Dual-Difficulty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-10 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$0

Politics

33% 100% +$0

Tech

9% — —

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	06-10 16:20
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	06-10 16:17
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	+1	$1	93¢	$1	$-0	06-10 16:18
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	$-0	06-10 16:21
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-10 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 13:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 13:04
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 13:04
will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 13:04
trump out as president by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 13:04
new stranger things episode released by april 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 13:04
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:08
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:20
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:18
will backpack launch a token on march 23	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-21 13:22
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:17
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:08
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:08
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:21
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:08
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:10
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:19
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:09
highest temperature in nyc on january 12 37forbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:10
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:17
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-21 13:23
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:08
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:10
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-12 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 16:21:00	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeadc8d…
06-10 16:20:13	Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84e042…
06-10 16:19:48	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b5102…
06-10 16:18:27	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00fdae…
06-10 16:17:52	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x864326…
06-10 16:17:33	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8e733…
03-31 13:05:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2263e4…
03-31 13:04:55	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeeae2e…
03-31 13:04:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3584f1…
03-31 13:04:41	new stranger things episode released by april 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8e247…
03-31 13:04:29	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x299f43…
03-31 13:04:23	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bbc3e…
03-31 13:04:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x78603d…
03-31 13:03:51	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc56fd4…
03-21 13:23:41	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf77365…
03-21 13:22:57	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x917472…
03-21 13:22:37	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc60839…
03-21 13:22:15	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dfa2a…
03-21 13:21:47	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26127e…
03-21 13:20:09	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3dc5bc…
03-21 13:19:57	new stranger things episode released by april 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37e5da…
03-21 13:19:15	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x622c8e…
03-21 13:18:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdec39a…
03-21 13:18:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x185832…
01-12 15:10:42	highest temperature in nyc on january 12 37forbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04b673…
01-12 15:10:16	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b981e…
01-12 15:10:08	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d9f08…
01-12 15:09:10	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c93cd…
01-12 15:09:06	another us strike on venezuela by january 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6bedc…
01-12 15:08:46	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1796…
01-12 15:08:42	will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14ed90…
01-12 15:08:38	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ba241…
01-12 15:08:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89d00c…
01-12 15:08:20	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x15efc5…
01-12 15:08:14	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc3e871…