Realized P&L (7d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$454
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
8
2,080 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$916
$245.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$10.8K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
46% 81% -$2,616
Politics
43% 97% +$1,114
Sports
8% 80% -$477
Crypto
3% 90% +$231
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,105 $1,725 84¢ $1.8K +$33 07-20 16:17
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2,900 $1,993 56¢ $1.6K -$383 10-20 22:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,650 $1,284 82¢ $1.4K +$78 10-12 15:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,800 $1,864 40¢ $1.1K -$733 10-16 22:48
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $910 87¢ $870 -$40 09-25 01:25
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +600 $558 95¢ $570 +$12 10-29 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +600 $552 94¢ $567 +$15 10-16 05:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +601 $309 94¢ $562 +$252 08-15 05:04
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +580 $428 92¢ $534 +$106 10-29 08:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +600 $487 83¢ $500 +$13 08-14 01:40
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +419 $409 98¢ $412 +$3 09-24 15:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,105 $491 16¢ $347 -$144 07-24 11:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,200 $169 17¢ $201 +$32 09-11 17:04
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -200 -$210 99¢ $-198 +$12 07-09 16:22
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +167 $27 96¢ $161 +$134 10-30 07:30
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$17 93¢ $0 +$18 08-06 00:53
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$107 97¢ $0 +$107 08-17 12:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$33 97¢ $0 +$33 05-20 05:56