Virtual-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$317

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-0

Politics

25% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	06-15 08:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	32	$32	26	28	-2	open	—	02-20 01:20
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-13 07:41
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-27 01:56
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 01:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:20
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-16 08:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:24
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:09
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 09:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:41
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:22
will bomb be said 100 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 06:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-15 08:58
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 04:11
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50
highest temperature in taipei on march 22 2026 20c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 06:49
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 18corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:23
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 03:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:43:41	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x865ced…
07-04 01:43:23	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6ffa4c…
07-04 01:22:14	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x830ee4…
07-04 01:20:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5ea9f3…
07-03 02:25:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0f4ec9…
07-03 02:25:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9a052…
07-03 02:17:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7db835…
07-03 02:17:10	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d3796…
07-02 02:33:13	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x013d8d…
07-02 02:32:50	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9a8019…
07-02 02:27:56	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca064a…
07-02 02:26:31	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfae828…
07-01 01:10:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4f29d…
07-01 01:09:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x99ec72…
07-01 01:01:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d9a5f…
07-01 01:00:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x931222…
06-30 02:17:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf06419…
06-30 02:16:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e0c0a…
06-30 02:00:23	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x462057…
06-30 01:58:37	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c5f8d…
06-27 01:56:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec9a12…
06-27 01:47:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3b74a…
06-26 10:12:50	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x962700…
06-26 10:05:26	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb254e5…
06-25 03:49:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5fada2…
06-25 03:35:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6440b9…
06-23 09:10:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x824065…
06-23 09:10:10	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1727c3…
06-23 09:06:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1d65a…
06-23 09:05:59	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99f95c…
06-22 07:17:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa721d9…
06-22 07:16:58	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe04000…
06-22 07:08:13	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x14e201…
06-22 07:00:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee7aff…
06-21 09:54:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ec6d6…
06-21 09:54:16	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xca59f9…
06-21 09:46:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x753ecc…
06-21 09:44:04	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26b854…
06-18 09:28:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a6f1a…
06-18 09:18:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54d433…
06-17 08:00:43	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1577d9…
06-17 07:59:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x487625…
06-17 07:52:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f9dd3…
06-17 07:51:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6665c3…
06-16 08:44:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0350f1…
06-16 08:43:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbd3c57…
06-16 08:39:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf3b27f…
06-16 08:38:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c9f8a…
06-15 08:59:13	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a8cab…
06-15 08:58:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd2c806…
06-15 08:43:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31048f…
06-13 07:41:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x67ba14…
06-13 07:34:57	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd9803…
06-12 08:45:57	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d8ca0…
06-12 08:32:15	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a7758…
06-11 08:45:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75596a…
06-11 08:30:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdad55…
06-10 08:54:39	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd38a61…
06-10 08:53:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbee52…
06-10 08:41:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f6d35…
06-10 08:40:33	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xccbff5…
06-09 08:04:04	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec8678…
06-09 08:02:46	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x06d0ca…
06-09 07:57:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8bf1ff…
06-09 07:55:33	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39756e…
06-08 07:29:15	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xca47d8…
06-08 07:20:58	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42bce4…
06-06 07:37:43	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x22d797…
06-06 07:37:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd9cd71…
06-06 07:18:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x980e3f…
06-06 07:17:36	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5ec56…
06-06 07:15:34	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50f483…
06-06 07:14:10	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd63ebf…
06-05 07:45:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x167792…
06-05 07:33:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x126af5…
06-04 09:24:49	jd vance out as vp by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c6df8…
06-04 09:24:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x02c464…
06-04 09:18:37	jd vance out as vp by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb42e0a…
06-04 09:16:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8eaf2a…
06-03 08:24:50	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb92e59…
06-03 08:23:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c5e21…
06-03 08:22:05	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x643e74…
06-03 08:21:06	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc39727…
06-02 07:18:49	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4a65f8…
06-02 07:17:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab630c…
06-02 07:03:39	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdfd323…
06-02 07:02:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7da471…
06-01 09:13:13	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6406c0…
06-01 09:12:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x878272…
06-01 08:53:02	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x683f77…
06-01 08:51:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa6dd03…
05-30 03:02:21	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x76bfce…
05-30 02:56:14	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d61cf…
05-29 08:22:02	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xaed0bb…
05-29 08:20:28	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x58bc28…
05-29 08:07:50	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f49ed…
05-29 08:04:53	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e3232…
05-28 08:50:50	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbbd846…
05-28 08:49:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd4ab4e…
05-28 08:20:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x77f807…