Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
open
Total volume
$3,064
Trades
91
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$2,088
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-17 07:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.1K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $0 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $0 | $31 | $31 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $13 | $182 | $169 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $8 | $95 | $87 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $29 | $29 |
| Median | 12 | $1 | $206 | $205 |
| Below median | 5 | $0 | $11 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 15 | $17 | $54 | $36 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +2,138 | $2,116 | $2,116 | 3 | 06-11 17:29 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +1,091 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-16 09:27 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +267 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 22:40 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +165 | $2 | $2 | 10 | 06-11 17:29 |
| High-Toe 0xfcb5…9d7d | No | +159 | $158 | $158 | 1 | 06-14 08:37 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +49 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-10 03:32 |
| Wobbly-Odyssey 0x3eb8…f0b7 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-07 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b92…7806 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-16 09:27 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-05 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-05 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe44b…ccd3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f5c…7b6a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 12:54 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-12 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa17d…4b70 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 08:15 |
| Immaterial-Hydrant 0xee7f…99d3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 17:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 07:13:04 | Humble-Precipitation 0x27da…d24a | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcede0c… |
| 06-17 07:13:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcede0c… |
| 06-16 09:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x0b92…7806 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xf2d67d… |
| 06-16 09:27:30 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2d67d… |
| 06-15 13:53:43 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30d7b8… |
| 06-15 13:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x30d7b8… |
| 06-14 08:37:25 | High-Toe 0xfcb5…9d7d | No | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x1b076e… |
| 06-14 08:37:25 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b076e… |
| 06-14 08:37:25 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x1b076e… |
| 06-12 08:28:34 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf0aefd… |
| 06-12 08:28:34 | Embarrassed-Examiner 0x5c9a…c65d | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf0aefd… |
| 06-11 22:15:24 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd4b7f6… |
| 06-11 22:15:24 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd4b7f6… |
| 06-11 17:30:10 | Embarrassed-Examiner 0x5c9a…c65d | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x582bfe… |
| 06-11 17:30:10 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x582bfe… |
| 06-11 17:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6c6669… |
| 06-11 17:29:40 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6c6669… |
| 06-11 17:29:39 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ac878… |
| 06-11 17:29:39 | (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ac878… |
| 06-11 17:29:36 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb36782… |
| 06-11 17:29:36 | (anonymous) 0x9acc…92c0 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xb36782… |
| 06-11 17:29:36 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xb36782… |
| 06-11 15:09:15 | Immaterial-Hydrant 0xee7f…99d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0195d9… |
| 06-11 15:09:15 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0195d9… |
| 06-11 07:10:39 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x84a132… |
| 06-11 07:10:39 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x84a132… |
| 06-11 07:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x84a132… |
| 06-10 22:19:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe81c27… |
| 06-10 22:19:36 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe81c27… |
| 06-10 19:15:07 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x605a56… |
| 06-10 19:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x3d0a…0450 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x605a56… |
| 06-10 12:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x2f5c…7b6a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7651cf… |
| 06-10 12:54:43 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7651cf… |
| 06-10 12:54:18 | (anonymous) 0xe44b…ccd3 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcdd1d5… |
| 06-10 12:54:18 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcdd1d5… |
| 06-10 08:15:33 | (anonymous) 0xa17d…4b70 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x114c56… |
| 06-10 08:15:33 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x114c56… |
| 06-10 03:32:54 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x808a34… |
| 06-10 03:32:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x808a34… |
| 06-10 03:32:54 | (anonymous) 0x3d0a…0450 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x808a34… |
| 06-10 03:32:52 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 167 | 99¢ | $165 | 0xf47ac7… |
| 06-10 03:32:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 533 | 99¢ | $527 | 0xf47ac7… |
| 06-10 03:32:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf47ac7… |
| 06-10 03:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf47ac7… |
| 06-10 03:32:52 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf47ac7… |
| 06-09 01:11:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc31a35… |
| 06-09 01:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc31a35… |
| 06-07 02:29:52 | Wobbly-Odyssey 0x3eb8…f0b7 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x419aeb… |
| 06-07 02:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x419aeb… |
| 06-07 02:29:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x419aeb… |
| 06-06 21:39:34 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d7c78… |
| 06-06 21:39:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x8d7c78… |
| 06-05 22:40:31 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 267 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf9c0d4… |
| 06-05 22:40:31 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | SELL | 120 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf9c0d4… |
| 06-05 22:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf9c0d4… |
| 06-05 22:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 89 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf9c0d4… |
| 06-05 22:40:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xf9c0d4… |
| 06-05 20:42:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7037fb… |
| 06-05 20:42:42 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7037fb… |
| 06-05 20:40:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0c201… |
| 06-05 20:40:31 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd0c201… |
| 06-05 20:40:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7d889… |
| 06-05 20:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb7d889… |
| 06-05 20:40:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x657351… |
| 06-05 20:40:28 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x657351… |
| 06-05 20:40:28 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x657351… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x33b929… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x33b929… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,596 | 99¢ | $1,580 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf02828… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf02828… |
| 06-05 20:40:27 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x186f38… |
| 06-05 17:31:10 | Enraged-Jasmine 0x6096…e6d9 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xeddbe5… |
| 06-05 17:31:10 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeddbe5… |
| 06-05 07:03:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0c91ec… |
| 06-05 07:03:15 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0c91ec… |
| 06-05 07:02:21 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdba35a… |
| 06-05 07:02:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdba35a… |
| 06-03 13:21:19 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa1a562… |
| 06-03 13:21:19 | Unknown-Crew 0xe753…7f1a | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa1a562… |
| 06-01 14:23:19 | Sparse-Apartment 0xaa46…4a23 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x819aed… |
| 06-01 14:23:19 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x819aed… |
| 06-01 04:39:59 | Orderly-Guess 0x9833…0b32 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1e451a… |
| 06-01 04:39:59 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e451a… |