Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
open
Total volume
$235
Trades
45
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$246
Latest YES mid
59¢
Latest NO mid
41¢
End date
2027-04-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-09 19:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $68 | $4 | +$63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $46 | — | +$46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 2 | $45 | $1 | +$44 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $51 | $0 | +$50 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $18 | $4 | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 3 | $7 | $3 | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-09 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-09 14:24 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +20 | $2 | $6 | 4 | 06-09 13:26 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +13 | $10 | $80 | 5 | 06-09 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 16:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 06:00 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-09 14:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-09 14:24 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 16:45 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $-0 | $3 | 3 | 06-09 17:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 19:18:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x32ade9… |
| 06-09 19:18:43 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x32ade9… |
| 06-09 19:18:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x8f3577… |
| 06-09 19:18:37 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x8f3577… |
| 06-09 17:28:12 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa89fa6… |
| 06-09 17:28:12 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa89fa6… |
| 06-09 16:45:34 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xd323cd… |
| 06-09 16:45:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd323cd… |
| 06-09 16:45:34 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd323cd… |
| 06-09 14:24:28 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x930310… |
| 06-09 14:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x822fe8… |
| 06-09 14:24:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x930310… |
| 06-09 14:24:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x822fe8… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xcf7269… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x51968a… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x51968a… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x840cf2… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x51968a… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xcf7269… |
| 06-09 14:23:39 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x840cf2… |
| 06-09 14:18:10 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x93f8a6… |
| 06-09 14:18:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x93f8a6… |
| 06-09 14:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x2cf059… |
| 06-09 14:18:10 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2cf059… |
| 06-09 14:11:49 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x6ad2be… |
| 06-09 14:11:49 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x6ad2be… |
| 06-09 13:26:40 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x481d8f… |
| 06-09 13:26:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x481d8f… |
| 06-09 13:21:55 | Timely-Toothbrush 0x97f7…78e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd9021d… |
| 06-09 13:21:55 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd9021d… |
| 06-07 00:14:43 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x7a2560… |
| 06-07 00:14:43 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x7a2560… |
| 06-04 14:03:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7d22bb… |
| 06-04 14:03:16 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7d22bb… |
| 06-04 04:58:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x77d292… |
| 06-04 04:58:58 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x77d292… |
| 06-03 15:45:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x94d1dc… |
| 06-03 15:45:30 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x94d1dc… |
| 06-03 11:13:55 | Timely-Toothbrush 0x97f7…78e1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5b648d… |
| 06-03 11:13:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5b648d… |
| 06-02 06:00:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x902886… |
| 06-02 06:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x902886… |
| 06-02 06:00:49 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x902886… |
| 06-01 12:02:14 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x7f4281… |
| 06-01 12:02:14 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7f4281… |