Critical-Percentage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,237

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-10

Politics

23% 100% +$8

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by march 31	41	$1.4K	820	820	+0	open	—	03-31 22:14
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	10	$1.1K	677	677	+0	open	—	07-02 16:07
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	7	$795	457	457	+0	open	—	07-31 20:57
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$715	373	373	+0	open	—	06-29 23:39
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$657	345	345	+0	open	—	05-13 09:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$586	320	320	+0	open	—	05-13 09:32
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	5	$569	299	299	+0	open	—	07-15 18:32
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	4	$495	176	349	-172	open	—	06-22 05:04
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	4	$467	268	268	+0	open	—	06-01 18:50
Nothing Ever Happens: May	7	$444	252	252	+0	open	—	06-01 17:06
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	15	$440	323	323	+0	open	—	01-27 04:09
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by february 28	14	$393	315	110	+205	open	—	02-25 19:42
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	6	$369	505	0	+505	open	—	06-30 08:23
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record in 2025 543	1	$342	0	342	-342	open	—	01-01 04:51
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	6	$339	199	199	+0	open	—	05-05 19:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	5	$333	185	185	+0	open	—	07-16 03:14
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by february 14	9	$328	170	170	+0	open	—	02-14 07:58
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	12	$326	223	223	+0	open	—	02-25 19:40
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	5	$322	221	221	+0	open	—	08-01 09:02
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	5	$289	151	175	-24	open	—	01-27 15:58
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	3	$278	157	157	+0	open	—	07-29 18:14
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	8	$276	150	150	+0	open	—	02-01 10:11
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	4	$251	327	0	+327	open	—	04-07 22:29
israel closes its airspace by august 15	2	$233	138	138	+0	open	—	08-10 21:16
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$216	116	116	+0	open	—	05-20 10:02
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	07-26 09:53
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$209	112	112	+0	open	—	07-30 17:57
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	2	$207	111	111	+0	open	—	07-09 14:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	2	$206	108	108	+0	open	—	08-07 19:04
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	4	$205	113	112	+1	open	—	05-01 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:23:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x7024fc…
08-10 21:16:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xbde837…
08-10 21:16:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	138	97¢	$133	0x972ac5…
08-07 19:04:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2312ba…
08-07 19:04:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x4de8f1…
08-05 19:16:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa2fe19…
08-05 19:14:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x510578…
08-01 09:02:21	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x58037d…
07-31 21:04:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x09f4fa…
07-31 21:04:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x3632eb…
07-31 21:00:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xf3093b…
07-31 21:00:50	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x4fe277…
07-31 20:58:44	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe72f2f…
07-31 20:58:11	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x8daa60…
07-31 20:57:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0xdb86df…
07-30 17:58:18	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xe58036…
07-30 17:58:00	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x60a5a2…
07-30 17:57:42	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	112	97¢	$109	0x9d59e4…
07-29 18:17:39	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	65	84¢	$55	0xb97981…
07-29 18:15:24	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x9203f0…
07-29 18:14:48	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0xadd4c4…
07-26 09:55:25	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x1e3683…
07-26 09:54:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf4f168…
07-26 09:53:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	118	98¢	$116	0xac53dc…
07-21 11:07:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xa42b2c…
07-21 11:06:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x06c7c3…
07-21 10:25:09	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5bf3e5…
07-21 10:22:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x4a908b…
07-21 10:22:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x0fcd94…
07-18 14:39:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0xe9e32a…
07-18 14:36:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x7f1658…
07-18 14:35:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x0f2676…
07-17 02:36:58	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0x2cf2c5…
07-17 02:36:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0xae64d0…
07-16 03:17:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0xc983de…
07-16 03:14:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x4e9658…
07-16 03:14:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	125	97¢	$120	0x6929c8…
07-15 18:35:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xa99ef7…
07-15 18:35:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4e2d2a…
07-15 18:33:11	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x95ba51…
07-15 18:32:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x9b899e…
07-12 18:38:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x39a4a1…
07-12 18:37:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0x9650ad…
07-12 18:37:19	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0xb2a964…
07-12 18:37:05	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0x74b960…
07-12 18:34:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	147	93¢	$137	0x97108b…
07-12 18:32:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x014051…
07-12 18:32:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x2b8c5b…
07-12 18:32:07	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x749a02…
07-12 18:32:01	will russia capture toretske by july 31 2026	No	SELL	54	88¢	$48	0xa91a72…
07-11 09:49:23	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	94	77¢	$72	0x992127…
07-11 09:48:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	74	98¢	$72	0xc92ef5…
07-11 07:59:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0x986898…
07-09 19:15:56	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	144	79¢	$113	0xa8b006…
07-09 19:15:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0x12828d…
07-09 19:15:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xf56fea…
07-09 14:28:38	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	111	94¢	$104	0x94afb7…
07-08 14:48:38	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x174c2e…
07-06 23:45:59	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	175	72¢	$126	0xa313d7…
07-06 22:24:19	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0x2201c5…
07-06 22:14:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x477b8b…
07-04 08:21:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xe2a9b4…
07-03 14:18:26	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x3e5491…
07-03 14:17:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x9ae577…
07-03 14:17:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb73104…
07-03 14:17:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xb818be…
07-03 14:16:50	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xf8163a…
07-03 14:16:07	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x015653…
07-02 19:28:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x2a003a…
07-02 19:25:25	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf7e5b2…
07-02 19:24:43	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x078996…
07-02 19:23:38	will russia capture toretske by july 31 2026	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x29306b…
07-02 17:45:50	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x559036…
07-02 17:45:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe8fc9b…
07-02 17:42:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xa75a8d…
07-02 16:08:26	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x727a1f…
07-02 16:08:02	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x0ea9f1…
07-02 16:07:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	74	94¢	$69	0xb0ef86…
07-02 16:07:17	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	677	99¢	$669	0x452823…
07-01 10:08:17	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6f62f9…
07-01 08:26:07	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0xa65d69…
07-01 07:59:26	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x158ec0…
07-01 03:58:38	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	No	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xa7d0f9…
06-30 08:23:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	227	69¢	$157	0xb87768…
06-29 23:42:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x403b49…
06-29 23:41:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfa91e1…
06-29 23:39:40	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x270f6d…
06-29 23:39:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	373	99¢	$370	0x7cc401…
06-29 11:32:11	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x2c5aed…
06-29 11:31:50	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0xe95012…
06-28 09:46:02	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	81	35¢	$28	0x54c45d…
06-28 09:45:40	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x7d48ff…
06-28 09:15:16	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	69	35¢	$24	0x80b5dd…
06-28 09:14:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x18236c…
06-28 00:21:31	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x6efd44…
06-28 00:21:10	Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x18603b…
06-28 00:19:47	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x0cabbc…
06-28 00:19:35	Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x02fe52…
06-27 11:15:40	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	78	72¢	$56	0x89d485…
06-27 11:15:16	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	SELL	36	62¢	$23	0xbdd2aa…