Gleaming-Reporter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$356

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-0

Politics

24% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	33	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	02-20 01:20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-17 01:35
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-13 07:41
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 02:58
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-16 01:11
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 02:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 02:12
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-21 02:15
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-16 08:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:09
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 09:24
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-07 08:23
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:21
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	01-15 09:41
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 04:11
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50
highest temperature in taipei on march 22 2026 20c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:55:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa1adb3…
07-25 08:38:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x46904b…
07-23 02:44:15	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3afc3f…
07-23 02:03:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa71ecf…
07-21 02:16:33	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8cf5ff…
07-21 02:15:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81a3f0…
07-21 02:02:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x718377…
07-21 02:01:34	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe81e4…
07-20 04:48:51	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6301ec…
07-20 04:47:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca4e61…
07-20 03:49:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1efd0c…
07-20 03:48:27	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6adb95…
07-18 01:38:30	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbd6503…
07-18 01:37:19	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5330b7…
07-18 01:17:43	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0615d8…
07-18 01:16:55	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa455df…
07-17 01:36:43	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f5a18…
07-17 01:35:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9d28c4…
07-17 01:27:48	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x783732…
07-17 01:26:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a36ef…
07-16 01:11:14	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ae1d0…
07-16 01:10:35	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5ac293…
07-16 01:03:53	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4eabbf…
07-16 01:03:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcf0be8…
07-15 02:20:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf18a75…
07-15 02:01:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x342045…
07-14 01:31:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b47dd…
07-14 01:31:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x863fbf…
07-14 01:17:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x558985…
07-14 01:14:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe08b61…
07-13 03:13:29	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x82f110…
07-13 02:56:19	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5e0b56…
07-11 02:58:50	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7016c7…
07-11 02:37:49	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9dd264…
07-10 02:08:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xde6c9c…
07-10 01:46:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x28922c…
07-09 01:13:31	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf07fce…
07-09 01:02:02	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x35f260…
07-08 01:54:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x57d040…
07-08 01:38:22	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7efee5…
07-07 01:38:04	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x224cbf…
07-07 01:25:20	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43b986…
07-06 02:39:52	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xacae7f…
07-06 02:24:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58feaf…
07-04 01:43:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd5dfde…
07-04 01:43:28	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8bc48…
07-04 01:22:19	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc30afd…
07-04 01:20:11	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbcb22f…
07-03 02:25:44	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x297a42…
07-03 02:25:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x86ad6a…
07-03 02:17:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f7031…
07-03 02:17:13	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22e6f3…
07-02 02:33:14	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x125ffa…
07-02 02:32:52	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x18937e…
07-02 02:27:59	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb250b7…
07-02 02:26:34	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9ce24d…
07-01 01:10:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c246e…
07-01 01:09:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdcfcbd…
07-01 01:01:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21fbd8…
07-01 01:00:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa80674…
06-30 02:17:08	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7688b7…
06-30 02:16:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf9f863…
06-30 02:00:35	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xddcd72…
06-30 01:58:31	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb60aa4…
06-27 01:56:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5b6f8a…
06-27 01:48:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaeaf9e…
06-26 10:12:52	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa92781…
06-26 10:05:23	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c1a87…
06-25 03:49:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x122da7…
06-25 03:35:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x308233…
06-23 09:10:35	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeaaa72…
06-23 09:10:05	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18b0e2…
06-23 09:06:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8528bb…
06-23 09:05:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c7314…
06-22 07:17:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x50aa24…
06-22 07:16:56	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf2d93e…
06-22 07:08:05	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b147b…
06-22 07:00:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb392a4…
06-21 09:54:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc932c1…
06-21 09:54:13	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5afbef…
06-21 09:46:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc117ed…
06-21 09:44:02	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7e446…
06-18 09:28:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a0c01…
06-18 09:18:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa82415…
06-17 08:00:38	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10cf6a…
06-17 08:00:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfe4427…
06-17 07:52:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x554d5a…
06-17 07:51:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bf0a9…
06-16 08:44:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2710d0…
06-16 08:43:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5c7b8c…
06-16 08:39:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf7361c…
06-16 08:38:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5bf0b…
06-15 08:59:19	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8a157…
06-15 08:58:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa7ebfa…
06-15 08:48:22	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4dcbc7…
06-13 07:41:06	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c7c9f…
06-13 07:35:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2cfae5…
06-12 08:45:57	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x998bb6…
06-12 08:32:10	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1539c6…
06-11 08:45:06	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9dccea…