Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
150
lifetime
Volume
$1.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$24
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-22 03:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
86% 0% $-0
Other
14% 0% $-10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -28 $-9 30¢ $-8 +$0 07-19 01:11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? Yes -53 $-3 11¢ $-6 $-2 07-19 01:12
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes -50 $-3 10¢ $-5 $-2 07-19 01:12
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$1 07-19 01:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-2 14¢ $-2 $-0 07-19 01:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -7 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-0 07-19 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -15 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-19 01:12