will monster launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727145113740	No	BUY	365	83¢	$304	0xe383b6…
08-02 11:03:06	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x89d03f…
08-02 11:02:05	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0xdf4708…
08-02 10:57:26	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf1be5b…
08-02 10:54:02	will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	82	26¢	$21	0x7cce0d…
08-02 10:53:15	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	82	28¢	$23	0xde04a8…
08-02 10:48:09	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xf98456…
08-02 10:47:05	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	93	63¢	$58	0xcd2b95…
08-02 08:57:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x7d9cbc…
08-02 08:57:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xd94323…
08-02 08:47:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x9ad1b1…
08-02 08:47:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x6ecfec…
08-02 07:28:57	will squid launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0x6eb2c1…
08-01 18:16:48	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	746	48¢	$357	0x41d3e0…
08-01 12:26:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa940b5…
08-01 12:22:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1fa24d…
08-01 12:20:27	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xc426ef…
08-01 11:56:00	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x8cb5f3…
08-01 11:51:09	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xb83a73…
08-01 11:35:42	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$17	0xa35e71…
08-01 11:17:26	Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	59	23¢	$14	0x182f05…
08-01 10:59:18	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x9bd9d0…
08-01 10:43:00	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	427	41¢	$175	0x9bfe98…
08-01 10:34:27	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xecee9a…
08-01 10:19:33	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	996	4¢	$41	0x1a2df8…
08-01 10:18:48	will squid launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	943	6¢	$59	0x157967…
08-01 08:26:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8e8227…
08-01 07:13:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xeef341…
08-01 07:04:06	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf64edb…
08-01 07:03:32	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6f094d…
08-01 07:03:20	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5b04cc…
08-01 07:03:17	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5160ff…
08-01 07:02:56	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x516122…
08-01 07:02:15	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xae238c…
08-01 07:02:06	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb972ff…
08-01 07:01:57	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x24ab4a…
08-01 07:01:47	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd86cd7…
08-01 06:55:44	saturn fdv above 50m one day after launch 20260623191424367	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x8a1d99…
08-01 05:33:35	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x99b5a0…
08-01 05:18:47	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc8e165…
08-01 04:34:45	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x760122…
08-01 04:12:08	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x05a12e…
08-01 03:27:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x41d83c…
08-01 03:18:57	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x27b0c8…
08-01 03:15:03	will decibel launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x71af30…
08-01 02:32:51	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd4ec42…
08-01 02:32:05	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	865	14¢	$121	0xc160fa…
08-01 01:45:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	372	14¢	$52	0xd3678c…
08-01 01:44:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	63¢	$158	0xb86a9a…
08-01 01:43:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x3b5264…
08-01 01:43:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x840677…
08-01 01:42:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	93	42¢	$39	0x817ea4…
08-01 01:42:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	128	14¢	$18	0xe382c2…
08-01 01:41:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	233	33¢	$77	0x9403ae…
08-01 01:40:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	157	42¢	$66	0xe72a0f…
07-31 22:02:48	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	18,548	91¢	$16,878	0x3939f3…
07-31 20:15:08	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x77edb2…
07-31 20:12:09	will squid launch a token by august 31 2026	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xa76615…
07-31 20:05:03	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe1c5b9…
07-31 19:04:32	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xddf1b0…
07-31 18:32:17	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xd5ced6…
07-31 18:10:09	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x53f879…
07-31 17:57:11	will decibel launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x0439f8…
07-31 17:50:15	will squid launch a token by march 31 2027	No	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xcbe9b1…
07-31 17:30:15	will squid launch a token by march 31 2027	No	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xdb1721…
07-31 16:50:14	Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd8d9e1…