Plush-Porthole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

865

Trades

1,277

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-15 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

68% 65% -$327

Sports

11% 66% +$37

Politics

10% 78% +$171

Crypto

10% 48% -$235

Tech

1% 60% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+0	-$6	88¢	$0	+$6	08-16 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$278	399	399	+0	Yes	+$41	06-15 00:00
ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	11	$275	301	0	+301	Mario Bautista	+$26	07-12 02:45
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	10	$247	129	128	+0	No	-$3	08-16 06:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	8	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$8	08-28 03:52
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	8	$206	109	109	+0	No	+$6	08-16 23:27
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	8	$191	132	77	+55	Yes	+$4	08-17 18:12
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	6	$155	81	81	+0	No	+$5	08-16 23:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	6	$153	81	81	+0	No	+$3	08-16 23:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$153	149	149	+0	open	—	08-16 23:22
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	6	$151	77	77	+0	No	+$1	08-16 23:28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	6	$136	172	172	+0	open	—	08-16 06:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	5	$125	102	26	+76	No	+$2	08-09 22:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	3	$125	133	0	+133	No	+$8	06-20 18:15
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	5	$121	158	56	+102	San Diego Padres	-$29	09-14 02:13
itf shimiz1 han3 2026 09 17	4	$107	119	119	+0	Eri Shimizu	+$7	09-17 01:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$2	07-24 16:20
itf ishii1 rajeck1 2026 09 17	4	$102	103	103	+0	Sayaka Ishii	+$2	09-17 02:25
itf han1 chung1 2026 09 17	4	$101	178	178	+0	Yun Seong Chung	+$1	09-17 02:16
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	4	$101	79	27	+52	No	+$3	08-05 16:38
itf yoshim1 deng1 2026 09 17	4	$101	104	104	+0	Natsuki Yoshimoto	+$1	09-17 02:59
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	4	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	08-16 23:29
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	08-16 06:09
untitled market 1 20260730180943686	4	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-16 23:29
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$100	51	50	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 21:53
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	4	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-16 23:30
ufc cha9 mit4 2026 07 18	4	$100	130	0	+130	Chase Hooper	+$30	07-18 23:26
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	2	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	06-14 06:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	06-15 16:07
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-16?	4	$100	470	417	+53	No	+$3	08-17 19:08
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	2	$100	54	54	+0	open	—	06-17 12:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 07:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x25faad…
10-15 07:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe5bbc0…
10-15 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf9735b…
10-15 06:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 15?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x511456…
10-08 02:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb0fe26…
10-08 02:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x01590a…
10-08 02:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf721df…
10-05 04:14:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x74f197…
10-05 03:49:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xaa8b4a…
10-05 02:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0cb78b…
10-05 01:24:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d8b67…
10-05 00:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf55134…
10-05 00:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x562a07…
10-05 00:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09d9d3…
10-05 00:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7bea4a…
10-05 00:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17b893…
10-05 00:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58ea75…
10-05 00:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc85b00…
10-05 00:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x94dc4b…
10-04 03:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf99e55…
10-04 02:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36ae87…
10-04 02:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x584b46…
10-04 02:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c1822…
10-04 01:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d7b12…
10-04 01:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45e429…
10-04 01:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf97ce8…
10-04 00:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c097f…
10-03 01:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x62b79b…
10-03 01:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde7066…
10-03 00:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbefcfe…
10-03 00:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbbe5a4…
10-02 13:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb87f2d…
10-02 13:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbd9dc3…
10-02 13:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3af0a2…
10-02 12:09:05	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x888043…
10-02 12:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	273	4¢	$10	0x56d98b…
10-02 12:07:05	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0xf91291…
10-02 12:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0533fb…
10-02 11:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xb60880…
