Ambitious-Society 0x3659ff…780451
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
4,499
lifetime
Volume
$18.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$393
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-22 03:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91% — —
Crypto
5% 0% $-9
Politics
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $35 87¢ $34 $-1 06-24 07:58
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -220 $-40 16¢ $-34 +$6 06-17 20:45
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -181 $-25 17¢ $-31 $-5 06-17 20:43
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $27 60¢ $25 $-2 06-24 07:58
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -116 $-19 16¢ $-19 $-0 06-26 06:50
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes +105 $18 18¢ $18 +$0 07-20 13:48
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -23 $-20 74¢ $-17 +$4 06-18 12:45
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -196 $-13 8¢ $-16 $-2 07-21 09:31
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +61 $15 26¢ $15 +$0 07-22 03:54
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes +49 $14 28¢ $13 $-0 07-21 03:37
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +31 $13 40¢ $13 $-0 07-18 08:50
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -84 $0 15¢ $-12 $-12 07-22 09:24
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -144 $-13 8¢ $-12 +$1 07-15 12:15
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +32 $7 35¢ $11 +$4 07-03 18:56
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -104 $-21 10¢ $-10 +$11 06-17 20:44
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $10 21¢ $10 $-0 07-22 09:23
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +30 $10 31¢ $9 $-1 07-17 06:56
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +67 $14 14¢ $9 $-5 06-17 20:50
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -300 $-7 3¢ $-9 $-3 07-07 11:30
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $9 10¢ $9 +$0 07-21 17:46
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-5 44¢ $-8 $-4 06-21 07:45
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $8 24¢ $8 $-0 07-22 09:23
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -65 $-1 12¢ $-8 $-7 06-17 20:44
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -146 $-23 6¢ $-8 +$15 06-17 20:45
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -13 $-12 53¢ $-7 +$5 06-17 20:43
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $17 12¢ $6 $-11 07-18 08:52
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? Yes +21 $6 28¢ $6 $-0 07-16 12:23
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? Yes +42 $8 12¢ $5 $-4 07-13 15:02
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? Yes +50 $6 8¢ $4 $-2 07-16 12:21
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -159 $-4 3¢ $-4 $-0 06-02 18:00