Expensive-Owl 0xf91572…cf0c01
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$210
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
3,077
Trades
4,085
lifetime
Volume
$8.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$39
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 10-28 18:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 233 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 83% -$7
Other
44% 67% -$173
Politics
7% 72% -$22
Sports
1% 73% -$6
Tech
1% 61% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 10-27 23:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +9 $5 34¢ $3 -$2 08-03 05:58
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-27 20:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4 $3 56¢ $2 -$1 06-05 09:13
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +3 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 08-26 10:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-19 13:46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 09-16 19:39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-14 11:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-10 21:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-28 21:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-21 07:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 09-07 09:39
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 10-15 06:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-13 15:23
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 10-01 20:09
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 08-17 07:14
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 10-06 06:21
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 08-01 15:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$1 09-22 07:23
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-15 06:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 10-27 09:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-08 20:33
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-28 08:37
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 10-27 02:26
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 10-27 10:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 $0 10-27 02:27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +1 $1 75¢ $1 $0 09-15 17:51
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 64¢ $1 $0 07-25 19:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 10-28 08:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 06-07 06:14