Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,790
$5 in 24h
Trades
314
Unique wallets
80
Liquidity
$3,055
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-01 23:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-27.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $145
vs crowd: 28% YES on $2.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $48 | $352 | $303 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $360 | $456 | $97 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $297 | $1.0K | $728 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $101 | $282 | $181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $145 | $145 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $55 | $204 | $150 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $0 | $78 | $78 |
| Median | 7 | $39 | $40 | $1 |
| Below median | 10 | $108 | $270 | $162 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $64 | $188 | $123 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $182 | $284 | $102 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $36 | $24 | +$13 |
| unranked | 28 | $322 | $883 | $561 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | +517 | $329 | $624 | 17 | 06-26 21:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +277 | $97 | $97 | 18 | 06-29 00:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +198 | $134 | $134 | 14 | 06-28 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d66…7851 | No | +153 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 06-18 21:36 |
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | +151 | $13 | $440 | 13 | 06-24 02:39 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +150 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-25 23:35 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +145 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 07-01 23:11 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +130 | $74 | $80 | 20 | 07-01 21:19 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +127 | $79 | $172 | 13 | 06-23 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +110 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-21 18:36 |
| Difficult-Pendulum 0x7bdb…8d1d | No | +68 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-30 00:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-24 11:18 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-09 05:35 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-18 21:36 |
| Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 15:08 |
| Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +23 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-23 09:46 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 21:20 |
| Glorious-Position 0x48bb…bd40 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-28 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc660…d0c8 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 23:35 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-22 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe67f…9b30 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 10:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8942…4ff3 | Yes | +13 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-22 15:05 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 01:04 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 01:04 |
| Innocent-Facility 0xf20b…ae3c | No | +10 | $3 | $19 | 3 | 06-26 16:28 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 00:03 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-23 05:28 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 21:29 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-22 11:26 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 23:11 |
| Shady-Pinstripe 0x9efa…9332 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 06:39 |
| Expensive-Owl 0xf915…0c01 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $2 | $15 | 5 | 06-19 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ac9…a4f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 00:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 23:11:37 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd1471… |
| 07-01 23:11:37 | Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | SELL | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xdd1471… |
| 07-01 23:11:37 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd1471… |
| 07-01 23:11:07 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ce007… |
| 07-01 23:11:07 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ce007… |
| 07-01 23:11:07 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ce007… |
| 07-01 23:11:07 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 145 | 100¢ | $145 | 0x2ce007… |
| 07-01 21:19:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 86 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x348815… |
| 07-01 21:19:02 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x348815… |
| 07-01 21:19:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 84 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x348815… |
| 07-01 21:19:02 | Striped-Pinot 0xf382…be0e | No | SELL | 201 | 98¢ | $197 | 0x348815… |
| 06-30 00:03:32 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3d2c9c… |
| 06-30 00:03:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3d2c9c… |
| 06-30 00:03:32 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2c9c… |
| 06-30 00:03:32 | Difficult-Pendulum 0x7bdb…8d1d | No | BUY | 68 | 98¢ | $67 | 0x3d2c9c… |
| 06-29 00:00:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9d6ded… |
| 06-29 00:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x7ac9…a4f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9d6ded… |
| 06-28 21:20:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x499257… |
| 06-28 21:20:40 | Glorious-Position 0x48bb…bd40 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x499257… |
| 06-28 13:14:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x644a9d… |
| 06-28 13:14:34 | French-Cosset 0x13a6…c34d | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x644a9d… |
| 06-28 01:04:43 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x57277e… |
| 06-28 01:04:43 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57277e… |
| 06-28 00:21:10 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x18603b… |
| 06-28 00:21:10 | Critical-Percentage 0xfe5b…babf | No | SELL | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x18603b… |
| 06-28 00:21:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x18603b… |
