Realized P&L
-$4.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$370
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
211
Trades
969
lifetime
Volume
$36.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$2.33K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
51% 65% -$194
Politics
38% 45% -$4,209
Tech
9% 80% +$124
Sports
2% 88% +$23
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +380 $338 95¢ $361 +$23 08-18 09:13
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +318 $243 90¢ $288 +$44 07-04 16:47
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $180 94¢ $187 +$6 09-16 02:41
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +200 $153 90¢ $181 +$28 06-07 13:17
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No -167 -$125 92¢ $-154 -$28 09-04 16:50
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +140 $119 100¢ $140 +$20 10-23 01:18
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +150 $128 88¢ $131 +$4 07-15 00:45
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +138 -$138 92¢ $127 +$266 10-18 09:12
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +107 $93 96¢ $103 +$10 07-18 16:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +120 $87 84¢ $101 +$14 10-23 01:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +100 $86 98¢ $98 +$11 08-30 01:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $83 97¢ $97 +$14 05-11 19:49
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +110 $86 82¢ $91 +$5 10-23 00:36
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +60 $53 100¢ $60 +$7 10-13 16:31
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -50 -$35 94¢ $-47 -$12 07-20 16:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +59 $65 78¢ $46 -$19 09-03 19:49
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +50 $40 85¢ $42 +$2 10-16 15:46
US recession by end of 2026? No -42 -$31 94¢ $-40 -$8 04-29 00:29
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +150 $27 16¢ $23 -$4 08-18 14:30
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +50 $24 22¢ $11 -$13 05-12 23:42