Realized P&L
-$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$554
Hit rate
93.2%
Resolved
90
Trades
2,073
lifetime
Volume
$244.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$10.4K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-24 02:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
46% 81% -$2,616
Politics
43% 97% +$1,114
Sports
8% 80% -$477
Crypto
3% 90% +$231
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,105 $1,725 86¢ $1.8K +$75 07-20 16:17
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2,900 $1,993 56¢ $1.6K -$355 10-20 22:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,650 $1,284 82¢ $1.3K +$61 10-12 15:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,800 $1,864 37¢ $1.0K -$841 10-16 22:48
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $910 88¢ $885 -$25 09-25 01:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +600 $552 94¢ $567 +$15 10-16 05:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +601 $309 94¢ $562 +$252 08-15 05:04
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +601 $448 92¢ $553 +$105 10-24 02:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +600 $487 84¢ $502 +$14 08-14 01:40
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +485 $332 94¢ $459 +$126 10-22 02:32
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +419 $409 98¢ $413 +$4 09-24 15:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,105 $491 15¢ $305 -$186 07-24 11:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,200 $169 17¢ $199 +$29 09-11 17:04
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -200 -$210 99¢ $-198 +$12 07-09 16:22
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$17 95¢ $0 +$18 08-06 00:53
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +0 -$107 97¢ $0 +$107 08-17 12:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$33 98¢ $0 +$33 05-20 05:56