Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$767
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$602
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 07-04 01:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
88%
Politics
11%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +200 $195 98¢ $195 +$0 07-03 23:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 07-03 23:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +40 $37 96¢ $39 +$1 06-24 08:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +40 $37 95¢ $38 +$1 06-26 04:57
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +40 $37 92¢ $37 $-0 07-04 01:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 06-29 07:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-20 06:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-28 12:23
US recession by end of 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 06-28 16:43
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 06-21 04:42
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-02 10:06
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-02 16:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-28 16:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 06-22 16:28
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-27 16:37
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 06-26 20:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-25 06:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-20 06:24