Realized P&L
+$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
94
Trades
27,693
lifetime
Volume
$35.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$79
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-28 04:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
68% 61% +$1,037
Politics
23% 46% +$481
Crypto
8% 0% -$31
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1085 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +32 $18 38¢ $12 -$6 10-28 10:40
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes +60 $21 16¢ $9 -$12 10-19 19:57
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -148 -$24 6¢ $-9 +$15 06-26 06:50
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -160 -$20 5¢ $-8 +$12 06-17 20:43
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +30 $18 24¢ $7 -$11 10-27 10:07
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -50 -$13 14¢ $-7 +$6 06-17 20:43
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes +35 $15 16¢ $6 -$9 10-26 18:17
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -3,662 -$36 0¢ $-5 +$30 09-09 07:31
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -50 -$12 8¢ $-4 +$8 06-17 20:44
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -60 -$37 5¢ $-3 +$33 05-23 14:22
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -221 -$21 1¢ $-3 +$18 06-17 20:45
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +110 $20 3¢ $3 -$17 06-17 20:45
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -90 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 06-17 20:44
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -35 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-22 09:04
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195 Yes +0 $9 5¢ $0 -$9 07-17 09:02
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-17 20:50