Realized P&L
-$105
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved
484
Trades
4,279
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$25
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 11-04 02:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
53% 84% -$57
Politics
35% 82% -$39
Crypto
7% 81% -$2
Tech
5% 84% -$4
Sports
1% 67% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +4 $3 93¢ $4 +$1 06-30 19:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$2 07-02 21:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 07-01 14:59
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 06-23 12:38
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +5 $3 21¢ $1 -$2 06-08 14:01
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-04 07:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$1 07-03 09:14
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 09-03 02:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 07-02 23:48
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$1 06-29 19:31
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$1 06-26 18:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 88¢ $1 +$1 07-04 13:52
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +5 $4 16¢ $1 -$3 06-26 21:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 76¢ $1 +$0 06-29 07:33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $0 87¢ $1 +$1 07-01 22:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$0 06-16 19:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$1 10-25 02:53
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +6 $5 10¢ $1 -$4 06-29 05:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 86¢ $1 +$1 06-23 10:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5 $3 10¢ $0 -$2 06-11 17:29
Discord IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$1 06-26 14:33
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-17 00:00
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +1 $0 30¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:01
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 06-16 20:16
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $0 33¢ $0 +$0 07-02 08:13
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 95¢ $0 +$1 06-30 07:41
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 06-10 02:17