| 06-27 17:13:17 | French-Cosset 0x13a6…c34d | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe9bdd7… |
| 06-27 17:13:17 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe9bdd7… |
| 06-27 14:34:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 41 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3d1ba9… |
| 06-27 14:34:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3d1ba9… |
| 06-27 14:34:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3d1ba9… |
| 06-27 11:37:14 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbcc483… |
| 06-27 11:37:14 | Aged-Scenery 0x2814…5596 | No | SELL | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xbcc483… |
| 06-27 11:34:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0d4914… |
| 06-27 11:34:58 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0d4914… |
| 06-27 09:00:31 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x000c19… |
| 06-27 09:00:31 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x000c19… |
| 06-27 07:17:13 | (anonymous) 0xdae5…6fc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x19ad22… |
| 06-27 07:17:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x19ad22… |
| 06-27 06:49:14 | French-Cosset 0x13a6…c34d | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xc9150d… |
| 06-27 06:49:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc9150d… |
| 06-27 06:49:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb87061… |
| 06-27 06:49:13 | Kosher-Icebreaker 0x1547…d066 | No | BUY | 134 | 87¢ | $116 | 0xb87061… |
| 06-27 06:49:13 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 23 | 82¢ | $19 | 0xb87061… |
| 06-27 06:49:13 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xb87061… |
| 06-26 22:52:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x36f4cb… |
| 06-26 22:52:22 | Broken-Doing 0x3b30…100f | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x36f4cb… |
| 06-26 22:50:08 | Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0xecf882… |
| 06-26 22:50:08 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xecf882… |
| 06-26 22:50:08 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xecf882… |
| 06-26 21:37:37 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x969044… |
| 06-26 21:37:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x969044… |
| 06-26 16:29:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9ad864… |
| 06-26 16:29:11 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x9ad864… |
| 06-26 16:29:11 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x9ad864… |
| 06-26 16:29:02 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xb776a1… |
| 06-26 16:29:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xb776a1… |
| 06-26 16:28:26 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xfdaa61… |
| 06-26 16:28:26 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 35 | 81¢ | $28 | 0xfdaa61… |
| 06-26 16:28:26 | Innocent-Facility 0xf20b…ae3c | No | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xfdaa61… |
| 06-26 16:28:26 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xfdaa61… |
| 06-25 23:35:55 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 190 | 76¢ | $145 | 0x488dd3… |
| 06-25 23:35:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x488dd3… |
| 06-25 23:35:55 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 150 | 24¢ | $36 | 0x488dd3… |
| 06-25 23:35:55 | (anonymous) 0xc660…d0c8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x488dd3… |
| 06-24 11:18:50 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 51 | 76¢ | $39 | 0xcba5dc… |
| 06-24 11:18:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xcba5dc… |
| 06-24 11:17:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x6af5ee… |
| 06-24 11:17:17 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 81 | 69¢ | $56 | 0x6af5ee… |
| 06-24 11:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 41 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x6af5ee… |
| 06-24 11:17:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x6af5ee… |
| 06-24 06:23:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x20a926… |
| 06-24 06:23:22 | Expensive-Owl 0xf915…0c01 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x20a926… |
| 06-24 02:39:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x2d999b… |
| 06-24 02:39:23 | Kosher-Icebreaker 0x1547…d066 | No | BUY | 51 | 65¢ | $33 | 0x2d999b… |
| 06-24 02:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | SELL | 11 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x2d999b… |
| 06-24 02:39:23 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x2d999b… |
| 06-23 19:25:59 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x9914c2… |
| 06-23 19:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | BUY | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x9914c2… |
| 06-23 19:25:59 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x9914c2… |
| 06-23 19:25:59 | Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x9914c2… |
| 06-23 11:42:55 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb865c8… |
| 06-23 11:42:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb865c8… |
| 06-23 10:27:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x51aa1a… |
| 06-23 10:27:07 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x51aa1a… |
| 06-23 10:27:04 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x718591… |
| 06-23 10:27:04 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x718591… |
| 06-23 09:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xfa0922… |
| 06-23 09:46:08 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xfa0922… |
| 06-23 09:46:08 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xfa0922… |
| 06-23 09:46:05 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x601e95… |
| 06-23 09:46:05 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x601e95… |
| 06-23 09:46:05 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 37¢ | $29 | 0x601e95… |
| 06-23 09:46:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x601e95… |
| 06-23 09:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x601e95… |
| 06-23 05:28:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xff4d5d… |
| 06-23 05:28:28 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xff4d5d… |
| 06-23 05:28:28 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0xff4d5d… |
| 06-23 05:28:28 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xff4d5d… |
| 06-23 05:28:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 40¢ | $32 | 0xff4d5d… |