Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
614
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$984
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-11
Politics
36%
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +178 $135 88¢ $156 +$20 07-04 16:47
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes +159 $112 89¢ $141 +$29 06-10 12:19
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +150 $128 84¢ $127 $-1 07-15 00:45
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +111 $94 88¢ $97 +$3 06-21 12:51
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +100 $79 88¢ $88 +$10 07-04 17:37
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +100 $78 83¢ $83 +$5 06-07 13:17
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? No +76 $59 92¢ $70 +$11 07-03 14:58
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +66 $53 86¢ $57 +$4 07-08 10:50
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +50 $42 97¢ $49 +$7 06-07 02:04
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +50 $44 89¢ $44 +$0 07-20 16:31
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$0 07-07 14:56
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $43 24¢ $12 $-30 06-22 23:22
OpenAI acquired before 2027? No +12 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 07-03 09:36
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes +50 $30 14¢ $7 $-23 06-05 20:55