Realized P&L
+$273
Unrealized P&L
+$209
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
59
Trades
111
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$2.83K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-30 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
54% 84% +$258
Sports
21% 69% -$8
Politics
20% 79% +$5
Tech
4% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,235 $1,000 97¢ $1.2K +$197 05-08 02:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +365 $200 72¢ $261 +$61 09-18 03:07
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +225 $200 89¢ $200 +$0 08-03 23:12
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8,333 $100 1¢ $121 +$21 05-08 05:10
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? No +115 $100 94¢ $108 +$8 05-08 05:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +108 $100 97¢ $105 +$5 06-07 22:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +106 $100 98¢ $104 +$4 06-07 00:29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +106 $100 97¢ $104 +$4 06-07 00:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +108 $100 94¢ $102 +$2 09-30 17:13
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No +105 $100 96¢ $101 +$1 07-03 00:35
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +103 $100 99¢ $101 +$1 07-04 00:00
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +107 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 08-03 23:07
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,479 $100 2¢ $59 -$41 05-08 05:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +69 $50 82¢ $57 +$7 10-23 02:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +110 $100 48¢ $53 -$47 09-11 01:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +53 $50 94¢ $50 $0 10-23 02:24
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 Yes +42 $10 8¢ $3 -$7 08-02 18:29
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +26 $10 12¢ $3 -$7 07-01 18:13