Realized P&L
+$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.97K
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
335
Trades
2,975
lifetime
Volume
$157.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$39.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 10-27 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
49% 91% +$1,287
Politics
45% 85% +$361
Tech
4% 88% -$37
Sports
1% 92% -$9
Crypto
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +11,634 $9,008 82¢ $9.6K +$590 10-26 09:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +11,164 $8,542 82¢ $9.1K +$556 10-26 09:16
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +5,552 $4,842 90¢ $5.0K +$127 10-23 00:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5,086 $2,532 80¢ $4.0K +$1,511 10-23 06:02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +2,200 $2,017 96¢ $2.1K +$97 10-23 12:08
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1,552 $1,465 99¢ $1.5K +$65 10-23 17:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,470 $1,403 96¢ $1.4K +$12 10-26 21:27
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1,315 $1,293 98¢ $1.3K -$9 10-23 08:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +934 $736 87¢ $813 +$76 10-05 18:59
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +5,602 $1,264 12¢ $644 -$619 10-26 13:22
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +445 $416 96¢ $429 +$12 10-20 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +476 $400 82¢ $388 -$12 10-18 11:13
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +406 $310 88¢ $358 +$47 10-24 04:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +380 $341 92¢ $352 +$10 10-21 14:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,770 $656 12¢ $319 -$337 10-26 13:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +325 $306 94¢ $304 -$2 10-23 13:19
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +300 $272 92¢ $278 +$6 10-02 08:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +290 $258 88¢ $254 -$5 10-22 05:59
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +360 $278 69¢ $250 -$28 10-15 14:10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +257 $188 82¢ $209 +$22 10-08 13:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +200 $188 96¢ $193 +$4 09-18 04:32
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $144 96¢ $145 +$0 10-08 13:10
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +200 $140 68¢ $136 -$4 10-17 19:13
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +165 $136 76¢ $126 -$9 10-16 03:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 Yes +340 $275 32¢ $109 -$166 09-28 13:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +101 $86 99¢ $99 +$13 10-24 04:29
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +100 $89 98¢ $98 +$9 10-13 00:23
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 09-04 03:08
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +100 $98 97¢ $97 -$1 10-08 17:35
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$2 09-17 03:34