Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
120
lifetime
Volume
$307
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$18
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-09 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Sports
56% 100% +$2
Other
34% 75% +$1
Politics
7% 50% +$1
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -2 $-1 77¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 08:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-29 05:50
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:24
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 81¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 07:34
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-04 20:45
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-09 06:25
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 06-02 21:27
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 07:36
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -2 $-1 67¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 07:59
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No -1 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 07:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-09 22:27
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +2 $1 54¢ $1 $-0 06-07 09:35
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 05-29 05:50
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? No +2 $1 45¢ $1 $-0 06-05 07:02
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? No +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-09 22:27
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $1 37¢ $1 $-0 06-08 15:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 06-07 09:35
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +2 $1 31¢ $0 $-1 06-02 05:45
Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026? No +2 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 20:45