Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$96

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-25 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Other

28% — —

Politics

25% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No		-100	$-95	97¢	$-96	$-2	06-25 00:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	1	$220	500	0	+500	open	—	05-05 10:58
will trump cut off trade with spain	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-30 10:20
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	7	$95	0	100	-100	open	—	06-25 00:31
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 15:08
bitcoin above 74k on march 22	1	$78	90	0	+90	open	—	03-19 09:50
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	4	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 11:02
tim walz charged by march 31	7	$62	26	50	-24	open	—	03-19 15:39
will emma stone attend the oscars	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-15 00:02
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	4	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-01 17:48
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-16 20:19
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 06:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 22	2	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	03-19 07:54
ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	4	$28	8	32	-24	open	—	03-24 08:57
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	5	$28	8	32	-24	open	—	03-24 19:01
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$26	19	10	+8	open	—	03-05 13:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$25	17	8	+8	open	—	03-04 16:08
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$24	0	48	-48	open	—	03-18 21:12
bitcoin above 74k on march 25	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	03-19 08:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	03-01 02:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	03-19 07:37
50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 07:26
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 09:52
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 18:39
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	03-26 09:31
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 13:54
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-20 16:35
will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-11 16:15
will trump attend ufc 326	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-07 12:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-04 18:35
will hillarys remarks not air	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-02 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 14:52:07	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x28e46e…
06-25 14:16:32	ethereum above 1400 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9bd147…
06-25 13:55:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x350922…
06-25 00:31:05	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	71	95¢	$67	0xb69b60…
06-25 00:26:55	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x0bd397…
06-24 23:36:56	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbba5dd…
06-24 21:17:44	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0cfa12…
06-24 19:10:16	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x505baa…
06-24 18:05:23	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xda3574…
06-24 17:12:23	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfbd707…
06-24 16:21:56	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8d2881…
05-05 10:58:04	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x7a5a63…
04-01 17:48:13	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xc9a0ee…
03-30 22:55:05	Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x8f6bc9…
03-30 10:20:54	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6a1d2f…
03-30 10:20:54	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x6100e6…
03-30 10:20:54	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x01c777…
03-29 22:48:54	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x20dc0a…
03-29 22:34:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x487ebd…
03-29 15:08:18	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf01a1a…
03-28 16:09:45	aapl above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x86071b…
03-27 06:36:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x00faf8…
03-26 09:31:29	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xe43def…
03-26 08:59:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x11079f…
03-26 06:55:41	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xbbe4ec…
03-25 23:15:41	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xce7023…
03-25 08:36:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa65aad…
03-24 19:01:47	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x120e78…
03-24 11:02:51	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	44	74¢	$33	0xb3c208…
03-24 10:25:11	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xa0ef7c…
03-24 10:09:09	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x988006…
03-24 09:52:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x25a0f0…
03-24 09:03:53	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x9a85d7…
03-24 08:59:59	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x39fa81…
03-24 08:57:07	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3b0f4e…
03-24 08:53:33	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x253a64…
03-24 08:35:41	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf5d570…
03-24 08:34:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xd2b116…
03-24 08:33:31	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x99ddcc…
03-23 23:32:03	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7563fa…
03-22 14:16:59	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5c5e59…
03-21 13:06:15	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xd5784a…
03-21 09:08:53	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x9ec3b3…
03-21 09:06:59	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xd7e5b8…
03-20 16:35:15	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x708091…
03-20 16:19:43	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xc7073d…
03-20 13:25:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 23	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x28dbc5…
03-19 21:07:21	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6a168f…
03-19 19:48:17	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2d03f2…
03-19 15:39:01	tim walz charged by march 31	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9ba861…
03-19 09:50:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 22	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0xcba824…
03-19 09:20:01	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x96a613…
03-19 08:48:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x5e4169…
03-19 07:54:07	bitcoin above 72k on march 22	No	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0xb6e0d6…
03-19 07:40:33	bitcoin above 72k on march 22	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x860851…
03-19 07:37:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd3f5d0…
03-18 21:12:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x686e1c…
03-18 07:03:15	will maru reach 1b in q1	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x368e39…
03-17 16:19:39	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x28fc66…
03-16 20:19:33	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe3c2cf…
03-16 01:31:33	will one battle after another win best original score at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x24dd91…
03-15 05:17:35	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xad404d…
03-15 00:02:15	will emma stone attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x86af2f…
03-14 14:13:55	will consensys ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x177c2a…
03-14 05:33:51	will maru reach 900m in q1	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x0d9340…
03-13 18:11:31	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x110521…
03-12 07:39:57	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x1b77c4…
03-11 16:15:01	will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfbacbc…
03-11 08:58:23	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6dc41f…
03-10 16:17:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x17c3c9…
03-10 14:29:23	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x37d841…
03-10 14:03:41	Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xdcf047…
03-09 14:11:21	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x6aced7…
03-09 12:39:27	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0x37cc5b…
03-09 09:04:23	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x710fde…
03-08 13:45:39	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xba1a49…
03-08 09:22:15	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9d7b31…
03-08 04:45:23	will frankenstein win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x933b4d…
03-08 03:18:49	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xfeaef7…
03-07 19:12:49	will leonardo dicaprio attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc8be06…
03-07 12:38:17	will frankenstein win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x8000db…
03-07 12:12:19	will trump attend ufc 326	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd343c8…
03-06 09:39:27	tim walz charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x05be43…
03-06 08:38:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x891cf6…
03-05 13:17:59	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6b43bb…
03-04 18:35:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0afad4…
03-04 16:08:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xdafa45…
03-03 19:10:25	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5538a3…
03-03 15:56:15	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb8957b…
03-03 15:42:37	will chris gober be the republican nominee for tx 10	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x011fb0…
03-02 07:26:01	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc4c5d9…
03-02 03:58:33	will hillarys remarks not air	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x236d22…
03-02 02:24:27	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2cd746…
03-01 11:39:39	tim walz charged by march 31	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xcd05b4…
03-01 09:18:27	will consensys ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc38607…
03-01 08:27:27	Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x69824d…
03-01 07:01:17	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xc2389a…
03-01 04:30:59	will trump attend ufc 326	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x000c2c…
03-01 02:42:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf9530e…
03-01 02:31:45	Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x628c2c…