Virtual-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$360

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-0

Politics

25% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	32	$32	26	28	-2	open	—	02-20 01:20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-17 01:35
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-13 07:41
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 02:58
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-16 01:11
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 02:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:20
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-21 02:15
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-16 08:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:24
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:09
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 09:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:41
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:22
will bomb be said 100 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 06:57
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 04:11
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:55:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xda0623…
07-25 08:38:52	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe2ad7b…
07-23 02:44:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d538a…
07-23 02:03:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x679152…
07-21 02:16:39	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4ae4aa…
07-21 02:15:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc9d023…
07-21 02:02:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x968927…
07-21 02:01:39	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0df7f…
07-20 04:48:55	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x512474…
07-20 04:47:45	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3d1a1d…
07-20 03:49:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf5efdc…
07-20 03:48:30	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb39419…
07-18 01:38:33	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdab942…
07-18 01:37:24	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x684c03…
07-18 01:17:49	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x801ccc…
07-18 01:17:00	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xea127c…
07-17 01:36:35	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9f507…
07-17 01:35:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2eeed6…
07-17 01:27:54	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc669b…
07-17 01:26:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea8420…
07-16 01:11:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04de95…
07-16 01:10:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xea7e48…
07-16 01:03:56	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x093df8…
07-16 01:03:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x754824…
07-15 02:20:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x52aaf7…
07-15 02:01:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58eac1…
07-14 01:31:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5579a1…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe55a9d…
07-14 01:17:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf8386…
07-14 01:14:17	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4204a0…
07-13 03:13:32	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x308885…
07-13 02:56:25	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x683474…
07-11 02:58:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x50309b…
07-11 02:37:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x247cec…
07-10 02:08:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5248c3…
07-10 01:46:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ad5a7…
07-09 01:13:29	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x304785…
07-09 01:02:01	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7568a0…
07-08 01:54:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfa8924…
07-08 01:38:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcc8623…
07-07 01:38:01	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeccd9a…
07-07 01:25:13	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee8a9c…
07-06 02:39:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x04f86d…
07-06 02:24:52	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfeeaae…
07-04 01:43:41	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x865ced…
07-04 01:43:23	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6ffa4c…
07-04 01:22:14	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x830ee4…
07-04 01:20:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5ea9f3…
07-03 02:25:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0f4ec9…
07-03 02:25:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9a052…
07-03 02:17:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7db835…
07-03 02:17:10	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d3796…
07-02 02:33:13	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x013d8d…
07-02 02:32:50	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9a8019…
07-02 02:27:56	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca064a…
07-02 02:26:31	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfae828…
07-01 01:10:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4f29d…
07-01 01:09:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x99ec72…
07-01 01:01:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d9a5f…
07-01 01:00:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x931222…
06-30 02:17:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf06419…
06-30 02:16:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e0c0a…
06-30 02:00:23	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x462057…
06-30 01:58:37	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c5f8d…
06-27 01:56:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec9a12…
06-27 01:47:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3b74a…
06-26 10:12:50	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x962700…
06-26 10:05:26	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb254e5…
06-25 03:49:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5fada2…
06-25 03:35:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6440b9…
06-23 09:10:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x824065…
06-23 09:10:10	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1727c3…
06-23 09:06:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1d65a…
06-23 09:05:59	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99f95c…
06-22 07:17:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa721d9…
06-22 07:16:58	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe04000…
06-22 07:08:13	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x14e201…
06-22 07:00:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee7aff…
06-21 09:54:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ec6d6…
06-21 09:54:16	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xca59f9…
06-21 09:46:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x753ecc…
06-21 09:44:04	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26b854…
06-18 09:28:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a6f1a…
06-18 09:18:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54d433…
06-17 08:00:43	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1577d9…
06-17 07:59:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x487625…
06-17 07:52:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f9dd3…
06-17 07:51:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6665c3…
06-16 08:44:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0350f1…
06-16 08:43:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbd3c57…
06-16 08:39:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf3b27f…
06-16 08:38:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c9f8a…
06-15 08:59:13	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a8cab…
06-15 08:58:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd2c806…
06-15 08:43:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31048f…
06-13 07:41:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x67ba14…
06-13 07:34:57	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd9803…
06-12 08:45:57	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d8ca0…
06-12 08:32:15	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a7758…
06-11 08:45:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75596a…