Ambitious-Society 0x3659ff…780451
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
4,161
lifetime
Volume
$16.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$380
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-01 11:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93% — —
Crypto
3% 0% $-9
Politics
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -181 $-25 22¢ $-39 $-13 06-17 20:43
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +124 $34 27¢ $34 $-0 07-01 17:30
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $35 80¢ $32 $-4 06-24 07:58
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -220 $-40 14¢ $-30 +$10 06-17 20:45
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $27 64¢ $26 $-1 06-24 07:58
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -116 $-19 22¢ $-25 $-6 06-26 06:50
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -104 $-21 20¢ $-21 $-0 06-17 20:44
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +31 $13 41¢ $13 $-0 07-01 16:30
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +30 $12 40¢ $12 $-0 07-01 16:34
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes +51 $12 22¢ $11 $-1 07-01 16:29
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +67 $14 16¢ $11 $-3 06-17 20:50
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -146 $-23 7¢ $-10 +$12 06-17 20:45
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-5 48¢ $-9 $-4 06-21 07:45
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +32 $9 28¢ $9 $-0 07-01 16:29
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +64 $9 13¢ $8 $-1 07-01 16:32
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -85 $-6 10¢ $-8 $-2 06-12 09:40
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $15 16¢ $8 $-8 07-01 16:16
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -65 $-1 12¢ $-7 $-6 06-17 20:44
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? Yes +40 $7 16¢ $7 $-0 06-26 14:11
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $6 8¢ $7 +$0 06-30 10:40
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes +20 $7 32¢ $6 $-0 06-30 18:21
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +35 $6 17¢ $6 +$0 07-01 16:29
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 06-22 17:12
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +60 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 07-01 16:31
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? Yes +24 $5 22¢ $5 $-0 06-26 12:43
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? Yes -61 $-6 8¢ $-5 +$1 05-29 15:23
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -159 $-4 3¢ $-5 $-1 06-02 18:00
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes +33 $5 15¢ $5 $-0 07-01 16:28
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -56 $-5 8¢ $-5 +$0 06-11 08:33
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 8¢ $5 $-0 06-11 09:26