Realized P&L
+$6.42K
Unrealized P&L
-$19.0K
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
360
Trades
4,334
lifetime
Volume
$1.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$419
Open exposure
$49.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
38% 66% +$54,589
Politics
32% 65% -$9,668
Crypto
17% 50% -$31,314
Sports
7% 66% -$16,776
Tech
6% 81% +$9,594
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +21,474 $14,211 96¢ $20.7K +$6,511 08-26 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $16,700 82¢ $16.3K -$400 08-24 16:53
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3,474 $2,453 96¢ $3.3K +$879 08-23 16:36
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +41,591 $28,895 6¢ $2.5K -$26,400 10-22 21:28
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +10,000 $2,304 24¢ $2.4K +$131 08-23 22:42
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,000 -$760 96¢ $-964 -$204 07-01 04:09
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$697 96¢ $-960 -$262 05-21 19:50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +1,000 $749 61¢ $614 -$134 09-08 06:21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +611 $446 96¢ $587 +$141 06-24 01:44
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +547 $416 94¢ $517 +$101 06-21 07:38
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +160 $126 93¢ $148 +$22 08-07 20:11
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1,811 $369 3¢ $61 -$309 07-14 18:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +33 $20 94¢ $31 +$10 05-18 16:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -0 -$916 78¢ $-0 +$916 08-21 14:40