Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,839
lifetime
Volume
$8.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$125
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-19 07:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
32%
Crypto
10%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -13 $-10 82¢ $-11 $-1 07-17 15:25
Discord IPO before 2027? No -15 $-6 68¢ $-10 $-3 06-26 14:33
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -5 $-4 93¢ $-5 $-0 07-06 05:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +5 $3 91¢ $5 +$1 06-17 02:11
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 05-31 15:31
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 06-15 06:17
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -5 $-3 88¢ $-4 $-1 06-17 02:30
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-1 06-01 08:31
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -5 $-5 82¢ $-4 +$1 07-07 23:08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +5 $3 81¢ $4 +$1 07-02 08:32
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $2 79¢ $4 +$2 07-02 19:21
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 +$0 06-05 14:50
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 $-0 06-14 01:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 07-02 09:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-25 10:18
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$0 06-13 20:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 06-23 13:25
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 +$0 07-10 08:04
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -5 $-3 75¢ $-4 $-1 06-30 13:43
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 07-14 00:46
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 $-4 72¢ $-4 +$0 07-15 08:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 06-24 21:58
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 67¢ $3 $-0 06-09 05:11
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 06-30 19:20
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-0 06-17 19:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-04 21:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 $-0 06-08 08:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$1 07-13 14:16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-2 52¢ $-3 $-1 07-14 14:48
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 06-24 08:54