Striped-Pinot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$949

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.9%

Resolved

Trades

890

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-17 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-0

Tech

21% — —

Politics

14% 20% $-1

Sports

13% 100% +$950

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	89	$1.1K	981	898	+82	open	—	06-24 11:25
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	10	$949	700	700	+0	open	—	06-30 22:59
will kanye release bully by march 27	22	$734	2,157	2,257	-100	open	—	03-28 06:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	6	$702	383	383	+0	open	—	06-26 21:35
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	28	$577	821	821	+0	open	—	07-01 06:32
spx up or down on march 27 2026	6	$453	300	500	-200	open	—	03-27 06:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	21	$453	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	06-24 11:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	16	$444	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	07-06 22:38
Thunder vs. Spurs	8	$440	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-23 03:12
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	29	$386	2,000	1,800	+200	open	—	06-06 03:16
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	13	$372	251	251	+0	open	—	07-01 21:19
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	12	$368	191	215	-24	open	—	03-26 09:29
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	74	$361	2,340	1,366	+974	open	—	06-24 05:30
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	12	$334	3,300	1,950	+1,350	open	—	05-22 02:27
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	5	$330	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-11 01:35
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	8	$328	280	280	+0	open	—	06-23 20:41
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	22	$298	496	70	+426	open	—	07-03 12:06
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	26	$285	411	411	-0	open	—	06-24 11:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	2	$282	200	200	+0	open	—	07-02 13:39
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	6	$270	300	300	+0	open	—	06-21 22:29
spx up or down on march 30 2026	8	$267	316	316	+0	open	—	03-30 04:40
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	12	$264	478	122	+356	open	—	07-04 06:17
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	14	$259	303	303	+0	open	—	03-27 07:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$240	300	300	+0	open	—	03-30 04:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	14	$234	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-24 09:59
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	4	$230	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 21:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	4	$229	517	517	+0	open	—	06-30 13:45
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	2	$220	500	500	+0	open	—	06-23 07:57
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	9	$218	500	200	+300	open	—	06-30 22:52
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	7	$210	192	192	+0	open	—	06-09 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 15:11:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x938fa8…
07-17 14:50:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x9a7cfc…
07-17 11:43:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x546c50…
07-17 11:27:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xbb7e83…
07-17 05:57:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xefa64a…
07-17 05:29:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x96751c…
07-17 05:13:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd52d69…
07-17 05:13:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x1eb221…
07-17 04:01:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xd0e66c…
07-16 15:11:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xf95687…
07-16 14:29:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x291910…
07-16 14:04:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x296c3d…
07-16 12:13:04	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7bb1d5…
07-16 12:10:49	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x40cf30…
07-16 11:34:19	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0cfcd0…
07-16 11:33:26	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x22d5c8…
07-16 11:23:14	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xcb7300…
07-16 11:20:58	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0e4b7b…
07-16 09:43:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x87fe43…
07-16 09:37:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x2ec88a…
07-16 06:59:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xc1bad2…
07-16 06:52:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xbf86f4…
07-15 03:20:22	will standx launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	52	38¢	$19	0x8bd036…
07-15 03:19:34	will standx launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	72	38¢	$27	0x9ec831…
07-12 02:37:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x413730…
07-10 03:25:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x9a21bf…
07-10 03:25:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x9acc84…
07-10 03:13:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x053c0f…
07-10 03:04:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xce5fe8…
07-10 03:04:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xc994c6…
07-08 18:02:32	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	1,150	0¢	$2	0xe094d9…
07-08 18:00:11	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x828a10…
07-08 17:58:16	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xdb6a74…
07-08 17:46:44	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x836060…
07-08 17:46:35	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xfabb5e…
07-08 17:46:11	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x708e27…
07-08 17:45:49	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9290f…
07-08 17:38:59	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x0ebc27…
07-08 17:38:58	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x067022…
07-08 17:38:50	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x6b2458…
07-08 17:38:41	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x186682…
07-08 17:00:38	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xca41c8…
07-08 17:00:37	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9ac48a…
07-08 17:00:35	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xca4f03…
07-08 17:00:14	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4e069a…
07-08 16:19:43	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb0f200…
07-08 14:46:44	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1c95a4…
07-08 14:25:20	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x5df7d7…
07-08 14:25:01	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x0c58ea…
07-06 22:38:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	400	16¢	$64	0x9dea33…
07-06 22:37:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x07d39b…
07-06 22:34:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x4c52e1…
07-06 22:33:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xc0c57e…
07-06 22:25:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x5c9814…
07-06 22:21:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x3ef7c9…
07-06 22:19:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xf1f26a…
07-06 22:18:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x845cac…
07-06 21:24:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x1cdf20…
07-06 21:22:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xf3cbda…
07-06 21:14:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x838c76…
07-06 21:09:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x871896…
07-06 21:09:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x49023d…
07-06 21:07:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3ea9da…
07-06 21:07:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdbc69e…
07-06 20:17:26	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xd73ee7…
07-06 20:08:07	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x17e337…
07-06 19:53:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfcabf2…
07-06 19:47:35	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x6f0c7e…
07-06 19:29:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd2fbd6…
07-06 19:22:49	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x6b77b8…
07-04 06:17:38	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$1	0x06f7ba…
07-03 12:06:22	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x77f2ac…
07-03 11:46:16	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xcecb9d…
07-03 11:37:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x7387e9…
07-03 11:35:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x62de76…
07-03 09:31:17	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xa90a97…
07-03 07:30:20	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x243874…
07-03 05:30:13	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x7e7dc7…
07-03 04:47:22	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8f9bea…
07-03 04:26:49	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xac3dbd…
07-03 04:18:14	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6a237a…
07-03 04:18:01	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xc43414…
07-03 04:10:14	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe0b99e…
07-03 04:10:13	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x0b815d…
07-03 03:45:14	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x909633…
07-03 03:45:14	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x07277a…
07-03 01:01:10	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xba2b6e…
07-03 00:05:11	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0xe583ff…
07-03 00:00:44	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba064a…
07-02 22:16:23	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0xd66b69…
07-02 18:53:20	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x23e62d…
07-02 17:30:19	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x450755…
07-02 16:56:29	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x85a333…
07-02 16:13:10	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa93e92…
07-02 16:00:16	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xd9704f…
07-02 14:27:43	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xecf61f…
07-02 13:39:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x297f85…
07-02 13:35:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x725b63…
07-02 12:51:22	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xd082c0…
07-02 12:49:13	Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x421d6f…