Realized P&L
+$3.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.49K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
3,372
lifetime
Volume
$1.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$425
Open exposure
$39.4K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
36% 100% +$3,274
Other
33%
Crypto
17%
Sports
8%
Tech
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +38,710 $22,861 40¢ $15.3K $-7,571 07-21 21:32
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +14,638 $10,474 86¢ $12.5K +$2,041 07-18 23:39
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5,593 $3,726 82¢ $4.6K +$877 07-07 06:10
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3,358 $2,349 86¢ $2.9K +$555 06-22 12:35
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,000 $-760 82¢ $-825 $-65 07-01 04:09
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +752 $521 88¢ $665 +$145 07-01 15:16
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +14,000 $3,350 $630 $-2,720 06-22 05:20
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +611 $446 90¢ $547 +$102 06-24 01:44
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +406 $233 81¢ $329 +$96 06-24 17:14
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +344 $262 86¢ $294 +$33 06-21 07:38
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1,811 $369 15¢ $263 $-107 07-14 18:40
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +304 $114 70¢ $212 +$99 07-15 21:43
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +184 $110 74¢ $135 +$25 07-21 15:38
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +129 $98 86¢ $111 +$14 06-24 01:35
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? Yes +58 $44 56¢ $32 $-12 07-11 19:26
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +44 $22 54¢ $24 +$2 07-21 19:01