Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
81
Trades
2,714
lifetime
Volume
$6.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$59
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-29 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 90% +$10
Other
36% 71% $-1
Politics
6% 50% +$0
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? No -33 $-29 91¢ $-30 $-0 06-21 16:29
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-27 18:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-09 13:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-26 06:50
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-26 14:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 +$0 06-29 20:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-09 06:34
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +2 $2 85¢ $2 $-0 06-30 21:20
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -2 $-1 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 20:15
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-24 06:23
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 20:17
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-19 09:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 12:11
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 05:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-28 20:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +2 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 06:26