Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$484
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$249
8 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 07-22 11:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Tech
20%
Politics
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +98 $75 72¢ $70 $-5 07-20 10:47
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +50 $46 93¢ $46 $-0 07-17 23:59
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +50 $47 91¢ $46 $-1 07-18 14:43
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No +45 $41 85¢ $38 $-2 07-20 04:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +50 $24 66¢ $33 +$9 07-21 15:06
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +15 $7 64¢ $9 +$3 07-20 09:29
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 07-20 04:05
US recession by end of 2026? No +2 $-0 89¢ $2 +$2 07-22 11:25