Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
open
Total volume
$4,431
Trades
390
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$246
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2027-04-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-17 23:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.4¢
(top1%: 94% YES on $89
vs crowd: 87% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $235 | $63 | +$172 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $1.6K | $151 | +$1.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $456 | $149 | +$307 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $143 | $19 | +$123 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $84 | $5 | +$78 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $684 | $59 | +$626 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $355 | $16 | +$339 |
| Median | 6 | $102 | $7 | +$95 |
| Below median | 7 | $233 | $5 | +$228 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $137 | $37 | +$100 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $454 | $58 | +$396 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $166 | $35 | +$131 |
| unranked | 19 | $244 | $160 | +$84 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | Yes | +407 | $351 | $351 | 3 | 07-12 20:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +358 | $45 | $45 | 16 | 07-12 22:05 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | +225 | $192 | $292 | 14 | 07-14 11:19 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +167 | $46 | $46 | 3 | 06-10 14:11 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +156 | $8 | $43 | 20 | 07-13 09:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +140 | $122 | $122 | 11 | 07-13 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +97 | $83 | $379 | 22 | 07-13 09:47 |
| x26 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | +93 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 07-10 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +81 | $7 | $20 | 4 | 07-10 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +80 | $4 | $6 | 21 | 07-12 20:04 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +59 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-12 22:05 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | +56 | $50 | $69 | 6 | 07-10 11:37 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +55 | $51 | $267 | 7 | 07-09 11:41 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +55 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-09 11:41 |
| Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | No | +54 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-10 10:35 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +37 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-09 23:30 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-09 10:33 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +30 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-09 10:33 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | Yes | +30 | $21 | $193 | 7 | 07-17 23:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +29 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-01 19:08 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +27 | $2 | $15 | 7 | 07-10 09:30 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +25 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 07-14 11:19 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-09 11:39 |
| Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | Yes | +18 | $15 | $86 | 3 | 07-09 10:43 |
| Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-21 20:32 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +16 | $0 | $3 | 4 | 07-15 19:47 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-11 21:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +14 | $5 | $6 | 3 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +13 | $3 | $13 | 12 | 07-11 12:58 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-09 11:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-12 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $37 | 2 | 06-12 10:24 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 17:28 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fac…9be3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 20:04 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $34 | 3 | 07-09 14:09 |
| Rowdy-Yang 0xcd96…11a3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 10:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x365f…4a3b | No | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-11 10:15 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 16:45 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x455e…45a1 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-12 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | No | +1 | $-3 | $272 | 40 | 07-10 04:15 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $-0 | $3 | 3 | 06-09 17:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 23:07:22 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfd6f83… |
| 07-17 23:07:22 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xfd6f83… |
| 07-15 19:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x8f9b…789e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x157bb9… |
| 07-15 19:47:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x157bb9… |
| 07-14 11:19:47 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa4cd67… |
| 07-14 11:19:47 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa4cd67… |
| 07-14 11:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x308d1e… |
| 07-14 11:19:43 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x308d1e… |
| 07-14 11:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb77458… |
| 07-14 11:19:08 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb77458… |
| 07-14 11:19:08 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0xb77458… |
| 07-13 22:16:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xe143c8… |
| 07-13 22:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xe143c8… |
| 07-13 18:34:32 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x6be581… |
| 07-13 18:34:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x6be581… |
| 07-13 09:47:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x57a58e… |
| 07-13 09:47:04 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x57a58e… |
| 07-13 09:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x482930… |
| 07-13 09:47:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x482930… |
| 07-12 22:05:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39a5ed… |
| 07-12 22:05:17 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39a5ed… |
| 07-12 22:05:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39a5ed… |
