Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
265
lifetime
Volume
$21.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$329
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-04 17:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
32%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -261 $-141 44¢ $-114 +$27 05-29 21:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -312 $-44 29¢ $-89 $-45 06-29 16:17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +80 $38 62¢ $49 +$11 06-03 04:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +40 $25 74¢ $29 +$5 05-30 09:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -680 $-38 $-26 +$11 06-29 22:20
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes -798 $-40 $-17 +$23 06-29 19:09
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 $-0 05-29 18:57