Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$631
Trades
69
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,432
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-15 11:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $7 | $1 | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $12 | $298 | $286 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $29 | $12 | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $6 | $30 | $25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | $14 | $12 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $298 | $294 |
| unranked | 10 | $21 | $30 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +285 | $260 | $335 | 10 | 08-14 05:58 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +120 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 08-06 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +87 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-06 21:39 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +86 | $9 | $20 | 11 | 08-15 11:03 |
| Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-15 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-06 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-02 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-14 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x972f…ab22 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 07:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 11:03:18 | Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xeee549… |
| 08-15 11:03:18 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xeee549… |
| 08-14 05:58:45 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xeb5ff1… |
| 08-14 05:58:45 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xeb5ff1… |
| 08-13 10:08:21 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xfe2e16… |
| 08-13 10:08:21 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfe2e16… |
| 08-07 15:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x364877… |
| 08-07 15:21:27 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x364877… |
| 08-07 08:16:42 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x347cc8… |
| 08-07 08:16:42 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x347cc8… |
| 08-06 21:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xea8c3f… |
| 08-06 21:39:08 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xea8c3f… |
| 08-06 21:39:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xea8c3f… |
| 08-06 21:39:05 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x447d1d… |
| 08-06 21:39:05 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x447d1d… |
| 08-06 21:39:05 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x447d1d… |
| 08-06 21:39:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 63 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x447d1d… |
| 08-06 21:39:05 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 148 | 92¢ | $137 | 0x447d1d… |
| 08-06 21:38:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x96dfa0… |
| 08-06 21:38:33 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x96dfa0… |
| 08-06 21:38:20 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9c4880… |
| 08-06 21:38:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9c4880… |
| 08-06 21:28:50 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xd5ceec… |
| 08-06 21:28:50 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd5ceec… |
| 08-06 21:28:41 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xc27bf8… |
| 08-06 21:28:41 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc27bf8… |
| 08-06 21:28:27 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 116 | 91¢ | $105 | 0x1681b4… |
| 08-06 21:28:27 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x1681b4… |
| 08-06 21:28:27 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1681b4… |
| 08-06 21:28:27 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1681b4… |
| 08-06 21:28:27 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1681b4… |
| 08-06 21:28:15 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xf63475… |
| 08-06 21:28:15 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xf63475… |
| 08-05 09:28:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5cda2e… |
| 08-05 09:28:53 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5cda2e… |
| 07-21 17:46:57 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | SELL | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x672fc0… |
| 07-21 17:46:57 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x672fc0… |
| 07-18 23:53:04 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4faa88… |
| 07-18 23:53:04 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x4faa88… |
| 07-15 10:16:29 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x6a5dbb… |
| 07-15 10:16:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6a5dbb… |
| 07-15 10:15:46 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 10¢ | $12 | 0xf53926… |
| 07-15 10:15:46 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | SELL | 118 | 90¢ | $106 | 0xf53926… |
| 07-14 07:45:55 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x687684… |
| 07-14 07:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x972f…ab22 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x687684… |
| 07-06 03:06:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x22ad33… |
| 07-06 03:06:38 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x22ad33… |
| 07-05 22:17:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1c9bd7… |
| 07-05 22:17:17 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1c9bd7… |
| 07-02 10:06:32 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x02f50b… |
| 07-02 10:06:32 | (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x02f50b… |
| 06-30 10:40:19 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x30380c… |
| 06-30 10:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x30380c… |
| 06-23 04:34:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5a9595… |
| 06-23 04:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5a9595… |
| 06-22 17:12:56 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1a8316… |
| 06-22 17:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1a8316… |
| 06-22 12:47:10 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x91e7aa… |
| 06-22 12:47:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x91e7aa… |
| 06-22 12:46:23 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x39fb1a… |
| 06-22 12:46:23 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x39fb1a… |
| 06-13 19:11:13 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2e205b… |
| 06-13 19:11:13 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x2e205b… |
| 06-11 08:31:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xaa13af… |
| 06-11 08:31:06 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xaa13af… |
| 06-02 08:17:16 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xf69eee… |
| 06-02 08:17:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xf69eee… |
| 05-31 20:53:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfaf94c… |
| 05-31 20:53:33 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0xfaf94c… |