Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d555…1eff8b
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,600
lifetime
Volume
$8.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$168
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-30 18:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53% — —
Politics
33% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +15 $8 100¢ $15 +$7 06-19 20:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +10 $7 99¢ $10 +$3 06-10 15:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 06-26 09:44
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 06-29 13:12
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +10 $6 69¢ $7 +$1 06-29 10:17
Discord IPO before 2027? No -15 $-6 44¢ $-6 +$0 06-26 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 75¢ $-6 $-0 06-27 08:48
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-01 16:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10 $5 61¢ $6 +$1 06-30 16:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 54¢ $5 $-0 06-28 04:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 +$0 06-24 14:04
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 +$0 06-11 03:47
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 +$0 06-05 11:05
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-15 00:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 06:07
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 14:43
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 18:46
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-06 05:42
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 06-01 12:33
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +5 $3 90¢ $5 +$1 06-17 02:11
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +7 $4 64¢ $4 +$0 06-27 21:56
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 89¢ $-4 +$0 05-31 15:31
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-02 17:25
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 06-15 06:17
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -5 $-3 84¢ $-4 $-1 06-17 02:30
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-23 21:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-20 14:40
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 08:31
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 06-27 12:51
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-30 07:43