Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,270
Trades
74
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$484
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-15 01:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $5 | $57 | $53 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $3 | $7 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $4 | $123 | $119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $53 | $50 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 20 | $4 | $118 | $114 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +84 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 08-15 01:12 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | +59 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 08-06 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 08-13 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf43…aa35 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 14:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +8 | $0 | $4 | 10 | 08-13 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e77…712e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-06 14:15 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-06 14:15 |
| Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-05 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-29 15:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 01:12:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62b0f5… |
| 08-15 01:12:25 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62b0f5… |
| 08-13 09:14:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a5808… |
| 08-13 09:14:04 | (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x0a5808… |
| 08-13 09:00:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x00cb7e… |
| 08-13 09:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x00cb7e… |
| 08-13 09:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f5deb… |
| 08-13 09:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f5deb… |
| 08-13 08:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8dde5d… |
| 08-13 08:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8dde5d… |
| 08-06 14:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x1e77…712e | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xd09113… |
| 08-06 14:15:59 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd09113… |
| 08-06 14:15:59 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xd09113… |
| 08-06 14:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd09113… |
| 08-06 14:15:59 | (anonymous) 0xbf43…aa35 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd09113… |
| 08-06 01:22:44 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd25cb… |
| 08-06 01:22:44 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $51 | 0xcd25cb… |
| 08-06 01:22:44 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcd25cb… |
| 08-05 09:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x60bb22… |
| 08-05 09:33:17 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x60bb22… |
| 08-01 08:05:44 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe5e749… |
| 08-01 08:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5e749… |
| 08-01 08:02:48 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x56b172… |
| 08-01 08:02:48 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x56b172… |
| 07-29 15:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x40ee7d… |
| 07-29 15:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x40ee7d… |
| 07-29 12:26:57 | (anonymous) 0xc368…81c6 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xf6d381… |
| 07-29 12:26:57 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf6d381… |
| 07-21 07:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | SELL | 86 | 97¢ | $83 | 0xf34efc… |
| 07-21 07:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf34efc… |
| 07-21 07:44:12 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xf34efc… |
| 07-18 14:56:00 | (anonymous) 0xc368…81c6 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x21f307… |
| 07-18 14:56:00 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x21f307… |
| 07-15 10:45:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbbfff2… |
| 07-15 10:45:56 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbbfff2… |
| 07-09 11:59:26 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x0ff87d… |
| 07-09 11:59:26 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x0ff87d… |
| 06-16 03:15:15 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xde6736… |
| 06-16 03:15:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xde6736… |
| 06-16 03:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x77663c… |
| 06-16 03:12:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x77663c… |
| 06-15 14:08:12 | (anonymous) 0xde9f…cd36 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9b0dcd… |
| 06-15 14:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x6a7d…d9fc | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x9b0dcd… |
| 06-15 13:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x57ab…434b | No | SELL | 931 | 90¢ | $838 | 0x39c1fe… |
| 06-15 13:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x354c…b301 | Yes | SELL | 663 | 10¢ | $66 | 0x39c1fe… |
| 06-15 13:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a79…1ccb | Yes | SELL | 268 | 10¢ | $27 | 0x39c1fe… |
| 06-15 13:49:52 | (anonymous) 0xbf49…6cfe | Yes | SELL | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xc83b45… |
| 06-15 13:49:52 | (anonymous) 0xe2e0…ad86 | No | SELL | 1,001 | 90¢ | $901 | 0xc83b45… |
| 06-15 13:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…395e | Yes | SELL | 901 | 10¢ | $90 | 0xc83b45… |
| 06-15 13:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xc319…6baa | Yes | SELL | 771 | 10¢ | $77 | 0x51b65f… |
| 06-15 13:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x1787…44a9 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 10¢ | $18 | 0x51b65f… |
| 06-15 13:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…395e | Yes | SELL | 46 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x51b65f… |
| 06-15 13:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xe794…321c | No | SELL | 998 | 90¢ | $898 | 0x51b65f… |
| 06-15 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x1787…44a9 | Yes | SELL | 594 | 10¢ | $59 | 0xc116b4… |
| 06-15 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x9c2e…e025 | Yes | SELL | 392 | 10¢ | $39 | 0xc116b4… |
| 06-15 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x9818…7cd3 | No | SELL | 986 | 90¢ | $887 | 0xc116b4… |
| 06-15 13:48:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c2e…e025 | Yes | SELL | 1,022 | 10¢ | $102 | 0x77ee16… |
| 06-15 13:48:51 | (anonymous) 0x0e3e…6b65 | No | SELL | 1,022 | 90¢ | $920 | 0x77ee16… |
| 06-15 13:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x9c2e…e025 | Yes | SELL | 955 | 10¢ | $96 | 0x570a0d… |
| 06-15 13:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x3c4c…be9f | No | SELL | 955 | 90¢ | $860 | 0x570a0d… |
| 06-13 22:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb281c3… |
| 06-13 22:08:04 | Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb281c3… |
| 06-05 15:30:06 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2ea1a4… |
| 06-05 15:30:06 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x2ea1a4… |
| 06-05 15:30:06 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ea1a4… |
| 06-02 08:57:41 | Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa0667a… |
| 06-02 08:57:41 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa0667a… |
| 06-01 08:01:14 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb3f638… |
| 06-01 08:01:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb3f638… |
| 06-01 08:01:14 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xb3f638… |
| 05-31 12:03:25 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6442be… |
| 05-31 12:03:25 | Quiet-Prostacyclin 0x7334…8be8 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6442be… |
| 05-30 01:01:59 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3b9fd8… |
| 05-30 01:01:59 | Odd-Dance 0xd538…0c3f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3b9fd8… |