Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
264
lifetime
Volume
$21.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$374
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-30 20:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67%
Other
31%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -261 $-141 74¢ $-192 $-51 05-29 21:18
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +80 $38 58¢ $46 +$8 06-03 04:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -312 $-44 14¢ $-42 +$2 06-29 16:17
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes -798 $-40 $-38 +$2 06-29 19:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +40 $25 68¢ $27 +$2 05-30 09:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -680 $-38 $-25 +$13 06-29 22:20
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 74¢ $-4 $-0 05-29 18:57