Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$739

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 09-23 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

46% 69% +$3

Crypto

26% 70% +$1

Politics

25% 85% -$10

Tech

3% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-16	-$16	98¢	$-16	+$0	09-23 00:59
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-8	-$8	99¢	$-8	$0	06-21 05:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-30 15:27
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	4	$28	8	32	-24	No	+$0	03-09 07:41
ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	4	$27	8	32	-24	No	$0	03-13 07:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$25	17	8	+8	No	+$0	03-05 03:11
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-24 19:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 16:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	09-23 00:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 13:10
tim walz charged by march 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-24 20:32
nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 02:55
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-03 13:37
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-24 00:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-04 16:07
will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	3	$13	0	24	-24	No	+$1	03-16 00:39
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-27 15:07
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-15 00:37
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	2	$12	0	24	-24	Yes	+$0	03-22 20:24
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-10 15:43
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-16 01:18
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	3	$12	0	24	-24	Yes	+$0	03-18 21:53
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 11:18
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-12 19:42
will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-11 00:44
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-18 23:37
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-10 10:03
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 17:57
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-08 14:09
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-08 08:21
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-28 05:23
will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	3	$12	0	24	-24	Yes	+$0	03-10 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 05:16:29	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaf5046…
09-23 00:59:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4f00f2…
08-09 10:36:42	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x2eaad1…
06-24 16:03:52	Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x84f936…
06-21 05:20:46	Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6e81ba…
06-21 05:05:56	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7f9db6…
06-12 16:05:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xbced6a…
05-26 03:15:54	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xca26f3…
05-12 07:24:54	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1645a7…
04-03 13:37:53	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x0d3bd8…
03-31 02:55:31	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2af1fb…
03-30 15:27:29	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5f40f1…
03-28 05:23:37	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xd6af42…
03-28 05:22:47	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xa4524d…
03-28 05:22:23	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x960203…
03-27 15:07:35	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x0f31f9…
03-27 12:36:25	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfb9183…
03-26 00:29:51	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x44bf27…
03-24 20:32:21	tim walz charged by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x651bae…
03-24 19:02:57	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7ee97d…
03-24 00:29:03	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x51b271…
03-24 00:00:11	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1f1455…
03-22 20:24:47	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb77186…
03-20 13:57:11	Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x78e973…
03-18 23:37:03	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6652b3…
03-18 21:53:21	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3ecb1a…
03-16 14:27:11	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x0f7246…
03-16 01:18:57	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb8d935…
03-16 00:39:23	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xccf2f6…
03-15 00:37:07	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa17b41…
03-13 07:07:33	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd24b82…
03-12 20:18:41	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xe8d1f7…
03-12 19:42:17	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7df30e…
03-12 16:25:21	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xaa5570…
03-12 15:09:05	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd08337…
03-12 08:39:05	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x082f67…
03-12 02:25:13	will russia enter dobropillia by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xe08eed…
03-11 17:06:27	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x2d49ca…
03-11 00:44:07	will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x9ec00d…
03-10 18:59:29	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcbc283…
03-10 16:16:21	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x9ad8c8…
03-10 15:43:41	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x7bb5c6…
03-10 14:57:13	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x377c90…
03-10 13:55:21	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4bcf98…
03-10 13:53:03	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x33ebde…
03-10 12:26:23	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xcb718a…
03-10 11:51:39	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x087aa8…
03-10 10:34:55	us strike on colombia by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x1ec201…
03-10 10:03:31	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x0ba528…
03-10 09:38:17	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6cadfb…
03-10 08:46:07	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6f7745…
03-10 08:30:07	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x5f53c8…
03-10 08:29:21	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x823bd1…
03-10 08:25:59	Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6f8ae9…
03-10 05:42:27	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xbc6f92…
03-10 03:44:43	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x12dbda…
03-10 03:25:17	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x9425b1…
03-10 03:18:31	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x581c86…
03-10 02:15:27	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0x73d060…
03-09 22:14:27	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x6ece01…
03-09 19:41:11	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x3e9811…
03-09 18:42:03	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x289f06…
03-09 17:57:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7c65ca…
03-09 16:50:29	will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe41a5b…
03-09 11:58:47	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x42103a…
03-09 11:54:25	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xdbcc93…
03-09 11:37:19	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x834548…
03-09 11:18:41	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb01338…
03-09 07:41:47	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x5bce96…
03-09 02:35:47	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x652084…
03-08 23:42:29	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xcca958…
03-08 20:36:57	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x071fab…
03-08 18:09:47	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x455909…
03-08 16:24:41	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2ca413…
03-08 14:09:09	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x745c58…
03-08 12:28:17	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x7212f2…
03-08 11:04:05	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xe22c4d…
03-08 09:22:15	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x9d7b31…
03-08 09:19:07	will russia enter dobropillia by march 31	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x93d671…
03-08 08:21:37	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x1624ae…
03-08 08:21:35	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x961d24…
03-08 07:54:33	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x19817e…
03-08 05:03:41	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xccc902…
03-07 17:15:39	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x2fa4a1…
03-07 11:51:51	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9ec4ef…
03-07 11:37:55	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x4a59c4…
03-07 09:56:17	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9df32f…
03-07 09:26:41	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0118a3…
03-07 09:10:27	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x508300…
03-07 08:55:57	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xbd2632…
03-07 08:33:11	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x36f4fc…
03-07 08:26:35	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x443ce6…
03-07 07:53:47	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x574f27…
03-07 05:10:27	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xec41d3…
03-07 03:43:23	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xdc3562…
03-07 03:14:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x54707d…
03-05 03:11:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0e6cb7…
03-04 16:07:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x104b47…
03-04 16:07:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2dd512…
03-04 08:16:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6e921d…