Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
515
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$703
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% 0% $-11
Politics
42%
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +267 $208 82¢ $218 +$9 06-12 01:08
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes +159 $112 88¢ $139 +$26 06-10 12:19
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +111 $94 86¢ $95 +$1 06-21 12:51
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +100 $78 82¢ $82 +$4 06-07 13:17
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +100 $53 54¢ $54 +$0 06-05 13:55
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +50 $42 96¢ $48 +$6 06-07 02:04
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No -34 $-32 84¢ $-29 +$3 06-17 01:42
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +20 $16 82¢ $16 +$0 07-02 00:59
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $43 30¢ $15 $-27 06-22 23:22
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes +50 $30 16¢ $8 $-22 06-05 20:55