09-30 00:28:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe37939…
09-29 21:51:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x62bdb2…
09-29 13:47:17	dota2 1win navi 2026 09 29 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xffa5f8…
09-29 12:29:51	dota2 1win navi 2026 09 29 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x419403…
09-29 10:08:32	val g21 pr1 2026 09 29 game2	G2 Esports	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8ba98e…
09-29 08:17:14	val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	G2 Esports	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xebf2d4…
09-29 07:10:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x4bb02d…
09-29 04:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xf59e77…
09-29 03:46:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x244e3b…
09-29 02:43:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xcb392d…
09-27 12:13:05	LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x192677…
09-27 09:02:36	lol c9 tl2 2026 09 27 game1 kill over 24pt5	Under	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x346e25…
09-27 09:01:32	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xeabf14…
09-27 08:57:45	lol anb use1 2026 09 27	Anubis Gaming	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x635a41…
09-23 20:31:01	lol dnsc t1a 2026 09 24	T1 Academy	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xecf4a6…
09-21 21:48:37	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x06bcc9…
09-21 12:21:12	dota2 cs 1win 2026 09 21	1win	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4756a8…
09-20 09:39:37	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x0dd166…
09-20 09:02:28	lol png1 red 2026 09 20 game3	RED Canids	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x133cf4…
09-20 09:02:27	lol png1 red 2026 09 20 game2	RED Canids	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x54554f…
09-20 09:02:24	lol png1 red 2026 09 20 game1	RED Canids	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc78b00…
09-19 22:35:49	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x56e18b…
09-19 20:40:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0afb54…
09-19 05:24:09	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xa2be3b…
09-19 02:08:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd35c28…
09-19 02:02:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xef13e8…
09-19 01:40:19	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x814012…
09-18 22:01:24	lol ig1 jdg 2026 09 19	Invictus Gaming	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x4c0cf8…
09-18 21:44:40	Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)	Browns	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x2ff447…
09-18 21:13:51	UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Joanderson Brito	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x59025d…
09-18 20:56:12	UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Charles Jourdain	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x4d6223…
09-18 19:09:12	cfb merc gtech 2026 09 19 total 60pt5	Under	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x43445a…
09-18 18:59:43	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xf1a2d1…
09-18 18:59:40	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x353653…
09-18 18:50:07	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x9928a2…
09-18 16:37:21	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x6faf9a…
09-18 13:46:44	UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)	JooSang Yoo	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xec7fc4…
09-18 13:25:41	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xbbf22a…
09-17 21:57:46	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x636864…
09-17 20:41:49	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xb80b39…
09-17 15:41:52	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x698fa2…
09-17 15:41:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf707d7…
09-17 09:12:37	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2f9a19…
09-17 05:09:09	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb84e65…
09-17 03:01:39	itf inoue1 matsud2 2026 09 17	Rinko Matsuda	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xd879af…
09-17 02:59:18	itf yoshim1 deng1 2026 09 17	Natsuki Yoshimoto	SELL	42	62¢	$26	0x05d846…
09-17 02:57:15	itf wang4 zhang6 2026 09 17	JiaYi Wang	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0x7da5c9…
09-17 02:56:45	itf inoue1 matsud2 2026 09 17	Rinko Matsuda	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x60daef…
09-17 02:56:39	itf inoue1 matsud2 2026 09 17	Hina Inoue	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0xbd5618…
09-17 02:54:52	itf wang4 zhang6 2026 09 17	JiaYi Wang	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9af421…
09-17 02:54:48	itf wang4 zhang6 2026 09 17	Ruien Zhang	SELL	49	28¢	$14	0x1ab66a…
09-17 02:53:19	itf yoshim1 deng1 2026 09 17	Natsuki Yoshimoto	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xa3df0e…
09-17 02:53:16	itf yoshim1 deng1 2026 09 17	Tiana Tian Deng	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0xb2e821…
09-17 02:46:31	itf yoshim1 deng1 2026 09 17	Tiana Tian Deng	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x8bff14…
09-17 02:45:21	itf borg1 shin2 2026 09 17	Leo Borg	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0x08cc98…
09-17 02:44:54	itf borg1 shin2 2026 09 17	Leo Borg	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x20d565…
09-17 02:44:48	itf borg1 shin2 2026 09 17	Maxim Shin	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x776b64…
09-17 02:43:19	itf wang4 zhang6 2026 09 17	Ruien Zhang	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x10b2bb…
09-17 02:41:57	cs2 imp11 bhe 2026 09 16	Bounty Hunters Esports	SELL	74	33¢	$24	0x79941e…
09-17 02:40:28	cs2 imp11 bhe 2026 09 16	Imperial	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0x9b0920…
09-17 02:40:18	cs2 imp11 bhe 2026 09 16	Imperial	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x744617…