Dual-Difficulty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$175

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-14 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

77% 69% +$0

Other

18% 87% -$11

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	21	$99	49,720	49,720	+0	No	$0	06-06 10:45
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$12	5,800	5,800	+0	No	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	-$8	07-05 11:46
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$5	2,490	2,490	+0	No	+$0	05-31 09:30
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	07-14 12:01
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$4	1,820	1,820	+0	No	+$0	05-25 18:30
nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:04
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:04
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 15:47
will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:04
trump out as president by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-31 13:04
new stranger things episode released by april 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-31 13:04
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:05
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 16:20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:08
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-10 16:18
will backpack launch a token on march 23	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-21 13:22
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 16:17
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:09
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-12 15:08
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:08
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-10 16:19
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:09
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:10
highest temperature in nyc on january 12 37forbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-12 15:10
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-10 16:17
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-21 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 12:01:40	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf5ae6f…
07-05 11:46:47	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x79d6aa…
07-04 15:47:29	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x603925…
06-10 16:21:00	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeadc8d…
06-10 16:20:13	Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84e042…
06-10 16:19:48	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b5102…
06-10 16:18:27	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00fdae…
06-10 16:17:52	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x864326…
06-10 16:17:33	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8e733…
06-06 10:45:13	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,560	0¢	$8	0x8ec226…
06-06 09:39:30	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,560	0¢	$8	0x509767…
06-05 14:39:51	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	765	0¢	$1	0xb24664…
06-05 14:39:34	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,860	0¢	$5	0xd6e868…
06-05 14:31:36	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,235	0¢	$2	0xcffa90…
06-04 13:04:04	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,860	0¢	$8	0xe04a8b…
06-03 17:24:28	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,223	0¢	$1	0x78c866…
06-03 17:21:57	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,010	0¢	$6	0x3a915b…
06-03 17:21:19	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	937	0¢	$1	0x723067…
06-03 13:36:22	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,170	0¢	$8	0xe6672d…
06-01 19:49:08	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,954	0¢	$5	0xa6c6a8…
06-01 19:48:54	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,536	0¢	$4	0x59f4ab…
06-01 17:48:58	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,490	0¢	$8	0xf76800…
05-31 09:30:31	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,490	0¢	$2	0x0423d0…
05-31 09:14:25	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,384	0¢	$1	0xeb3c86…
05-31 09:13:50	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,600	0¢	$5	0x4f2963…
05-31 09:12:09	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	416	0¢	$0	0x8a092e…
05-29 17:53:00	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,490	0¢	$2	0x5ccbc3…
05-29 17:52:43	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,400	0¢	$6	0x2ce4d5…
05-28 16:31:10	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,503	0¢	$2	0x8ecc13…
05-28 16:26:11	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,297	0¢	$4	0x53fe4c…
05-28 16:20:46	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,440	0¢	$3	0xf5a329…
05-27 17:03:37	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,440	0¢	$3	0x64320b…
05-27 17:03:20	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,800	0¢	$6	0xaca55e…
05-25 18:30:29	Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,820	0¢	$2	0x9b15e4…
05-25 18:26:40	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,800	0¢	$8	0xd3e968…
05-24 17:29:29	Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,820	0¢	$2	0xfe9660…
05-24 17:29:12	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,800	0¢	$8	0xd790a8…
03-31 13:05:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2263e4…
03-31 13:04:55	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeeae2e…
03-31 13:04:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3584f1…
03-31 13:04:41	new stranger things episode released by april 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8e247…
03-31 13:04:29	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x299f43…
03-31 13:04:23	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bbc3e…
03-31 13:04:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x78603d…
03-31 13:03:51	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc56fd4…
03-21 13:23:41	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf77365…
03-21 13:22:57	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x917472…
03-21 13:22:37	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc60839…
03-21 13:22:15	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dfa2a…
03-21 13:21:47	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26127e…
03-21 13:20:09	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3dc5bc…
03-21 13:19:57	new stranger things episode released by april 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37e5da…
03-21 13:19:15	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x622c8e…
03-21 13:18:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdec39a…
03-21 13:18:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x185832…
01-12 15:10:42	highest temperature in nyc on january 12 37forbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04b673…
01-12 15:10:16	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b981e…
01-12 15:10:08	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d9f08…
01-12 15:09:10	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c93cd…
01-12 15:09:06	another us strike on venezuela by january 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6bedc…
01-12 15:08:46	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1796…
01-12 15:08:42	will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14ed90…
01-12 15:08:38	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ba241…
01-12 15:08:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89d00c…
01-12 15:08:20	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x15efc5…
01-12 15:08:14	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc3e871…