Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
30
lifetime
Volume
$352
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$62
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-28 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$7
Other
35%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -499 $-51 $-30 +$21 06-01 13:56
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -85 $-7 $-7 +$1 06-08 18:27
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +20 $10 30¢ $6 $-4 06-01 14:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +10 $5 46¢ $4 $-1 06-17 19:20
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Yes +28 $3 16¢ $4 +$1 06-28 17:32
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +11 $5 34¢ $4 $-1 06-12 13:52
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +31 $3 $3 $-0 06-12 14:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes +48 $5 $2 $-3 06-15 21:57
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +20 $2 $2 $-1 06-18 19:55