Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
open
Total volume
$4,164
Trades
73
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$2,485
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-15 13:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $3.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $6 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $32 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $11 | $75 | $64 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $10 | $15 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 6 | $11 | $7 | +$4 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $10 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 9 | $22 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +2,351 | $22 | $22 | 8 | 06-15 13:53 |
| Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | +2,134 | $2,100 | $2,100 | 3 | 06-04 09:46 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +1,638 | $1,621 | $1,621 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Harmonious-Gum 0x46b0…dcde | Yes | +363 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +283 | $0 | $10 | 2 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +114 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +110 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 07:23 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 07:23 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 07:23 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +93 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +75 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +24 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 06-05 20:42 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-07 21:33 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-08 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f92…835e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 20:42 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +7 | $-2 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x20c6…f035 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e5…509f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 04:47 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 10:24 |
| Dual-Difficulty 0x75e6…a5fe | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 16:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:53:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43d10c… |
| 06-15 13:53:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43d10c… |
| 06-12 11:23:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9c21a1… |
| 06-12 11:23:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c21a1… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d1715… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d1715… |
| 06-11 04:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x728b…fd3e | Yes | SELL | 909 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xe0e272… |
| 06-11 04:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x8d0a…f43a | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xe0e272… |
| 06-11 04:05:09 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xe0e272… |
| 06-11 04:05:09 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 818 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xe0e272… |
| 06-10 16:20:13 | Dual-Difficulty 0x75e6…a5fe | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x84e042… |
| 06-10 16:20:13 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x84e042… |
| 06-10 12:48:00 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x21342d… |
| 06-10 12:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x1f92…835e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x21342d… |
| 06-08 14:02:22 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x219bea… |
| 06-08 14:02:22 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x219bea… |
| 06-08 14:02:22 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x219bea… |
| 06-08 14:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x219bea… |
| 06-07 21:33:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x221d53… |
| 06-07 21:33:45 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x221d53… |
| 06-07 10:36:37 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x04bd57… |
| 06-07 10:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04bd57… |
| 06-07 10:35:00 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x695168… |
| 06-07 10:35:00 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x695168… |
| 06-05 20:42:33 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xae6b59… |
| 06-05 20:42:33 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xae6b59… |
| 06-05 20:41:16 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ab232… |
| 06-05 20:41:16 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3ab232… |
| 06-05 20:41:13 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4fab97… |
| 06-05 20:41:13 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4fab97… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 910 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34248c… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4bc232… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x4bc232… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 455 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,638 | 99¢ | $1,621 | 0xbd19f9… |
| 06-05 20:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x34248c… |
| 06-05 13:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 172 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xda5702… |
| 06-05 13:57:46 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | SELL | 93 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xda5702… |
| 06-05 13:57:46 | Harmonious-Gum 0x46b0…dcde | Yes | BUY | 363 | 3¢ | $10 | 0xda5702… |
| 06-05 13:57:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xda5702… |
| 06-05 13:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x8d0a…f43a | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0xda5702… |
| 06-05 00:16:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3ccb42… |
| 06-05 00:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x8d0a…f43a | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3ccb42… |
| 06-05 00:16:48 | Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | SELL | 97 | 98¢ | $96 | 0x3ccb42… |
| 06-05 00:16:48 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3ccb42… |
| 06-04 10:24:10 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x6daf32… |
| 06-04 10:24:10 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6daf32… |
| 06-04 09:46:51 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 498 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x323565… |
| 06-04 09:46:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x323565… |
| 06-04 09:46:51 | Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | BUY | 1,018 | 98¢ | $1,000 | 0x323565… |
| 06-03 21:57:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x7fe9da… |
| 06-03 21:57:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fe9da… |
| 06-02 04:47:24 | Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xcdaffc… |
| 06-02 04:47:24 | (anonymous) 0xe0e5…509f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcdaffc… |
| 06-02 04:47:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcdaffc… |
| 06-02 04:47:24 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcdaffc… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | BUY | 1,015 | 99¢ | $1,000 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x20c6…f035 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xafabfa… |
| 06-01 07:23:08 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xafabfa… |
| 05-30 15:01:26 | Weak-Bureau 0x6602…089f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x49b67d… |
| 05-30 15:01:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x49b67d… |
| 05-30 15:01:26 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49b67d… |
| 05-30 15:01:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49b67d… |