Realized P&L
-$214
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
3,099
Trades
4,121
lifetime
Volume
$8.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$41
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 10-29 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 83% -$10
Other
44% 67% -$172
Politics
7% 72% -$22
Sports
1% 73% -$6
Tech
1% 59% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 10-27 23:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +9 $5 30¢ $3 -$2 08-03 05:58
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 09-27 20:34
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 10-28 08:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4 $3 58¢ $2 -$1 06-05 09:13
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +3 $1 60¢ $2 +$1 08-26 10:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-19 13:46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 09-16 19:39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 09-14 11:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-10 21:01
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-29 08:54
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 10-01 20:09
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-28 21:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-21 07:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-07 09:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-17 07:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-13 15:23
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-06 06:21
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-15 06:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 09-22 07:23
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-27 10:00
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 08-01 15:04
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-15 06:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-08 20:33
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 07-25 19:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 10-27 09:58
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 $0 10-28 08:37
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 09-15 17:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 $0 06-07 06:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 09-23 06:19