| 07-12 20:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x97b6e0… |
| 07-12 20:04:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97b6e0… |
| 07-12 20:04:44 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x97b6e0… |
| 07-12 20:04:38 | (anonymous) 0x8fac…9be3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf24594… |
| 07-12 20:04:38 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf24594… |
| 07-12 20:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2b751c… |
| 07-12 20:04:37 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2b751c… |
| 07-12 20:04:37 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 95¢ | $175 | 0x2b751c… |
| 07-12 20:04:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 81 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x2b751c… |
| 07-12 20:04:37 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 52 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x2b751c… |
| 07-12 11:24:41 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x7662e4… |
| 07-12 11:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7662e4… |
| 07-12 01:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x455e…45a1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x51028e… |
| 07-12 01:45:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x51028e… |
| 07-12 01:44:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x038a5f… |
| 07-12 01:44:02 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x038a5f… |
| 07-12 01:43:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xdca540… |
| 07-12 01:43:55 | (anonymous) 0x455e…45a1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xdca540… |
| 07-12 01:43:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x87f328… |
| 07-12 01:43:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x87f328… |
| 07-12 01:43:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x87f328… |
| 07-12 01:43:50 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $38 | 0x87f328… |
| 07-11 14:23:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb9862b… |
| 07-11 14:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x455e…45a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb9862b… |
| 07-11 14:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0x6f497c… |
| 07-11 14:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6f497c… |
| 07-11 14:23:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x6f497c… |
| 07-11 14:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x7a98eb… |
| 07-11 14:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7a98eb… |
| 07-11 14:23:25 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0xe4f06b… |
| 07-11 14:23:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe4f06b… |
| 07-11 14:23:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 41 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xe4f06b… |
| 07-11 12:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x160940… |
| 07-11 12:58:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x160940… |
| 07-11 11:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xd7cc5b… |
| 07-11 11:05:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xd7cc5b… |
| 07-10 11:37:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x42c751… |
| 07-10 11:37:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x42c751… |
| 07-10 11:32:11 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x0b1d3e… |
| 07-10 11:32:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0b1d3e… |
| 07-10 10:55:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x3a5baf… |
| 07-10 10:55:25 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x3a5baf… |
| 07-10 10:55:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x3a5baf… |
| 07-10 10:55:11 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x00c857… |
| 07-10 10:55:11 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x00c857… |
| 07-10 10:55:10 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xd90880… |
| 07-10 10:55:10 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xd90880… |
| 07-10 10:54:59 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x548fa4… |
| 07-10 10:54:59 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x548fa4… |
| 07-10 10:35:31 | Rowdy-Yang 0xcd96…11a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5147ca… |
| 07-10 10:35:31 | Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | No | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5147ca… |
| 07-10 10:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2fc657… |
| 07-10 10:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 90¢ | $56 | 0x2fc657… |
| 07-10 10:35:26 | Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | No | BUY | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x2fc657… |
| 07-10 10:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x736042… |
| 07-10 10:35:23 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x736042… |
| 07-10 09:36:01 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x95e579… |
| 07-10 09:36:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x95e579… |
| 07-10 09:33:37 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xd8d261… |
| 07-10 09:33:37 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xd8d261… |
| 07-10 09:32:26 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0c67a1… |
| 07-10 09:32:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0c67a1… |
| 07-10 09:30:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x55d79a… |
| 07-10 09:30:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x55d79a… |
| 07-10 09:30:29 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x55d79a… |
| 07-10 09:30:29 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x55d79a… |
| 07-10 09:24:22 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x25fcdc… |
| 07-10 09:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 87 | 87¢ | $76 | 0x25fcdc… |
| 07-10 09:24:22 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0x25fcdc… |
| 07-10 09:24:19 | x26 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 90¢ | $84 | 0xcc42b6… |
| 07-10 09:24:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xcc42b6… |
| 07-10 09:24:19 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcc42b6… |
| 07-10 09:24:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xcc42b6… |
| 07-10 06:48:52 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x4125b3… |
| 07-10 06:48:52 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x4125b3… |
| 07-10 04:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3d7c17… |
| 07-10 04:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3d7c17… |
| 07-10 04:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x012e75… |