Shady-Pinstripe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

229

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$467

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

10 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-28 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

47% 54% -$31

Sports

45% 52% -$15

Politics

6% 75% +$5

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 25% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	+4	$1	85¢	$3	+$2	07-07 07:46
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	+2	$1	88¢	$2	+$1	07-15 21:44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	06-07 21:07
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	06-07 09:35
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	+2	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	07-26 19:16
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	+2	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	05-21 07:16
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	+2	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	06-23 08:28
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	05-29 07:57
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	+2	$1	77¢	$1	+$0	08-20 21:59
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	No	+2	$1	55¢	$1	$0	05-19 07:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	02-24 14:18
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-14 21:41
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-24 12:25
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-24 12:25
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-24 12:25
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$15	6	12	-6	No	-$1	04-14 21:44
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	02-24 17:56
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	05-18 12:12
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-18 12:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-13 19:10
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	1	$5	2,467	0	+2,467	No	-$5	02-24 11:48
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	02-24 11:48
will the us collect between 1t and 2t in revenue in 2025	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$5	02-24 11:48
will the us collect more than 2t in revenue in 2025	1	$5	4,383	0	+4,383	No	-$5	02-24 11:46
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	02-24 17:56
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	02-24 17:57
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	02-24 17:57
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-14 21:08
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-14 21:36
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-29 11:34
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-29 11:40
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-29 11:36
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:06
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 07:36
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 07:34
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	04-01 23:17
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-01 23:18
will the portland trail blazers make the nba playoffs 772	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	03-25 18:41
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	03-25 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 20:40:39	Will Andrew McAdorey win the 2026 PLL Midfielder of the Year?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x886db9…
08-28 20:40:27	Will Andrew McMeekin win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x058014…
08-21 22:03:18	Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcaa11d…
08-20 21:59:04	Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x734adc…
08-20 15:26:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x80f735…
08-20 08:18:10	Will Matt Olson lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xea65e9…
08-20 08:17:49	Chicago White Sox winning after 5 innings?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x058451…
08-20 08:17:43	Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9ff90…
08-19 20:19:48	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdef13b…
08-18 22:21:04	Will Ryan Terefenko win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2e2f6b…
08-18 09:10:39	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9db9b1…
08-17 21:23:58	will kewan lacy be on the cover of ea sports college football 27	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x91ff7f…
08-16 11:04:30	Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd10bd9…
08-16 11:04:22	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6225c2…
08-15 19:50:12	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb03b3c…
08-15 08:38:55	Will JT Giles-Harris win the 2026 PLL Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x87668f…
08-15 08:38:48	Will Trevor Baptiste win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc9291f…
08-09 10:28:49	Will the Cleveland Guardians clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6e97bb…
08-07 23:19:06	Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x26a46c…
08-07 08:34:22	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by october 31 20260609151517552	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6aaf03…
08-07 08:34:09	Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9c5fc8…
08-05 20:47:11	Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1d73a2…
08-03 19:28:53	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3a451f…
08-03 10:50:57	Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4c3c04…
08-03 10:50:45	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8597ec…
08-02 15:41:23	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd50b97…
08-02 15:41:15	Pro Football: Will Diego Pavia be rostered by Week 1?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9107d5…
08-02 15:41:08	Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4c51cb…
08-01 23:26:56	Club Always Ready leading at halftime?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x496b7e…
08-01 23:26:50	CDOriente Petrolero leading at halftime?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x30c208…
08-01 23:26:42	Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf96d56…
07-29 23:18:06	Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf539d6…
07-27 21:54:22	Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x927750…
07-26 19:16:45	Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd791fb…
07-26 19:16:27	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9fcd3a…
07-26 12:28:48	Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0d0d63…
07-24 07:32:58	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8d03f0…
07-21 18:02:37	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52dd03…
07-21 12:09:00	Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5d65fc…
07-20 21:09:03	Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3c3644…
07-20 21:08:55	Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1216a9…
07-17 10:44:31	Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x357680…
07-15 21:44:53	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8541a2…
07-14 21:33:07	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb83c58…
07-14 12:21:43	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf343db…
07-11 11:14:16	Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x015476…
07-10 08:46:05	will kylian mbappe be on the cover of ea sports fc 27	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd83764…
07-08 23:00:38	Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xce1b50…
07-07 07:46:55	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x066c97…
07-07 07:46:49	Will the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x169bbd…
07-07 07:46:38	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc0ca8c…
07-04 08:12:23	Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x672e11…
07-02 07:15:58	Will Bruno Fernandes be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x19f5aa…
06-30 08:46:49	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaabaa2…
06-29 07:57:29	Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcd315c…
06-29 07:57:23	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x13369c…
06-27 19:27:22	Will the Washington Mystics make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x396802…
06-27 08:51:40	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9fd953…
06-26 07:18:43	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd6d3ac…
06-26 07:18:34	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1c410e…
06-24 21:57:44	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1b2fc7…
06-24 07:23:37	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x320969…
06-23 08:28:26	Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x407ff2…
06-21 11:16:28	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5dcf5d…
06-21 11:16:20	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8b87e…
06-13 18:39:22	Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x17f61a…
06-10 06:39:52	Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaa7dee…
06-10 06:39:43	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8eb8db…
06-10 06:39:36	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4a42a4…
06-09 22:27:10	Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3edd56…
06-09 22:27:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe9a32d…
06-09 06:25:18	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x50a605…
06-08 20:19:16	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x050999…
06-08 15:17:40	Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b0742…
06-08 15:17:33	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x433b0c…
06-08 15:17:19	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb7595b…
06-07 21:08:27	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2fa74…
06-07 21:08:16	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa597e1…
06-07 21:07:58	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x82d359…
06-07 09:35:42	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb772f9…
06-07 09:35:31	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8ca780…
06-07 09:35:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8893f5…
06-06 22:47:15	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc7f1d7…
06-06 22:47:06	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbaf29b…
06-06 22:46:58	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeac84a…
06-06 11:40:21	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd4d67b…
06-06 11:40:12	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbb26e8…
06-06 11:39:55	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc52c70…
06-05 18:07:19	Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x04d831…
06-05 18:07:10	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xae7260…
06-05 18:07:03	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x810794…
06-05 07:02:15	Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8814e5…
06-05 07:02:07	Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x25a09e…
06-05 07:01:54	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x00d280…
06-04 20:45:43	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfc3245…
06-04 20:45:36	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x49316b…
06-04 20:45:25	Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe22cb9…
06-04 06:31:04	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd353fc…
06-04 06:30:57	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x932fc3…
06-04 06:30:46	Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc37d0c…