Ambitious-Society 0x3659ff…780451
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$91
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
2,929
lifetime
Volume
$4.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$392
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-11 12:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
82% — —
Politics
12% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
3% 0% $-9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes -173 $-43 82¢ $-141 $-98 05-29 21:10
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -154 $-22 14¢ $-21 +$1 06-10 22:02
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +21 $19 90¢ $19 $-0 06-11 08:01
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $18 89¢ $18 +$0 06-10 15:20
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +21 $17 79¢ $17 $-0 06-11 09:28
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +21 $17 78¢ $17 $-0 06-10 15:11
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +21 $16 78¢ $16 $-0 06-11 08:11
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +21 $15 71¢ $15 $-0 06-10 15:19
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $21 14¢ $14 $-8 06-10 19:28
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 64¢ $13 +$1 06-11 09:27
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes +90 $13 14¢ $13 +$0 06-08 08:36
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -41 $-2 20¢ $-8 $-7 06-11 08:14
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -44 $-13 18¢ $-8 +$5 06-11 04:47
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -75 $-5 10¢ $-7 $-2 06-11 09:25
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 06-02 08:17
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? Yes -61 $-6 9¢ $-5 +$1 05-29 15:23
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-5 60¢ $-5 $-1 06-11 08:06
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -56 $-5 8¢ $-5 +$0 06-11 08:33
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -56 $-5 8¢ $-5 +$0 06-11 08:33
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 8¢ $5 $-0 06-11 09:26
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $5 8¢ $4 $-0 06-11 09:26
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +21 $-5 22¢ $4 +$9 06-10 22:34
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -159 $-4 2¢ $-4 $-0 06-02 18:00
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-3 10¢ $-4 $-1 06-11 09:25
AWS service disrupted by June 30? Yes -31 $-4 12¢ $-4 +$0 06-02 17:59
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-2 18¢ $-3 $-1 06-10 18:52
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -46 $-16 8¢ $-3 +$12 06-10 19:31
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-4 10¢ $-3 +$0 06-11 08:31
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? Yes -24 $-2 14¢ $-3 $-1 06-02 18:01
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +12 $2 20¢ $3 +$0 06-04 10:04